1. Introduction
Operational 2D rainfall products from ground-based weather radars are extensively used for nowcasting, water management, and climatological purposes. Such products can be affected by many sources of error. For instance, a comparison of radar rainfall composites in the Netherlands against 322 manual rain gauges over 318 days, shows an average underestimation of daily rainfall of 49% (based on this study). An important source of error is severe underestimation due to rain-induced attenuation along the radar beam for X- or C-band radars (Hitschfeld and Bordan 1954; Tabary et al. 2009; Fabry 2015; Hong and Gourley 2015; Jacobi and Heistermann 2016; Zhang 2017; Rauber and Nesbitt 2018), although it can also occur for S-band radars, e.g., in a squall line (Ryzhkov and Zrnić 1995). Adjustment with gauge data can only partly compensate for underestimations and does not necessarily lead to better space–time rainfall estimates. This is particularly the case with attenuation, which is generally spatially highly variable. Moreover, the density of (sub)hourly rain gauge data is usually low, reducing the possibilities to improve radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), especially for real-time products and short time intervals. We are in the process of investigating the capabilities of our polarimetric radars to improve QPE. We do this step by step, starting with nonmeteorological echo removal (Overeem et al. 2020), followed by this study, which evaluates and compares two attenuation correction schemes applied to data from two operational radars using gauges as a reference. Hence, other possible improvements in QPE algorithms using polarimetric radars are not yet considered.
The Hitschfeld–Bordan algorithm (Hitschfeld and Bordan 1954), a single-polarization (single-pol) algorithm, estimates the two-way path-integrated attenuation (PIA) by integrating specific attenuations kh over range, which are computed from a power-law relationship with the horizontally polarized radar reflectivity factor Zh or rainfall intensity. This involves the use of appropriate values for the two coefficients, being representative of the rainfall type in a certain climate. The Hitschfeld–Bordan algorithm is known for problems due to growing errors, resulting in numerical instability, especially when attenuation becomes severe, e.g., exceeding 10 dB. This iterative approach can be unstable due to miscalibration of the radar as well as errors due to the assumed kh–Zh relation (Tabary et al. 2009; Ryzhkov and Zrnić 2019). This can be remedied by employing constraints for a maximum allowed correction. Jacobi and Heistermann (2016) compare three different procedures to constrain the Hitschfeld–Bordan algorithm in Germany, where the modified Kraemer (MK) method performs best. The latter adjusts the parameters of the power-law kh–Zh relation such that corrected reflectivities Zh,cor in the entire dataset do not exceed 59 dBZh and PIA is capped at 20 dB, where Zh,cor is computed by adding PIA to Zh.
In case of dual-polarization (dual-pol) radars, phase measurements can be employed to estimate PIA, i.e., from specific differential phase Kdp (Bringi et al. 1990). This involves a linear relationship between the specific attenuation and the specific differential phase: kh = γKdp. The advantage of such a dual-pol method is that an independent variable can be used to estimate PIA and thus avoiding the instability issues with single-pol methods that rely on Zh to correct Zh. Moreover, Kdp, being related to signal phase rather than amplitude, is immune to (radome) attenuation, partial beam blockage, and hardware calibration errors (Hong and Gourley 2015; Rauber and Nesbitt 2018; Ryzhkov and Zrnić 2019).
This algorithm has, for instance, been applied to C-band radar data from tropical regions (Carey et al. 2000; Crisologo et al. 2014), from Mediterranean and mountainous climates in Italy (Vulpiani et al. 2012), and from X-, C- and S-band radars in France (Al-Sakka et al. 2013), though differences exist in the exact implementation. For instance, in Carey et al. (2000) the coefficient γ is allowed to vary along the radial and different values for the coefficient are employed in zones containing large drops and the rest of the propagation path. Another method is the rain-profiling method ZPHI, which uses the total PIA estimated from the differential phase as a constraint for a Hitschfeld–Bordan algorithm employing Zh. For each azimuth, the total PIA is distributed based on the values of Zh along the ray (Testud et al. 2000). Bringi et al. (2001) develop a ZPHI-based approach where the coefficient in the kh–Kdp relation is optimized for each time interval and ray, by minimizing differences between measured and computed profiles of differential phase. Other studies use a different value for the coefficient in strong convective cells, originally suggested by Carey et al. (2000). This involves automatic detection of these so-called hot spots and finding an optimal coefficient per ray for these cells, and using a background value for other regions. This background may be climatological or estimated from C-band radar data (Ryzhkov et al. 2007; Gu et al. 2011).
The number of studies evaluating the performance of methods to correct for rain-induced attenuation on long radar datasets from at least a few months, is limited. Usually a few to tens of case studies are evaluated. Here, we present an overview of studies involving longer radar datasets. Two groups of methods are discussed. First, considering those based on Hitschfeld–Bordan type algorithms. Van de Beek et al. (2010) apply attenuation correction to 195 events from an X-band FM-CW radar with a 15.36-km range in the Netherlands, and evaluate the improvement. Marra and Morin (2015) correct for attenuation on a 23-yr record from a C-band radar with a 150-km range in Israel, using a maximum attenuation correction of 10 dBZ, and do not specifically evaluate the attenuation correction algorithm. Thorndahl et al. (2014) apply a power-law kh–Zh relation to correct for attenuation on a 10-yr C-band radar dataset from Denmark, up to a range of 75 km, but specific details on the algorithm as well as a quantification of its quality are not presented. Jacobi and Heistermann (2016) apply the MK method, which outperforms other Hitschfeld–Bordan based algorithms when evaluated on a 6-yr dataset from one radar in southwest Germany. These studies do not employ hydrometeor classification, air temperatures from a numerical weather prediction model, or observations to separate liquid from solid precipitation in order to only apply attenuation correction on the former precipitation type (i.e., rain).
