1. Introduction
Covariances of Earth processes are often used for mapping of irregular or gappy data (e.g., Moffet 1968; Bretherton et al. 1976; Wilkin et al. 2002; Kim et al. 2007; Babu and Stoica 2010). Estimates of scalar covariances can be made from irregular data by bin averaging (e.g., Roemmich and Gilson 2009), but for vector fields that are sampled nonorthogonally and irregularly, the bin averaging of observations requires more care. Here, nonorthogonally means orthogonal projections of the vector are not available, and irregularly means the sample spacing is irregular and independent vector projections are not available at the same point. For instance, the raw scalar observations from high-frequency radar (HFR) are (nonorthogonal) radial projections of a two-dimensional vector current field with respect to bearing angles at irregularly sampled radial grid points (red and blue arrows in Fig. 1). In the past, radial velocities at a diversity of angles in a region were first mapped to a regular grid of vector currents and then the covariances of these orthogonal vector data (or currents) were formed in a standard way (e.g., Kim et al. 2007; Roesler et al. 2013). Mapping before averaging to make the covariance will incorporate the bias and error of mapping into the covariance statistics. For this reason, it is better to average before mapping as opposed to mapping before averaging. We explore a method for computing covariances of nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled velocity data in a region without a mapping step, which will be called “direct” estimation. The results will be compared to the covariance of the true velocity field and will be shown to avoid some sources of bias in the mapped estimates.
An example of radial velocity maps (red and blue arrows) nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled from an idealized model vector current field (black arrows). The sampling radial grid points at individual radar sites (black circles; R1 and R2) are marked with colored dots, which are not collocated, and the sampling area of the vector currents is indicated with a black box.
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
In oceanographic data analysis, it is challenging to derive orthogonal vector components and their covariances from nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled velocity data (e.g., Chelton and Schlax 2003; Shay et al. 2007; Kaplan and Lekein 2007; Kim et al. 2008; Yaremchuk and Sentchev (2009, 2011). Kim et al. (2008) investigated the mapping of nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled radial velocity maps obtained from HFRs into a vector current field in terms of the structure of the correlation functions. In particular, the correlation function (or covariance function) has been assumed to be Gaussian or exponential with parameters estimated from the mapped vector current fields. In a similar context, Shay et al. (2007), Kaplan and Lekein (2007), and Yaremchuk and Sentchev (2009, 2011) have reported techniques to map HFR-derived radial velocity maps into the vector current fields using a least squares fit and to generate gap-free vector current fields using mode analysis and variational analysis using dynamic constraints, such as divergence and curl of the given current fields. Conversely, the spatial covariance in the spatial domain and/or the energy spectrum in the wavenumber domain are estimated from irregularly spaced observations with a least squares fit (e.g., Zetler et al. 1965; Wunsch 1996) and expectation maximization (Dempster et al. 1977; Do and Batzoglou 2008; Rubin and Szatrowski 1982). The expectation maximization method iteratively estimates missing data in otherwise regular sampling by maximum likelihood estimation using the current estimate of the covariance, recomputing the covariance until the estimates for the missing data have converged. Additionally, the multitaper method (Percival and Walden 1993; Erdöl and Günes 2005) is applicable to regularly spaced observations in the energy spectrum estimate, and it minimizes the leakage of spectral contents by multiplying the orthogonal tapers to the data. Although a least squares fit has been considered expensive because of the size of the matrices involved, present-day computing resources permit least squares fitting in practical applications.
This paper adapts a standard form of spectral estimation (e.g., Mills et al. 1958, 1960, 1961) to directly compute the spatial covariance of a two-dimensional vector field from nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled radial velocities by converting the sample covariance of the radial velocity measurements. This is compared to mapping from radial velocities to the two-dimensional vector field and then computing covariances from the mapped field. To allow for spatially varying variance, the correlation is used, which is the covariance normalized by the standard deviations at the two points, and the estimate of covariance in this work is framed as the estimate of the spatial correlation function.
The methodological descriptions of the covariance estimates for one-dimensional scalar data and two-dimensional vector data are presented in sections 2 and 3, respectively. The proposed method is applied to the data obtained from a simple spectral model, a numerical model, and observations of HFR-derived surface radial velocity maps. The discussion and conclusions follow in sections 4 and 5, respectively. Note that this paper focuses on the direct estimates of spatial covariance without introducing an intervening step of vector current mapping, and we do not discuss the vector current mapping in the rest of paper. The performance of vector current mapping has been reported elsewhere (e.g., H. S. Soh et al. 2017, manuscript submitted to J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. Kim et al. 2008; Shay et al. 2007; Chapman et al. 1997).
2. One-dimensional covariance of scalar data
a. Formulation




















