Recent Developments in Automated Max/Min Temperature Forecasting

William H. Klein Techniques Development Laboratory, NOAA, Silver Spring, Md.

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Frank Lewis Techniques Development Laboratory, NOAA, Silver Spring, Md.

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Gordon A. Hammons Techniques Development Laboratory, NOAA, Silver Spring, Md.

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Abstract

Recent changes in the National Weather Service's automated system of forecasting maximum and minimum surface temperatures are described and illustrated. Modifications include use of the primitive equation model, later surface reports, computer-analyzed isotherms, and climatologically-determined forecast limits. Verification figures are presented to show the improvement of the new system over the old and to justify the replacement of centralized subjective temperature forecasts by completely objective ones.

Abstract

Recent changes in the National Weather Service's automated system of forecasting maximum and minimum surface temperatures are described and illustrated. Modifications include use of the primitive equation model, later surface reports, computer-analyzed isotherms, and climatologically-determined forecast limits. Verification figures are presented to show the improvement of the new system over the old and to justify the replacement of centralized subjective temperature forecasts by completely objective ones.

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