Second, the Kdp-based algorithms are discussed. Figueras i Ventura et al. (2012) study 29 radar-event dates for a warm period in France, where estimates within 60-km range from five C-band radars are compared with rain gauge data. Both estimates without attenuation correction and those which were corrected via a linear relation between differential phase and kh are evaluated. Dolan et al. (2013) apply a Kdp-based attenuation correction to nearly 1100 days of radar observations for a C-band radar in Darwin, Australia, limited to 100-km range, but do not evaluate the performance of the attenuation correction. Diederich et al. (2015) evaluate 5-month datasets from two X-band radars in Germany, also quantifying the effect of an attenuation correction. Crisologo et al. (2014) apply a dual-pol algorithm employing the kh–Kdp relationship. That algorithm, also used in this study, is applied to a 5-month C-band radar dataset from a tropical climate (the Philippines) up to a range of 120 km, which assures that rain is the dominant precipitation type (although no hydrometeor classification or temperature information is utilized).
The lack of long-term evaluations is addressed in this study by employing a 318-day dataset from two C-band radars in the Netherlands, which is a midlatitude country (~52°N, ~5°E) with a temperate climate. Its climatology (1990–2020) is characterized by country-average precipitation of 856 mm annually, with 220 mm in winter, 158 mm in spring, 240 mm in summer and 238 mm in autumn. Most precipitation falls as rainfall. Summer rainfall is dominated by localized convective events. A single-pol (MK method) and a dual-pol (Kdp method) based attenuation correction algorithm are evaluated and compared, which has, to the best of our knowledge, not been attempted before. This allows verification of the claim that dual-pol based attenuation algorithms can outperform single-pol based ones for operational products. The core of the attenuation correction methods is part of the open-source Python library for weather radar data processing, wradlib (Heistermann et al. 2013; Crisologo et al. 2014; Jacobi and Heistermann 2016), which facilitates reproducibility and increases the usefulness of this study. An innovation for large datasets is that in both methods forecasted freezing-level heights from the high-resolution numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME are employed (Bengtsson et al. 2017). This is done to avoid violating the assumption that all hydrometeors are raindrops. For both methods, a radar voxel only contributes to the computed PIA if its height is below this freezing-level height. Radar voxels assigned as nonmeteorological by wradlib’s fuzzy echo classification algorithm (Overeem et al. 2020) do not contribute to the computation of PIA.
Relations between k on the one hand and Zh and Kdp on the other are derived using measured raindrop size distributions and scattering computations. We also provide uncertainty estimates for the coefficients and exponents of these relations. These can be used to set the range of coefficients and exponents in the MK method, and to provide an uncertainty estimate of the corrected radar reflectivity factor for the Kdp method.
A systematic evaluation is performed by an extensive comparison of radar rainfall depths with gauge-based ones. This involves comparison of annual, monthly, and daily maps and verification of daily and hourly depths at 322 and 32 rain gauge locations, respectively (up to approximately 150 km to the nearest radar). The results are compared to those for which no attenuation correction has been applied. Finally, overlapping elevation scans from both radars are compared to investigate whether they match better after applying the Kdp method. Our study focuses on attenuation correction of Zh, which is solely employed for QPE, but attenuation correction of differential reflectivity (Zdr) is not considered.
Section 2 gives a description of the employed radar, rain gauge, numerical weather prediction, and disdrometer data. In section 3 the processing chain is explained, including the removal of nonmeteorological echoes, attenuation correction methods, the derivation of pseudo–constant-altitude plan position indicator (pseudo-CAPPI) images, the compositing of those images and the rainfall retrieval. Section 4 evaluates the performance of the attenuation correction algorithms, and section 5 highlights a number of discussion points. This paper ends with conclusions and some recommendations in section 6.
2. Data
a. Radars
The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) operates two Gematronik METEOR 735CDP10 magnetron-based C-band dual-pol Doppler weather radars, located in the Netherlands, in Den Helder (52.953°N, 4.790°E, 51.0 m MSL, WMO code 6234) and Herwijnen (51.837°N, 5.138°E, 27.7 m MSL, WMO code 6356). They have an antenna diameter of 4.3 m, a wavelength of 5.326 cm (5.6 GHz), an antenna gain of 45 dB, a transmit peak power of 500 kW (250 kW per polarization), and a 3-dB beamwidth of 0.905°. Solar monitoring was employed to detect deviations in the pointings of the antennas as small as 0.05° (Beekhuis and Mathijssen 2018). Frequency–domain Doppler notch filtering with spectral reconstruction was applied to remove stationary echoes. A speckle filter was applied to remove isolated range bins with valid data surrounded by range bins with no data (Leijnse et al. 2016). Beekhuis and Mathijssen (2018) provide more information on these radars, such as the hardware calibration. The starting point for this study is the 16-bit volumetric data from both radars from the period 1430 UTC 3 August 2017–0800 UTC 31 July 2018, with a data availability of 98.8% and 99.1% for the radar in Den Helder and Herwijnen, respectively. Note that missing radar data were mainly caused by IT problems and planned maintenance, and rarely by malfunctioning radars. Every 5 min, the radars performed 16 azimuthal scans of 360° around a vertical axis. Data from elevation scans 5 (2.0°), 6 (0.8°), and 7 (0.3°) were employed, since these are used for deriving operational radar precipitation products. Figure 1 displays the radar locations, as well as the volume coverage pattern for these elevation scans. Table 1 lists characteristics of the utilized elevation scans.