b. Covariance estimate
If the data are ergodic and stationary in time and the associated processes are locally homogeneous in space, the one-dimensional covariance can be estimated either in the wavenumber domain using a least squares fit [see Colosi et al. (2013) for an example] in the spatial domain using bin averaging, which is a form of least squares; or as a hybrid, using both spectral and local spatial parameterizations, whichever is simplest. Here we will use both spectral and binning methods.



















To estimate the correlation purely in the spatial domain, the spatial correlations can be represented by a sum of local functions such as splines. The simplest model assumes a constant correlation within each region (bin) of a set defined in lag space, so the parameters are the correlation values in each bin. In these examples, the bins are regularly spaced in lag space (
c. Data generation



(a) A true correlation function (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
Using the wavenumber-domain energy spectrum [Eqs. (2) and (10)], the data are generated (or sampled) at 250 unevenly spaced locations [Eq. (1), L = 250] with 500 realizations (R = 500) with zero short-scale variability [
d. Estimated one-dimensional correlation functions
The coefficients (
(a) An estimated correlation function using a parameterization in the wavenumber domain (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
The true correlation function and the estimated correlation functions by a least squares fit and bin averaging (
e. Influence of the number of realizations, the density of unevenly spaced samples, and the noise
The number of (temporal) realizations (R) and the density of unevenly spaced samples—that is, the number of spatial samples (L) within the domain—can affect the performance of the correlation estimates. For example, increasing the number of realizations reduces statistical noise, while coarsely spaced samples can degrade the covariance estimate because of the lack of information to characterize the data field at short lags. To examine these effects, the performance of the proposed approach is evaluated with a comparison of averaging of mapped fields and mapping of an averaged field (section 2f).
Although estimates with an infinite number of realizations have zero statistical noise, we chose 25 cases varying the number of realizations (R = 667, 695,
(a),(c),(e) The sample correlations (colored crosses) and true correlations (black line) of the sampled data as a function of the number of randomly chosen realizations (R; R = 667,
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
A lower triangle of a square covariance matrix [
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
The sensitivity of the one-dimensional correlation estimate to the short-scale variability (“noise”) in the data is examined with the estimated decorrelation length scale of the correlation function, computed from the data sampled at 250 unevenly spaced locations with 50 000 realizations (
(a)–(c) An example of the one-dimensional true correlations (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
f. A comparison of averaging of mapped fields and mapping of an averaged field













The bias embedded in the mapped data field is clearly visible when it is compared with the true correlation (
Then, we extend the proposed approach into the estimation of two-dimensional (horizontal) correlation functions in the following section.
3. Two-dimensional covariance of vector data
a. Formulation
1) A geometric relationship from radial grids to vector grids













2) Inverse methods








Dimensions of vectors and matrices in the direct estimate of variance and covariance. In the wavenumber domain, M and N denote the number of basis functions in the x and y directions, respectively, and L indicates the number of radial velocities [Eqs. (20), (21), and (30)]. In the spatial domain,



Although
b. Covariance estimates
1) Parameterization in the wavenumber domain









Then, the coefficients (
Then, the individual covariance terms are computed with the estimated coefficients (
2) Parameterization in the spatial domain
The individual covariance terms between velocity components (u and υ) are alternatively modeled by interpolation from a table of values at discrete and regular spatial lags (














c. Cautionary remarks on inverse methods
1) Cross-covariance terms







2) Indices and prior smoothing














d. Data generation
Horizontal spatial covariance functions are estimated with nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled scalar velocities obtained from three sets of resource, such as a simple spectral model, a regional numerical model, and an array of HFRs (see appendix A for a practical approach to estimate the covariance of huge datasets).
1) A simple spectral model




