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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

A technique for the treatment of the pressure in anelastic, nonhydrostatic terrain-following coordinates is described. It involves the use of two levels of pressure in such a manner so as to ensure that the anelastic mass-continuity equation is satisfied to round-off level. This procedure significantly improves model stability and accuracy. In the presence of modestly steep topography, the computational burden of the diagnostic elliptic pressure solver is equivalent to that of a direct solver. The two-level pressure approach is viewed as inappropriate for iterative schemes. A pressure truncation error analysis is described for calculating the second-order truncation error fields Γ associated with kinetic energy conservation for arbitrary formulations of the pressure gradient terms. The full transformed equation set is used, such that the combined effect of all of the equations contributing to the error is considered. Truncation error equations are derived for two specific formulations containing terms of Ox 2, Δy 2, Δz 2). These equations are used to validate a more general field analysis technique applicable for any numerical formulation. The kinetic energy errors that result specifically from the application of the two-level pressure technique are compared with the second-order Γ errors and are shown to be 5–10 times as small. Simulations show the stabilizing effect of the two-level pressure technique where comparisons between the two-level approach using a single block iteration and the same approach using a fully converged solution show negligible differences. The particular cases chosen were numerically unstable using a single block iteration without the two-level approach. The error analysis showed modest errors in the kinetic energy budget resulting from the numerical formulation of the pressure gradient terms with little difference between the formulations tested. The cases presented all had well-resolved topography.

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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

A relatively sophisticated cloud phase parameterization scheme based on the gamma distribution is presented which, it is hoped, will eventually make it possible for cloud modellers to include the effects of microphysics more realistically than has been so far possible.

Cloud phase calculations are presented using Lagrangian parcel theory, one-dimensional Eulerian formulation in the vertical, and two-dimensional Eulerian formulation in the horizontal and vertical directions. The solutions obtained using the parameterized scheme were compared with the more conventional finite-difference microphysical calculations of Clark and there was found to be very good agreement for all cases treated.

The efficiency of the scheme allowed a one-dimensional study on the effect of vertical spatial resolution on the prediction of microphysical parameters such as droplet number concentration, mean droplet radius and supersaturation. It was found that poor spatial resolution results in a rather slight under-estimation of the droplet number concentration.

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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

Two cumulus cloud models in two space dimensions are presented; one is a bulk physical model without microphysics and the other includes the microphysical processes such as nucleation, diffusional growth of cloud droplets, stochastic coalescence, and fallout of raindrops. Some numerical aspects of the models are discussed; in particular, a method is described which allows long time steps to be used for the calculation of condensation in regions of relatively old droplet populations. The bulk-physical and microphysical models are compared for a non-precipitation case. The numerical results revealed that the inclusion of microphysics had little effect on the whole cloud dynamics, a result which considerably differs from that of Árnason and Greenfield.

The microphysical model produced hi-modal spectra of droplets through the interaction of a mid-level nucleation region, which corresponds to the base of an upper intense thermal, and the vertical advection and diffusion of existing droplets from a lower thermal. Supersaturations calculated ranged from approximately 0.4 to 1% in non-nucleation regions to slightly over 2% in nucleation regions for a non-coalescence run in which Warner's nuclei distribution was assumed. Some calculations with coalescence included resulted in unrealistically high values of supersaturation, which were caused by the model's inability to replenish scavenged droplets fast enough. The results indicate not only that breakup will have to be included (as is physically clear), but that the nuclei resolution may have to be extended to relatively high values of critical supersaturation to account for droplet replenishment in the presence of scavenging raindrops.

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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

One-dimensional, kinematical microphysical cloud models are used to study two numerical aspects associated with modelling the initial microphysical stages of cloud growth in Eulerian spatial domain. First, the high-frequency oscillations in the spatially integrated nucleation rate and maximum supersaturation which became apparent in Clark’s model calculations are reproduced in the present paper and their cause and effect studied. Second, the spatial and radius resolution requirements for calculations of the initial phases of cloud development are studied. It is found that rather high spatial as well as radius resolution are required to obtain a reasonable degree of convergence for the solution of the droplet spectrum coefficient of dispersion for a case where an eddy mixing coefficient K=2 m2 sec−1 was used.

The effect of eddy mixing on droplet spectral broadening is investigated where adequate spatial and radius resolution are used. The results indicate that mixing has a rather strong effect on the coefficient of dispersion for the droplet spectrum. Arbitrary values of K=0, 1, 2 and 4 m2 sec−1 were Used where it was found that results similar to those of Warner were obtained for the K=0 case only.

The gamma distribution parameterization of Clark has been generalized to include condensation coefficient effects. The original parameterization scheme has been given a far more thorough comparison with a finite-difference model in one spatial dimension.

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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

Simulations with a three-dimensional numerical cloud model are presented for airflow over a bell-shaped mountain and for a multicellular severe storm.

A comparison of results using the Orlanski (1976) and Klemp and Wilhelmson (1978) treatments for the normal velocities shows that physical modes can be computationally excited using the latter's treatment with the result of very large horizontally averaged vertical velocities.

Cell splitting occurs for the model calculations and the analysis indicates the splitting is caused by an entrainment effect which may be an artifact of the experimental design.

An analysis of subgrid/resolved scale kinetic energy shows that this ratio is much smaller for the current severe storm simulations than that found by Lipps (1977) for his trade wind cumuli simulations.