Technical characteristics of the employed radar elevation scans.
b. Rain gauges
KNMI operates two rain gauge networks (Fig. 1). Hourly (each clock hour) rainfall depths were obtained from the automatic network of 32 gauges (density of ~1 gauge per 1000 km2). Daily (0800–0800 UTC) rainfall depths were obtained from the manual network of 322 gauges (density of ~1 gauge per 100 km2). These point (i.e., nongridded) data are employed for validation of hourly and daily rainfall depths from the corresponding radar pixel. In addition, daily in space interpolated rainfall depths from manual gauges were employed and accumulated to monthly and annual rainfall accumulations for the visual evaluation of radar rainfall maps. The automatic gauges are electronic ones that measure the precipitation depth using the displacement of a float placed in a reservoir, whereas the manual rain gauges are read by volunteers (KNMI 2000).
c. Numerical weather prediction data
To allow for distinguishing between rain and other types of precipitation, the forecasted freezing-level height from the numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME (Bengtsson et al. 2017) cycle 38, as of 3 April 2018 cycle 40, was obtained. HARMONIE-AROME is a nonhydrostatic regional NWP model used operationally at KNMI and various other European weather centers. At KNMI, the HARMONIE-AROME model operates at 2.5 km × 2.5 km horizontal resolution and 65 vertical levels, and 48-h-long forecasts are initiated every three hours. For each cell and simulation output time-step, the first level for which the dry-bulb temperature reached at least 273.15 K was determined by scanning from the top of the atmosphere downward. In this study, the freezing-level height was computed by interpolation of the height of this level and the one above it, using their respective temperatures in the weighting. Because the freezing-level height will be employed to determine whether precipitation is liquid, in which case the air is (nearly) saturated, the dry-bulb temperature will be similar to the wet-bulb temperature. The subset covered the Netherlands and surroundings, coinciding with the radar coverage. The analysis was limited to data which would have been available in real time for coupling with real-time 5-min radar data, resulting in the use of the forecasts with +2-, +3-, +4-, or +5-h lead time, being available every 3 h. For instance, radar data with a time stamp of 0800–0825 UTC (representing the start time of the first elevation scan) were coupled with the 0600 UTC run with a +2-h lead time. Time stamps from 0830 to 0925 UTC were coupled with the +3-h lead time, from 0930 to 1025 UTC with the +4-h lead time, and from 1030 to 1055 UTC with the +5-h lead time.
d. Disdrometers
3. Methods
The flowchart in Fig. 2 provides an overview of the radar data processing chain. The starting point is the volumetric radar data from elevation scans 5, 6, and 7 (see Table 1) from the two KNMI radars. First, the fuzzy logic echo classification and clutter identification based on polarimetric moments from the open-source Python library for weather radar data processing wradlib is applied (Heistermann et al. 2013). Subsequently, attenuation correction is employed either via the MK or via the Kdp method. Figure 3 is used to illustrate the fuzzy logic and attenuation correction methods for one time interval with strong attenuation for the lowest elevation scan from the coastal radar in Den Helder. Next, 1500-m pseudo-CAPPI images of radar reflectivity factors are obtained for each radar, which are subsequently merged into one composite using range-weighted averaging (i.e., not dBZh values). Finally, 5-min rainfall intensities are retrieved from the horizontal reflectivity composites using the Marshall–Palmer Zh–R relation (Zh = 200R1.6), which are accumulated to hourly, daily, monthly, and annual rainfall (Wessels 1972; Holleman 2006).
a. Nonmeteorological echo classification and removal
The function clutter.classify_echo_fuzzy from wradlib version 1.4.2 (Mühlbauer and Heistermann 2019) is employed to classify and remove nonmeteorological echoes from volumetric radar data. The fuzzy logic algorithm and settings from Overeem et al. (2020) are utilized, where the echo is assumed to be nonmeteorological in case the weighted average of the degree of membership to the meteorological target class is lower than a threshold value of 0.6. An illustration of the classification is provided in Fig. 3.
b. Classification of rain echoes with freezing-level height
The forecasted freezing-level height from the numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME, which would have been available in real time for the time stamp of the radar data, is employed to decide whether a Zh value can be due to rain. The forecasts are used because of the latency due to the computation time of the model. For each radar voxel the height of the center of the radar beam is computed. If this height is below the freezing-level height, precipitation is assumed to be liquid. Due to storage issues of the HARMONIE data, these are not always available for coupling with radar data. In these cases, the volumetric radar data are not processed, resulting in a reduced availability of radar data, which becomes 92% over the entire period (318 days have data). Figure 3 shows for one time interval the freezing-level height and the radar beam height for the lowest elevation scan.