2) A regional numerical model
Numerical simulations using the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) off the coast of Oregon provide maps of surface currents (at the surface layer) with hourly temporal and 2-km horizontal resolution for a period of about one year [August 2008–August 2009; see Kim et al. (2014) for more details], which implemented freshwater discharge of the Columbia River for a realistic simulation. A subset of the model domain is chosen to enclose the effective spatial coverage of an array of HFRs off the coast of Oregon (red boxes in Figs. 8a and 8b). The ROMS-derived (surface) currents well represent the variability of regional circulation, including variance in the low frequency (
3) Observations
The hourly averaged surface radial velocities and their optimally interpolated vector currents are provided by the array of HFRs off the coast of Oregon for a period of 2 years (2007–08) (e.g., Kosro 2005; Kim and Kosro 2013). Different from the radial velocity data constructed from the spectral model and numerical simulations below [sections 3e(1) and 3e(2), respectively], the observed radial velocities have missing data in both time and space as well as sampling and measurement errors. Moreover, the optimal interpolation (OI)-mapped vector currents include a mapping bias associated with an assumed covariance function and decorrelation length scales even though they were computed with an exponential correlation function having a relatively short decorrelation length scale to minimize spatial smoothing.
e. Estimated two-dimensional correlation functions
1) A simple spectral model
Based on a simple spectral model in the wavenumber domain, we generate vector current maps with 5000 realizations under a Gaussian correlation function on a regular grid and project them onto polar grid points with bearing angles of radars to yield radial velocity maps (see Table 2 for a detailed configuration of the spectral model). The number of realizations is chosen to capture the designed wavenumber-domain energy spectrum of the vector current field. A single snapshot of the vector current map and radial velocity maps sampled from two radars (R1 and R2) are shown in Fig. 1. Each realization is independent in time. However, we could modify the spectral model in the wavenumber domain to include variance in the frequency domain as well (H. S. Soh et al. 2017, manuscript submitted to J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol).
Definition of variables used in the model current simulation and covariance estimates.
The true correlation function (
(a),(b) Assumed two-dimensional true (Gaussian spatial) correlation functions with zero cross-correlation terms between vector components (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
The autocorrelation terms (
2) A regional numerical model
The spatial correlation functions of ROMS-simulated surface currents near two grid points (A and B; see Fig. 8c.) are estimated from 1) the bin averaging of spatial correlations of vector currents (
A study domain of the ROMS-simulated surface currents and HFR-derived surface current observations off the coast of Oregon. (a),(b) A ROMS domain and its spatial subset in a coastal region that encloses the effective spatial coverage of the operational HFRs (a yellow curve). The bottom bathymetry is contoured with 50, 100, 250, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, 2500, and 3000 m. As a reference, major coastal regions are denoted by abbreviated two letter names from south to north: Cape Blanco (CB), Winchester Bay (WB), Newport (NP), and Loomis Lake (LL). (c) Sampling radial grid points of the operational HFRs (gray dots) and the radial grid points (black dots) within 24 km of point A (red dot; 46°N, 124.5°E) and point B (red dot; 44°N, 124°E). Two red rectangular boxes in (a) and (b) indicate the same region. All the radial grid points within the red box in (b) are shown in (c) (gray dots).
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
Spatial correlations of the ROMS-simulated surface currents at point A in Fig. 8c are estimated from (a)–(d) the bin averaging of the vector currents (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
Spatial correlations of the ROMS-simulated surface currents at point B in Fig. 8c are estimated from (a)–(d) the bin averaging of the vector currents (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
In the comparison of spatial correlation terms (
The cross-correlation terms are estimated with two ways of assumptions on the cross-covariance terms [see section 3c(1)]. The cross-correlation terms have mostly positive values (less than 0.3, exceptionally 0.5 in larger spatial lags) and do not exhibit the consistent spatial structures between cross terms of the estimated correlation functions (the third and fourth columns in Figs. 9 and 10).
3) Observations
The spatial correlation functions using observations are estimated in a similar way, conducted in section 3e(2): 1) the bin averaging of the OI-mapped vector currents (Figs. 11a–d and 12a–d), and the covariance of radial velocities using parameterizations in the 2) wavenumber domain (Figs. 11e–h and 12e–h) and 3) spatial domain (Figs. 11i –l and 12i–l).
Spatial correlations of the HFR-derived surface currents at point A in Fig. 8c are estimated from (a)–(d) the bin averaging of the vector currents (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
Spatial correlations of the HFR-derived surface currents at point B in Fig. 8c are estimated from (a)–(d) the bin averaging of the vector currents (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
The bin averaging (
4. Discussion
a. Estimates of cross-covariance terms
There are two independent sources of error in the estimates of the covariance terms: statistical error caused by the finite number of realizations (R) used to make the sample covariance and reconstruction error caused by insufficient sampling (L) in the spatial domain, including angles of the radial velocities. The statistical error decreases with the increasing number of realizations, which can be made as small as needed in the simulation. The reconstruction error represents how well the covariance or spectrum is reconstructed from the observations, and it is determined by sampling in the spatial domain, by the number of unique measurement points, the location of the measurements, and the orientation of the projections. Sampling on the appropriate regular grid results in a perfect reconstruction, just as in the discrete Fourier transform. The sampling on the irregular grid is characterized by a sampling matrix [










