This research was supported by the Postdocs Applying Climate Expertise (PACE) Fellowship Program, administered by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, jointly funded by NOAA, the Bureau of Reclamation, the Western Water Assessment, and the Southern Nevada Water Authority. We acknowledge the invaluable advice and expertise of Klaus Wolter, Robin Webb, and Martin Hoerling, who helped to improve this manuscript. We also extend our gratitude to Dennis Lettenmaier and his group at the University of Washington for making available the Beyene and Lettenmaier dataset for our analyses. Last, we kindly express our gratitude to the editor and to the anonymous reviewers. Their valuable comments and suggestions were greatly appreciated and increased the quality of this paper.
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