I am very grateful to Kerry Emanuel, who developed the hurricane model and provided me with the sets of synthetic tracks, together with the necessary support on model results. Comments and suggestions from Roger A. Pielke Jr., Michael Mastrandrea, Julie A. Winkler, and three anonymous referees were also particularly useful. All remaining errors are my own. This research was supported by the European Commission’s Project 12975 (NEST) “Extreme Events: Causes and Consequences (E2–C2).”
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