c. Attenuation correction via MK
PIA is only calculated with radar voxels below the forecasted freezing-level height. PIA is only added to Zh for radar voxels classified as meteorological. The MK method (Jacobi and Heistermann 2016) is a gate-by-gate attenuation correction based on the iterative approach of Hitschfeld and Bordan (1954) with two constraints: the maximum allowed Zh,cor is 59 dBZh and the maximum allowed PIA is 10 dB to avoid the risk of applying overly large corrections associated with numerical instabilities, which would result in a large overestimation of rainfall. Note that this is stricter than the value of 20 dB in Jacobi and Heistermann (2016), although a PIA of 10 dB is still large (a factor 10). MK outperforms other Hitschfeld–Bordan based attenuation correction algorithms for a 6-yr C-band weather radar dataset in southwest Germany (Jacobi and Heistermann 2016) and is implemented in the wradlib function atten.correct_attenuation_constrained, which is used in this study. The default value for sector_thr of 10 is employed, which is the number of adjacent beams for which the attenuation is recalculated in case the constraints are not met [see Jacobi and Heistermann (2016) for more details]. Figure 3 shows for one elevation scan and time interval that PIA only becomes 6 dB or larger, for certain azimuths experiencing moderate to heavy rain, which results in clearly higher values for Zh,cor. The wradlib function atten.correct_attenuation_constrained requires an initial value for the linear coefficient α of the
d. Attenuation correction via specific differential phase (Kdp)
e. kh–Kdp and kh–Zh relations
It is assumed here that the relations between horizontal specific attenuation kh on the one hand and specific differential phase Kdp and horizontal radar reflectivity factor Zh on the other are power laws. Because the wradlib function atten.pia_from_kdp only supports linear kh–Kdp relations, it is assumed that the exponent of this power law is equal to 1. The values of the coefficients and exponent of kh = γKdp and
Bulk radar variables are computed from 1-min drop size distributions (Bringi and Chandrasekar 2001) as in Leijnse et al. (2010), using T-matrix computations (Mishchenko 2000), with raindrop axis ratios from Andsager et al. (1999) and the complex refractive index of water from Liebe et al. (1991) at a temperature of 15°C (note that the effect of the temperature is small). Figure 4 shows how the specific horizontal attenuation kh depends on Kdp and on Zh. Power-law relations have been fitted on these data, with and without fixing the exponents to 1. All fits are limited to points with kh ≥ 0.05 dB km−1 and Zh ≥ 30 dBZ in order to derive relations valid for the most relevant range of values for this paper. The kh–Zh relations are fitted based on logarithmic transforms of both kh and Zh. The resulting fits are also shown in Fig. 4. It is clear that the assumption of a linear kh = γKdp relation holds. The resulting coefficient that is used in the remainder of this paper is
f. Pseudo-CAPPI per radar
For each radar horizontal cross sections of horizontally polarized radar reflectivity factors at constant altitude, called pseudo-CAPPIs, are constructed from the volumetric radar data. These pseudo-CAPPI images contain 8-bit reflectivity values, quantized in levels of 0.5 dBZh, at a 1-km spatial resolution. Figure 1 displays the volume coverage pattern, where the thick line denotes the pseudo-CAPPI at 1500 m. For the first 40 km from the radar only data from the 2.0° elevation are used. For the domain from 40 to 121 km from the radar, the pseudo-CAPPI is constructed by linear interpolation of the reflectivity values (dBZh) of the nearest elevation below and above the 1500-m height. This interpolation is done in logarithmic space, which is the default method in operational radar processing software, to further reduce the influence of nonmeteorological echoes. Only the reflectivity values of the lowest elevation are used for areas beyond 121 km from the radar, where it crosses the height of 1500 m.
g. Compositing pseudo-CAPPI images
The pseudo-CAPPI images from the individual radars are combined into one composite using range-weighted compositing, where reflectivities close to the radar are assigned lower weights to limit the impact of bright bands and spurious echoes, i.e., the other radar is assigned higher weights. This compositing method prevents the occurrence of discontinuities in the radar-derived rainfall images in the vicinity of the radar and at the edge of the coverage of a radar (Overeem et al. 2009). Composites are only obtained if the pseudo-CAPPIs from both radars contain data, in which case the reflectivity values are linearly averaged, i.e., the arithmetic mean is computed.
h. Rainfall retrieval
4. Results
Evaluations against rain gauge data are presented for three radar rainfall datasets: 1) no attenuation correction, 2) attenuation correction with MK method, and 3) attenuation correction with Kdp method. Note that it is not the aim of this study to unravel all specific sources of error causing differences between gauge and radar data (Hazenberg et al. 2011, 2013; van de Beek et al. 2016).
a. Annual and monthly rainfall accumulations
First, a general impression of the improvement in QPE for the MK and Kdp methods is given. Annual and selected monthly rainfall maps are presented in Fig. 5. The first column shows the maps based on interpolated manual rain gauge data. The second column reveals a severe underestimation in the radar rainfall maps which have not undergone attenuation correction. In general, radar rainfall maps are in better agreement with the gauge-based ones if the MK method (third column) is applied. QPE shows an even larger improvement when the Kdp method (fourth column) is utilized. Though improvements in the annual rainfall maps are relatively modest (first row), larger improvements are found for monthly rainfall maps (second, third, and fourth row), where the Kdp attenuation correction method performs better than the MK attenuation correction method. July 2018 shows small rainfall depths, but persistent nonmeteorological echoes above sea, mainly related to shipping to the ports of Rotterdam (the Netherlands) and Antwerp (Belgium). From August 2017 and April 2018 one could conclude that echoes due to maritime transport are amplified by the attenuation correction methods, but July 2018 shows that nonmeteorological echoes are not clearly amplified.
b. Verification of hourly and daily rainfall depths
An independent verification of daily (0800–0800 UTC) and hourly radar rainfall depths against rain gauges is performed to quantify the influence of the attenuation correction algorithms on QPE. Table 2 shows metrics for the relative bias of radar rainfall depths compared to the corresponding gauge rainfall depths, the residual standard deviation, the Pearson correlation coefficient (ρ) and the mean absolute error for daily rainfall. Here, a residual is defined as the radar rainfall depth minus the gauge rainfall depth. Results are presented for all values and for those where radar and/or gauge exceed specific thresholds. Note that all selected values are used to compute the metrics. A number of conclusions can be drawn from Table 2: 1) severe underestimation of rainfall by 47.6%–51.1% without attenuation correction; 2) the average underestimation is ~3–9 and ~7–14 percentage points lower for the MK and the Kdp method, respectively, compared to a reference without attenuation correction. Underestimation decreases for increasing rainfall depths for both methods; 3) the residual standard deviation slightly decreases without threshold and for the 0.1-mm threshold, it slightly increases for the 10.0-mm threshold, but it strongly increases for the 20.0-mm threshold (likely related to the much higher variability for larger rainfall depths); 4) generally a slight decrease in ρ is found compared to the case without attenuation correction (likely related to decreasing range of rainfall values); 5) MAE decreases slightly without threshold and for the 0.1-mm threshold, but it shows a strong reduction for the larger rainfall depths, especially for the Kdp method.