A comparison of some general features of the multicellular severe storm with observational data is presented.

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Terry L. Clark

Abstract

Lagragian parcel calculations of condensation and coalescence theory are presented where both a distribution function approach as well as a conventional finite-difference approach are compared. The comparisons suggest that the use of series of log-normal distributions to represent the water droplet spectra may be a practical approach to treating cloud physical process in multi-dimensioned cloud models.

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Terry L. Clark
and
Robert Gall

Abstract

Numerical simulations of airflow over two different choices of mountainous terrain and the comparisons of results with aircraft observations are presented. Two wintertime casts for flow over Elk Mountain, Wyoming where surface heating is assumed to be zero and one case for airflow over Mt. Withington, New Mexico where surface heating is strong are considered.

In the Elk Mountain simulations the flow becomes approximately steady state since the upstream conditions are assumed to be constant and the surface heating is assumed to be zero. The response is significantly different in the two cases. In one case (dynamic Elk) strong lee waves formed with a horizontal separation of ∼10 km whereas in the second case (microphysical Elk) mainly weak untrapped waves formed with a vertical wavelength of ∼2.5 km. Because of the presence of the lee waves in the first case it is shown that the ridges south of Elk Mountain affect the flow near Elk Mountain. In the second case where there were no strong lee waves, the ridges to the south had very little effect on the flow near Elk Mountain so Elk acted as an isolated peak. The comparison between the simulation and the observations of the Elk Mountain experiments was good. In particular, the model's prediction of the location and intensity of trapped lee waves in the dynamic Elk case was good.

In the Mt. Withington simulations, the presunrise response was very weak though there were some weak lee waves. After sunrise, strong longitudinal rolls developed in the lower 1 km. These rolls were parallel to the mean wind direction in the lowest first kilometer and had an initial cross roll separation of 4–5 km for a mixed layer depth of 1.5 km. Later in the morning, after additional surface heating, the longitudinal rolls tended to increase their cross roll separation distance and to break up into a more cellular pattern although still retaining a well-defined roll structure. The ratio of cross roll separation to mixed layer depth was within the typically observed ratio of ∼2–3.

The overall comparison between the observations and the simulated flow fields in the Mt. Withington case was reasonable although detailed comparisons between individual features met with mixed success. The low-level observations appeared to represent cellular patterns as opposed to the simulated roll patterns although the horizontal scales perpendicular to the simulated rolls compared favorably. This difference in convective regime between the model and observations may be due in part to the very crude surface layer treatment of the model used to treat the unstable boundary layer as well as due to difficulties in choosing representative low-level winds. In the upper levels the comparison was successful in that the observations corroborate the presence of the trapped lee waves simulated by the model.

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Han-Ru Cho
and
Terry L. Clark

Abstract

The structure of vorticity fields of cumulus clouds is studied using a three-dimensional numerical convection model developed by Clark (1977, 1979. 1981). The analysis of the model results suggests that 1) it is justified to neglect the solenoidal effect in cloud vorticity dynamics; and 2) the effects of vertical advection and twisting of vorticity, while both are very important to the local structure, cancel each other when averaged over a cloud horizontal cross-section. Consequently, 3) the cloud vorticity in the mean is controlled mainly by horizontal convergence/divergence of vorticity through cloud boundary and satisfies a very simple conservation equation. Furthermore, the model results also suggest that 4) clouds can induce a very strong horizontal eddy flux of vertical vorticity. The magnitude of this flux is of the order 10−4 m s−2 on the basis of a unit fractional cloud coverage. These results support the hypothesis introduced by Cho and Cheng (1980).

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Terry L. Clark
and
William D. Hall

Abstract

This note describes how to generate vertically stretched grids within the context of vertical nesting that are consistent with the conservative interpolation formula used by Clark and Farley. It is shown that all nested grids derive their structure directly from the parent grid, where the only flexibility allowed for nested grids is their grid ratio relative to the parent grid. Formulas are presented that can he used to analyze resulting nested grid structures, and an example showing how these formulas were used to generate relatively smooth inner meshes is described. Suggestions for further improvements in grid design are also provided.

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Terry L. Clark
and
Thomas R. Karl

Abstract

A linear multiple regression equation was developed for each of 27 ozone monitoring sites in the north-eastern United States to forecast the next day's maximum 1 h average ozone concentration. Thirty-five prognostic meteorological variables, the climatological daily maximum surface temperature, the length and direction of 12 and 24 h backward trajectories, and three air quality variables relating to the seasonality or the upwind ozone concentrations were considered as possible predictors in each of the regression equations. Data pertaining to 244 randomly selected days formed the developmental or the dependent data set, while the data pertaining to the remaining 122 days in the months of June, July, August and September of 1975, 1976 and 1977 were used to assess the performance of the regression equations. Performance was assessed and compared to that of persistence, via statistical evaluations of site-specific forecasts. In addition, areas of the Northeast where the 1 h ozone standard was predicted to be exceeded, were compared to the areas where the standard was exceeded.

The results indicated that approximately half of the predictions generated from the independent data set were within 20% of the observations, while 77% were within 40% of the observations. A tendency for the underprediction of the maximum concentrations was noted. Overall, the regression equations performed best in forecasting the trends and patterns of the daily 1 h average ozone concentrations.

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