Two-dimensional true (Gaussian) correlations (
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
Thus, the nonzero cross-covariance terms in Figs. 7e, 7f, 7i, and 7j are attributed to the reconstruction error from insufficient sampling in the spatial domain as long as there is no statistical error.
b. Spatial homogeneity and temporal stationarity of the data
In this paper, the data are assumed to be locally homogeneous in space and stationary in time to estimate the spatial correlations using the proposed methods from the nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled data. The spatial homogeneity has been evaluated with the data sampled from the different size of the domain by changing the radius from the center of the domain of interest. The spatial structure of the estimated correlation functions is nearly identical when the radius is greater than 25 km. The temporal stationarity has been investigated with the data sampled from the different size of the time window from the entire data by changing the record length of the data. The spatial structure of the estimated correlation functions is constantly maintained when the more than a half year of data are used. This can be also discussed with the influence of the number of realizations: The greater the number of realizations, the greater the number of robust estimates of the spatial correlations that are possible having less statistical noise. For instance, the estimated correlations under more realizations are closer to the true correlations (Fig. 4), and the error bar of the correlations (or covariances) can be found in Priestley (1981). In addition, a comparison between estimated correlation functions can be made in terms of the number of realizations and their degrees of smoothness of the estimated correlations (Figs. 3a, 3b, and 6a).
c. Reduction of bias in the covariance estimate
The proposed approach to directly estimate covariance functions avoids an intermediate mapping step to estimate the vector currents from radial velocities, so it can minimize the cumulative spatial and temporal biases, such as the influence of the assumed mapping covariance functions (e.g., unweighted least squares fit or optimal interpolation). Although the proposed approach is influenced by the noise and error levels in the raw data, the shape of the covariances of the vector currents, directly estimated from nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled velocity data, is well matched with the shape of the true covariance.
This method is applicable to both scalar and vector data fields, such as in situ Lagrangian data [e.g., Argo floats and drifters] and unevenly sampled Eulerian data [e.g., altimeter- and HFR-derived observations]. Additionally, it allows us to quantify the spatial structures of the sampled data effectively from limited in situ observations (e.g., Colosi et al. 2013).
d. Performance of individual methods
The direct estimates of the spatial covariance of a given vector data of interest using parameterizations in the wavenumber and spatial domains outperform the indirect approach to estimate the covariance of the mapped data on the regular grid from the raw data because the direct estimate can minimize the potential biases in the intervening step and to avoid the propagation of the bias in the derived products. The shapes of the covariance functions estimated from the direct and indirect methods may not be quantitatively compared. In addition, the decorrelation length scales and shapes of the covariance functions estimated from the direct approaches using parameterizations in the wavenumber and spatial domains depend on the choice of basis functions and the density of the raw data. Thus, we provide a qualitative comparison of covariance functions estimated indirect and direct approaches.
5. Conclusions
We report a method for directly estimated isotropic and anisotropic spatial covariance functions of the orthogonal vector components from nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled scalar velocity observations. Using assumptions of local homogeneity and temporal stationarity of the current fields, the data covariance functions are represented as a function of only spatial lags within the domain of interest, which is made as small as possible by setting the covariance to zero outside the region.
The estimates of the one- and two-dimensional covariance functions are examined by a comparison of the true covariance functions and the estimated covariance functions using parameterizations in either the wavenumber or spatial domains. A simple spectral model, based on a covariance function with decorrelation length scales in the spatial domain, generates an ensemble of nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled velocity fields to make velocity observations. In addition, more realistic evaluations of spatial covariance estimates were conducted with the data, obtained from a regional numerical model and an array of high-frequency radars. The spatial covariance terms of velocity data in a regular grid and an unstructured grid are related by a mapping matrix representing the geometric transformation of two grids. The estimated spatial covariance functions correspond to nonnegative energy (power) spectra in the wavenumber domain, which can be used as a constraint of the given inverse problems. In the evaluation of individual approaches, the shape of the covariance functions and the decorrelation length scales estimated from the indirect approach are different from those of the true correlation. We compare two direct approaches using parameterizations in the wavenumber and spatial domains, the number of basis functions, and the spatial density of the raw data matter on the successful estimates of the noninterpolated covariance estimates using nonorthogonally and irregularly sampled scalar velocities. Thus, we present the qualitative comparison of estimated correlation functions.
Often observations sampled at nonorthogonally and irregularly spaced grid points are mapped to a regular grid before computing the covariance. These gridded values contain biases, which propagate through products derived from the gridded data, such as time integration and covariance estimates from the gridded velocity data. The proposed method provides a direct way to estimate the covariance with a minimum level of bias and is applicable to scalar and vector quantities.
The direct estimates of the spatial covariances allow us to quantify the decorrelation length scales. The spatial scales in the oceanic processes are relevant to the temporal scales (e.g., Woods 1980). For instance, the spatial scales of baroclinic tides on the shelf are O(10) km and they become longer for low-frequency currents, including geostrophic currents (e.g., Kim et al. 2010; Ponte and Cornuelle 2013). The spatial covariances and their structures, including the decorrelation length scales reported in this paper, depend on the dominant energy, which are low-frequency currents (greater than a 5-day period) off the coast of Oregon. Thus, the estimates of the spatial covariances and corresponding scales of currents in of interest frequency bands can be addressed in a similar way. Moreover, the direct covariance estimate can be applicable to the gap filling in the observations and data assimilation in the numerical modeling.
Acknowledgments
Jang Gon Yoo and Sung Yong Kim were supported by a research project titled “Research for Applications of Geostationary Ocean Color Imager” through Korea Institute of Marine Science and Technology Promotion (KIMST), Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries, and a grant through the Disaster and Safety Management Institute, Ministry of Public Safety and Security (KCG-01-2017-05), South Korea. This work is a part of the graduate studies of the first author. Bruce Cornuelle was supported by the Office of Naval Research Grant N00014-15-1-2285.
APPENDIX A
Time Incremental Estimates of the Variance and Covariance in Space
In the estimate of the spatial variance and covariance of huge data (e.g., spatial time series), a cumulative and incremental way in time minimizes the computational expense by allocating a part of all the data in memory within available computing resources. For instance, HFR-derived vector current maps at a resolution of 6 km off the U.S. West Coast are sampled at approximately 9000 grid points and archived as individual hourly data files. Thus, it would be convenient to read individual data files one at a time and to estimate the temporal mean and spatial variance and covariance in a cumulative way as below.
a. Estimates of temporal mean and variance