Validation of 24-h 0800 UTC rainfall accumulations of radar composites. Mean daily rainfall depth of the manual rain gauges, bias, residual standard deviation (std dev), Pearson correlation coefficient, and mean absolute error (MAE) are given for the validation with the manual rain gauge network over the period 3 Aug 2017–31 Jul 2018. Threshold means that radar and/or gauge are above the threshold value. Results are shown without attenuation correction and with MK and Kdp attenuation correction.
Figure 6 shows scatter density plots where only radar–gauge pairs are used for which the gauge rainfall depths are above 1 mm. The first row shows the results for daily rainfall over the entire period. Differences in the values for the coefficient of variation (CV) and ρ2 are small, but the underestimation decreases from 50.8% to 47.6% (MK) or 44.1% (Kdp), and values are much closer to the 1:1 line after attenuation correction. To study seasonal differences in performance, scatter density plots are also provided for the winter months (row 2) and the summer months (row 3). In the winter months only a reduction of a few percentage points in the underestimation is found for the Kdp method. In many cases the radar beam will be above the forecasted freezing-level height, where precipitation is usually not liquid. Hence, the attenuation correction is not applied in these cases. For the MK method the improvement is even negligible, which was also found by Hazenberg et al. (2011) for a region in Belgium. The highest rainfall intensities generally occur in the summer months, where attenuation is expected to play a larger role. The underestimation decreases from 36.6% to 30.8% (MK) or 26.5% (Kdp), where the other metrics only show slight differences for the MK method and small improvements for the Kdp method. Moreover, the values are much closer to the 1:1 line.
Table 3 has the same layout as Table 2, but shows the validation of hourly rainfall accumulations. The following conclusions can be drawn: 1) severe underestimation of rainfall by 43.9%–54.7% without attenuation correction; 2) the average underestimation is ~3–15 and ~7–18 percentage points lower for the MK and the Kdp method, respectively, where underestimation is lowest for the two highest thresholds; 3) the residual standard deviation slightly decreases without threshold and for the 0.1-mm threshold, but generally increase more strongly for the larger rainfall depths; 4) For the MK method ρ stays constant or slightly decreases, whereas for the Kdp method always a small increase is found; 5) MAE stays equal or decreases slightly without threshold and for the 0.1-mm threshold, but displays a stronger reduction for the larger rainfall depths, especially for the Kdp method.
Validation of 1-h (clock hour) rainfall accumulations of radar composites. Mean hourly rainfall depth of the automatic rain gauges, bias, residual standard deviation, Pearson correlation coefficient, and mean absolute error are given for the validation with the automatic rain gauge network over the period 3 Aug 2017–31 Jul 2018. Threshold means that radar and/or gauge are above the threshold value. Results are shown without attenuation correction and with MK and Kdp attenuation correction.
The fourth row in Fig. 6 shows scatter density plots for hourly rainfall over the entire period. The underestimation decreases from 52.2% to 47.4% (MK) or 43.7% (Kdp), and values are much closer to the 1:1 line. Improvements in the values for CV and ρ2 are found when applying the Kdp method, whereas values for the MK method only improve marginally.
Generally, both attenuation correction algorithms clearly improve QPE, especially in terms of bias. Notably better results are obtained for the Kdp method compared to the MK method.
c. Case studies
Case studies of daily and hourly rainfall depths are presented to exemplify the performance of the attenuation correction methods. Figure 7 presents daily rainfall maps bases on interpolated rain gauge data and based on radar data excluding and including attenuation correction. Row 1 shows a day (0800 UTC 8 September–0800 UTC 9 September 2017) with a mixture of convective and stratiform rainfall, where the attenuation correction algorithms improve QPE, especially for the Kdp method. Still, there are large underestimations with respect to the gauge-based map, which may be due to a variety of sources of error, such as vertical profile of reflectivity, suboptimal values of the coefficients in the Zh–R relationship, and radome attenuation (Hazenberg et al. 2011). Row 2 presents a severe convective case (0800 UTC 29 May–0800 UTC 30 May 2018), where the underestimations without attenuation correction transform to overestimations in the northern part of the country, especially for the Kdp method. This is investigated in more detail with the scatter density plots in Fig. 8, evaluating the daily and hourly radar rainfall depths against the gauge-based ones. All radar–gauge pairs from this day are compared at the rain gauge locations, taking into account only those pairs where the gauge measures more than 1 mm. First, daily rainfall is evaluated (first row). A strong underestimation of 21.2% is found without attenuation correction. Application of the attenuation correction algorithms leads to an overestimation of 3.1% (MK) or 7.5% (Kdp), and the value for CV slightly decreases. The value for ρ2 increases from 0.53 to 0.58 (MK) or 0.61 (Kdp). Next, hourly rainfall is evaluated (second row). A strong underestimation of 32.9% is found without attenuation correction. Application of the attenuation correction algorithms leads to an underestimation of 12.1% (MK) or 3.8% (Kdp), and the value for CV strongly decreases from 0.75 to 0.63 (MK) or 0.54 (Kdp). The value for ρ2 remains almost the same for MK (0.70), but increases for Kdp (0.78). The attenuation correction methods are effective in improving hourly and daily QPE, where the Kdp method performs best, except for the larger overestimation for daily rainfall. Note that part of the differences between radars and gauges will be related to representativeness errors. This day displays large spatial rainfall variability. The localized showers can easily be missed by a rain gauge, where the radar still captures the event due to its much larger measurement volume. On the other hand, a gauge may also record a higher local rainfall depth than the radar volume. Finally, also precipitation advection and the application of a five-point median clutter filter may play a role here.
