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The Florida Area Cumulus Experiment's Second Phase (FACE-2). Part II: Replicated and Confirmatory Analyses

William L. WoodleyOffice of Weather Research and Modification, Boulder, CO 80303

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Anthony BarnstonOffice of Weather Research and Modification, Boulder, CO 80303

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John A. FlueckDepartment of Statistics, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA 19122

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Ron Biondini217 Park St., Fort Collins, CO 80521

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Abstract

FACE-2 was a confirmatory weather modification experiment conducted in south Florida in the three summers of 1978, 1979 and 1980. The results of the FACE-2 replicated and pre-specified confirmatory rainfall analyses are presented and discussed in this paper. These results are interpreted in terms of the published criteria for confirmation of the FACE-1 rainfall results. FACE-2 did not confirm the results of FACE-1, although there are indications that seeding did increase the rainfall over the FACE target area. Some explanations for the lack of confirmation are suggested.

Abstract

FACE-2 was a confirmatory weather modification experiment conducted in south Florida in the three summers of 1978, 1979 and 1980. The results of the FACE-2 replicated and pre-specified confirmatory rainfall analyses are presented and discussed in this paper. These results are interpreted in terms of the published criteria for confirmation of the FACE-1 rainfall results. FACE-2 did not confirm the results of FACE-1, although there are indications that seeding did increase the rainfall over the FACE target area. Some explanations for the lack of confirmation are suggested.

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