The authors are grateful to two reviewers whose constructive comments helped improve the manuscript, and they acknowledge the Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration for providing the daily rainfall records. This work was funded by NOAA under a cooperative agreement with the IRI. The computing for the GCMs run at IRI used in this project was partially provided by a grant from the NCAR CSL program to the IRI, and the IRI Data Library was used to obtain all of the climate data used (http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/). The regression models were constructed using the Climate Predictability Tool software developed at the IRI (http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/tools/cpt).
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