d. Comparison between radars
Polar data from the three elevation scans (Table 1) are employed to compare Zh from the radar in Herwijnen with the one in Den Helder. The aim is to assess the ability of the Kdp method to decrease differences in Zh between both radars. Though none of the radars can be assumed to be the truth, attenuation will likely lead to larger differences between the two as the path through which the signals propagate, and hence the attenuation, is different for both radars. Hence, it also provides an estimate of the extent to which differences can be attributed to rain-induced attenuation. As an aside, such an assessment would also reveal systematic differences which may be due to hardware calibration errors.
Polar data from both radars are collocated by employing the Intercomparison function from the Rain Scientific Data Analysis and Display (RainSNIP; version 3.2.1) tool from Leonardo Germany GmbH. Only elevation scan data within 4 min (“trust time interval”), within a 200-m altitude difference of the center of the beams (“trust height interval”), and a ratio between the volumes of the two voxels from the radars of up to 1.3 (“trust volume ratio”) are considered. In addition, only pairs are selected where both Zh values are in the range 0–95.5 dBZh.
The output files of RainSNIP are used to make scatter density plots of Zh, comparing the radar in Herwijnen with that in Den Helder, where only pairs are considered having at least one Zh value of 7 dBZh or higher. Only those cases are selected where at least one of the radars experiences substantial attenuation (≥3 dB). This is determined by computing the difference between attenuation-corrected and uncorrected Zh for each radar and voxel separately.
Each column in Fig. 9 represents results from one season. The first row shows results without attenuation correction, whereas the second row shows results for the Kdp method. In general, differences between both radars are quite large, revealing appreciable scatter and biases ranging from 1.1 dB (winter) to 2.0 dB (autumn). Application of the Kdp attenuation correction slightly increases the bias from 1.2 to 1.4 dB (spring), and from 1.2 to 1.5 dB (summer), whereas it is reduced from 1.1 to 0.5 dB (winter) and from 2.0 to 1.5 dB (autumn). Remaining biases after attenuation correction point to other sources of error. Remaining hardware calibration errors and wet radome attenuation could play a role here. Since the criteria to match polar data from both radars are rather strict in order to assure a fair comparison in time and space, representativeness errors are expected to play a limited role. Since the radars are virtually sampling the same volume at similar range, other sources of error are expected to influence the data from both radars in a similar way, hence not leading to differences. Apart from the biases, attenuation correction clearly improves the correspondence in Zh between both radars: the value for ρ2 increases strongly and the value for RMSE reduces by 1.0–2.0 dB.
5. Discussion
a. Coefficients kh–Kdp and kh–Zh
The coefficients of the kh–Kdp and kh–Zh relationships are based on a large disdrometer dataset. Since raindrop size distribution and raindrop temperature can vary considerably in space and time (see Fig. 4), the employed coefficients will not be optimal for every event or even ray or time interval. This is expected to be less important for kh–Kdp given the near-linearity of this relationship, thus being less sensitive to variability in the drop size distribution. Uncertainties in the MK attenuation correction may be larger due to the nonlinearity. Figure 8 presents the range of rainfall estimates due to uncertainty in the value of γ (third column), where a minimum [0.064 dB (°)−1] and a maximum [0.098 dB (°)−1] value was obtained from section 3e. Differences can become relatively large for the larger hourly or daily rainfall depths from this day. Note that the disdrometer data were not employed to estimate the coefficients of the Zh–R relationship and their uncertainties. However, the employed coefficients provide a good fit to bulk variables as computed from observed drop size distributions from the Netherlands (Wessels 1972; Holleman 2006), and are used in KNMI’s operational radar precipitation products (Holleman 2007; Overeem et al. 2009). Moreover, these coefficients are commonly applied for radars in temperate climates.
The typical range of γ for C-band radars is 0.05–0.18 dB (°)−1 (Trömel et al. 2014; Ryzhkov et al. 2014). The average climatological value of 0.081 dB (°)−1, found in this study, and based on a 4-yr disdrometer dataset, is consistent with Carey et al. (2000) for a tropical climate, which was applied by Crisologo et al. (2014) to C-band radar data from a tropical climate. Vulpiani et al. (2012) apply this same value to data from two C-band radars from mountainous areas in Italy for a preliminary attenuation correction, where the temperature profile from the nearest radio sounding is used to roughly identify rain. Next, they perform a hydrometeor classification. Subsequently, the Zh values are corrected for attenuation by utilizing different values of γ for light, moderate, heavy, or large drops from which an optimal value for γ is computed at each range distance. This approach is similar to the one employed by Vulpiani et al. (2008), although they employ a Bayesian approach for hydrometeor classification which does not use temperature data. Such a method, where the hydrometeor classification precedes the attenuation correction, may help to select a more appropriate value of γ. By employing the air temperature from a numerical weather prediction model, the values for γ could even be chosen as a function of temperature.
b. Freezing-level height and rainfall detection
Since the attenuation correction methods are meant to correct for rain-induced attenuation, they should only be applied to radar voxels with precipitation in the form of rain. Volumetric radar data could reveal the height of the melting layer, where all precipitation below it can be assumed to be rain. However, such a melting layer can only be detected in case it occurs closer to the radar, because the radar beam height increases as a function of range from the radar.