b. Estimates of spatial covariance with zero time lag










APPENDIX B
Uncertainty and Signal-to-Noise Ratio of the Radial Velocity Data








(a) Standard deviations (λ) of the sum of the paired ROMS-simulated surface radial velocities off the Oregon coast and (b) their cross correlation (ρ). The two radial grid points are chosen to have a distance of less than 200 m. Expected λ and ρ are plotted with colored curves under the conditions of
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
For these estimates, Kim et al. (2008) and Kim (2015) assumed that the current fields are isotropic (





The ROMS-simulated surface radial velocity maps, mathematically converted from the true vector current fields, do not contain the sampling error and the mapping error. Thus, we evaluate λ and ρ with a condition having zero sampling error. The vector components are more correlated nearshore than offshore (Fig. B1c). The surface circulation tends to be anisotropic in the coastal region (within 50 km from the shoreline) as a result of bathymetry and coastline, and it becomes more isotropic offshore (Fig. B1d). The dominant variation ratio (
Additionally, the variance ratios and cross correlations of the vector components are investigated with the HFR-derived vector currents off Oregon for a period of 2 years (2007–08) (Figs. B2c and B2d). The expected λ and ρ of the paired radial velocity data are shown with four cases of
(a) Standard deviations (λ) of the sum of the paired HFR-derived surface radial velocities off the Oregon coast and (b) their cross correlation (ρ). The two radial grid points are chosen to have a distance of less than 200 m. Expected λ and ρ are plotted with colored curves under conditions of
Citation: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 34, 11; 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0100.1
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