Alternatively, air temperature observations could be employed, but radiosonde soundings are sparse in time and space. In addition, the more abundant surface temperature observations could be combined with an assumed lapse rate to estimate air temperatures aloft, but this also comes with uncertainties. Mode-S observations from tracking and ranging air traffic control radars also contain information on temperature (de Haan and Stoffelen 2012) and could possibly be useful for this purpose, but profiles are mostly available near airports and much reduced during the night. The forecasted freezing-level height from HARMONIE-AROME has been used because it always provides an estimate for the entire radar domain, with a reasonable temporal resolution of 1 h and with a high spatial resolution of 2.5 km. Uncertainties in this approach are 1) the forecasted freezing-level height may not be representative of the true freezing-level height; 2) it is assumed that echoes below the freezing-level height are rain, whereas still solid or melting precipitation or a mixture of precipitation types may exist below the freezing-level height; 3) the center of the radar beam is used to compare with the freezing-level height, whereas part of the beam may be above and below the freezing-level height. Hence, echoes may stem from different precipitation types. Given points 2) and 3) it might be better to use the height of the lower half-power point of the beam pattern; 4) the forecasted freezing-level height is available every hour and the closest forecast is collocated with the 5-min polar radar data. This implies that in case of strong temporal variability of the freezing-level height errors will occur. To improve the classification of rain, a hydrometeor classification could be preceded or succeeded by a classification based on the HARMONIE-AROME freezing-level height. Alternatively, the hydrometeor classification could be fed with air temperature data from a numerical weather prediction model.
The freezing-level height based on dry-bulb temperature is used, which is expected to be quite close to the freezing-level height based on wet-bulb temperature in case of precipitation (i.e., a saturated atmosphere). A case study based on HARMONIE model data (not shown) reveals that freezing-level height based on dry-bulb temperature displays much smaller spatial variability. Since it is difficult to capture the exact location of precipitation in numerical weather models, we expect that the lower spatial variability in the dry-bulb freezing-level height makes our analyses less vulnerable to inaccuracies in the location and timing of precipitation by HARMONIE compared to using a wet-bulb temperature. Hence, the dry-bulb freezing-level height from NWP will be more representative of the actual wet-bulb temperature in precipitation, especially in case of a spatial mismatch between model and actual precipitation.
c. Comparison with other studies
Relatively few studies evaluate attenuation correction algorithms on large datasets, and none of them compare single- and dual-pol based attenuation correction methods. Moreover, different radar bands (C, S, or X), climates, employed metrics and thresholds hinder an exact comparison. For instance, attenuation will be much more pronounced at lower latitudes, allowing for larger relative improvements in QPE due to attenuation correction. In addition, relative improvements with respect to QPE without attenuation correction also depend on the initial quality of the radar products. This can be different due to differences among radars and processing algorithms.
Crisologo et al. (2014) provide an evaluation of the Kdp-based wradlib algorithm against accumulations from 16 rain gauges over a 5-month period employing almost the same value for γ, 0.08 dB (°)−1 for a C-band radar in a tropical climate (the Philippines). Most apparent is the decrease in the underestimation from 43.4% to 13.7% for daily and from 45.7% to 15.8% for hourly rainfall, as well as the decrease in the residual standard deviation from 25.4 to 17.8 mm and the increase in the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency from 0.54 to 0.8, both for daily rainfall. This much stronger improvement compared to this study has to be caused by attenuation being more dominant as a source of error in tropical climates. This is even true when compared to the results for the summer months in the Netherlands, which often experience convective rainfall.
Figueras i Ventura et al. (2012) evaluate a Kdp-based attenuation correction employing a linear relation between differential phase and kh for five radars in France within a 60-km range from the radars comparing with typically between 30 and 50 rain gauges per radar. The C-band radar in Avesnes in northern France is expected to have a similar climate as the Netherlands. They employ almost the same value for γ, 0.08 dB (°)−1. Based on five rainfall events from the Avesnes radar (844 pairs) from July and August 2010, they find that the relative bias improves from −53% to −43% when applying the Kdp-based attenuation correction in combination with the same Zh–R relationship as used in this study, for hourly rain gauge depths larger than 1 mm. In addition, the correlation coefficient improves from 0.71 to 0.84. Based on four rainfall events from the Trappes radar (729 pairs) from July and August 2010, they find that the relative bias improves from −25% to −10% when applying the Kdp-based attenuation correction, again using the same Zh–R relationship for hourly rain gauge depths larger than 1 mm. In addition, the correlation coefficient improves from 0.80 to 0.86. A fair comparison with these metrics is provided by discussing the results for the scatter density plots for hourly rainfall in the summer months (not shown; 775 radar–gauge pairs), i.e., an extension of Fig. 6: the relative bias improves from −46% to −36% and the Pearson correlation coefficient increases from 0.72 to 0.77, which is comparable to Figueras i Ventura et al. (2012).
Jacobi and Heistermann (2016) evaluate hourly rainfall for the MK method for different rain gauge thresholds, where hourly time intervals in which none of the gauges exceeded a minimum threshold were discarded. They use data from one radar in southwest Germany. Although it is at a similar latitude as the Netherlands, differences in climate exist, notably caused by orography. Their results for a threshold of 1 mm can be compared to those for the MK method in Fig. 6. Note that the thresholding in Fig. 6 is applied to individual radar–gauge pairs instead of entire time intervals, which hampers an exact comparison. Their underestimation decreases from −51.6% without attenuation correction to −43.6% for the MK method. In Fig. 6 the underestimation decreases from −52.2% without attenuation correction to −47.4% for the MK method. In the current study, only the Kdp method gives a similar improvement (−43.7%).
6. Conclusions
An intercomparison of a single-pol and a dual-pol attenuation correction method was presented, evaluating a 318-day dataset of two C-band radars in a temperate climate to correct for rain-induced attenuation: 1) modified Kraemer based on Hitschfeld–Bordan where parameters of the power-law kh–Zh relation were adjusted such that reflectivities in the entire dataset do not exceed 59 dBZh and attenuation correction was limited to 10 dB (MK method); 2) two-way path-integrated attenuation (PIA) computed from specific differential phase (Kdp method). Only radar voxels with echoes classified as meteorological and below the freezing-level height contributed to the computation of PIA. This was achieved by employing the forecasted freezing-level height from the numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME. An extensive evaluation with rain gauge data showed that both attenuation correction methods generally improve QPE, mainly by yielding a lower underestimation, where the improvement is strong for rainfall extremes. The Kdp method provided clearly better results than the MK method. The verification especially revealed that the underestimation reduces from 51% to 44% for daily radar–gauge pairs (gauge rainfall >1 mm) for the Kdp method. Moreover, that the underestimation diminishes from 55% to 37% for hourly rainfall for the Kdp method when the radar and/or gauge indicates more than 10 mm of rain in that hour. The improvement for the MK method was less pronounced, with a resulting underestimation of 48% (daily) and 40% (hourly).
The average improvement of the relative bias in rainfall accumulations for the Kdp method also gives an indication of the effect of attenuation on QPE. Attenuation by rainfall accounts for approximately 7% underestimation in the Netherlands over all seasons and intensities. This contribution rises to approximately 18% for hourly rainfall depths above 10 mm. The relative importance of attenuation will be different in other climates and for different wavelengths.
The long-term evaluation gives confidence that both methods can be reliably applied in an operational setting. The stability of the MK method holds a promise for application to climatological data archives from single-pol radars. Apparently, this Hitschfeld and Bordan type of algorithm is stable due to its constraints, which is consistent with Jacobi and Heistermann (2016). Moreover, we encourage other researchers to evaluate our and other (e.g., Testud et al. 2000; Bringi et al. 2001; Gu et al. 2011; Vulpiani et al. 2012; Gou et al. 2019) Kdp-based attenuation correction methods on long radar datasets, from other radars and in other climates. For instance, Tabary et al. (2011) compare Kdp-based attenuation correction methods for 12 events in France, captured by a C-band radar, finding a better performance for the ZPHI method compared to the basic method (Bringi et al. 1990), which is also employed in our study.
We have also provided a method to estimate uncertainties in attenuation-corrected Zh based on the variability of raindrop size distributions. This quality information can be used for merging data from different radars, but also for generating uncertainty estimates in radar QPE products. These uncertainties can be very useful for many applications of QPE, such as hydrological modeling.
The open-source wradlib attenuation correction methods were applied. Freely available and well-documented libraries help to start research on improving QPE more easily. In addition, it facilitates reproduction of findings as in this study and has potential for implementation in operational processing chains.
Finally, this study reveals that the KNMI radars still underestimate rainfall with respect to rain gauge data, where the underestimation is especially strong in winter. The large systematic underestimations could be remedied to some extent by applying a default bias correction based on historical comparisons with rain gauge data. However, we advocate to first improve the radar data applying physically based methods and then adjust radar data using rain gauge data from the same time intervals. This shows the need for follow-up studies to improve QPE. For instance, through application of vertical profile of reflectivity correction algorithms (Hazenberg et al. 2013) or through polarimetry, e.g., by computing rainfall intensities from specific differential phase in case of moderate to heavy rainfall. Also attenuation due to other precipitation types, e.g., in melting hail (Ryzhkov et al. 2013), and especially melting snow in the bright band could be investigated and corrected for, although this is expected to play a minor role for the Netherlands. Instead, developing a correction for attenuation due to wet radomes (e.g., van de Beek et al. 2016) is considered more important for QPE and other applications.
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge funding from “Slim Water Management” program administered by Rijkswaterstaat on behalf of the Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management, from the Foundation for Applied Water Research STOWA, and from “het Waterschapshuis,” representing the 21 Dutch water boards, for the project “Onderzoek neerslagmetingen.” We thank the three anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments.
Data availability statement
The data employed in this study are freely available. The volumetric radar data can be retrieved from the KNMI Data Platform (https://dataplatform.knmi.nl/dataset/radar-tar-volume-denhelder-1-0 and https://dataplatform.knmi.nl/dataset/radar-tar-vol-full-herwijnen-1-0), as well as the interpolated manual rain gauge data (https://dataplatform.knmi.nl/dataset/rd1-5). The automatic and manual rain gauge data are provided by KNMI (https://www.knmi.nl/nederland-nu/klimatologie/uurgegevens and https://www.knmi.nl/nederland-nu/klimatologie/monv/reeksen; websites are in Dutch). The dataset of forecasted freezing-level height from the numerical weather prediction model HARMONIE-AROME is available from the 4TU. Centre for Research Data: https://doi.org/10.4121/uuid:b5ad2400-e7b3-43f8-8b82-ddde877ff3ee.
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