1. Introduction
Many problems in the development of cloud parameterizations and remote sensing microphysical retrievals require knowledge of the drop size distribution (DSD). For example, accurate approximations of DSDs are needed to formulate expressions for the drop sedimentation process and microphysical growth rates from collision–coalescence. A reasonable DSD approximation is also important in obtaining a correct estimation of rain based on observed radar reflectivity (via Z–R relationships). The approximation of DSDs by analytical fits provides a practical approach in representing DSDs in models that cannot resolve the full range of the drop size spectrum. Many of these bulk models formulate microphysical processes using one, two—or in more complex formulations—three moments of the DSD. These microphysical parameterizations assume that DSDs in either the whole or parts of the drop size range may be approximated by known analytical functions.
The most frequently employed approximations are gamma or lognormal functions; in more specific cases, the Khrgian–Mazin–type or Marshall–Palmer–type distributions are employed. For example, Feingold and Levin (1986), using observation of frontal convective clouds in Israel, showed that rain drop spectra can be approximated by the lognormal distribution. Willis (1984) analyzed DSDs from convective clouds in two hurricanes and found that a gamma distribution provided a best fit to the data. He suggested that results should apply to any convective clouds where the warm rain process applies through a deep vertical layer. Lognormal fits to forward scattering spectrometer probe (FSSP) spectra observed during the Atlantic stratocumulus transition experiment (ASTEX) yielded reasonable values of effective radius, with greater uncertainty associated with enhanced concentrations of drizzle droplets (r > 20 μm) (Gerber 1996). Cerro et al. (1997) found that the gamma distribution was generally able to represent rain drop distributions observed in precipitation episodes, with rain rates predominant in the range up to 5 mm h−1. Wood (2005) presented two examples of drizzle drop spectra fitted by an exponential function, which is a limiting case of the gamma distribution. In one example, the exponential fit gave an accurate estimation of precipitation rate and reflectivity, while in another example these parameters were overestimated. Both lognormal (Frisch et al. 1998) and gamma distributions (O’Connor et al. 2005) have been used in the development of algorithms for the retrieval of microphysical parameters. It is clear that no unanimity exists on the question of how best to represent the DSD in stratocumulus clouds.
At present, little is known about the accuracy of these approximations, especially their ability to successfully represent the higher-order moments of the DSD, such as reflectivity. Higher-order moments are difficult to estimate from measured drop spectra because large uncertainties exist in measurements of DSDs by optical array probes, especially near the tail of the spectra (see, e.g., Fig. 2 in Wood 2005). These uncertainties lead to large errors in estimates of rain rates and even greater errors in reflectivity. In this study, we evaluate the accuracy of lognormal- and gamma-type distributions in approximating higher-order moments of the DSDs. Our study is focused on drizzling stratocumulus clouds with predominantly bimodal distributions. We do not consider nonprecipitating clouds because cloud drop spectra in these cloud types are unimodal, and as we show below, their analytical approximation either by unimodal lognormal or gamma distribution can be quite accurate.
The advantage of large-eddy simulation (LES) model data is that the DSDs represent a simultaneous, three-dimensional snapshot of a wide range of in-cloud microphysical conditions. In situ particle probe observations, on the other hand, are restricted to the one-dimensional path of the aircraft. Beyond this, however, both approaches have limitations. Even with careful experimental design, instrumental data can be wrought with uncertainty, such as in the case of optical probes where large sample sizes (long flight legs) are necessary to obtain statistically meaningful measurements of drops in the drizzle size range. In the model, uncertainties in the simulated DSDs can be attributed to the formulation of fundamental microphysical processes, subgrid-scale condensation and activation, and inhomogeneous mixing effects—any of which can influence the simulated DSDs.
Section 2 provides a brief description of the Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) large-eddy simulation cloud model, the simulated cases, and the definition of analytical fits. In section 3, we present the evaluation of different analytical approximations. Results are discussed and summarized in section 4.
2. Approach
a. Model and data
The basic features of the CIMMS LES cloud model (Khairoutdinov and Kogan 1999) are briefly summarized here. The thermodynamic state is described in terms of virtual liquid water potential temperature and total water mixing ratio. Cloud physics processes are formulated based on prediction equations for cloud condensation nuclei and cloud/drizzle drops (19 and 25 bins, respectively). A detailed description of the model can be found in Kogan (1991), Kogan et al. (1995), and Khairoutdinov and Kogan (1999). Individual case studies and comparison of simulations with aircraft observations (Khairoutdinov and Kogan 1999; Liu et al. 2000) have demonstrated that the model can reproduce the major dynamical, radiative, and microphysical parameters reasonably well. Indirect tests of a bulk drizzle parameterization derived from model-simulated spectra (Khairoutdinov and Kogan 1999) showed good agreement with a large number of observational datasets (Wood et al. 2002; Wood 2005).
For this study we simulated several cases of stratocumulus clouds observed during the ASTEX field experiment (Albrecht et al. 1995). The setup of the model and the initial thermodynamic profiles were similar to the profiles used in Khairoutdinov and Kogan (1999). The initial aerosol size distributions were based on the ASTEX A212 and A209 cases and transformed to activation spectra as detailed in Kogan (1991). Flight A212 was characterized by light drizzle, while the smaller aerosol concentrations in A209 were typical for stronger drizzle. The simulated cloud layers are drawn from three cases: a light drizzle (LD) case, based on aerosol conditions from flight A212, and moderate drizzle (MD) and heavy drizzle (HD) cases, based on two distinct air masses sampled during flight A209. These three labels (light, moderate, and heavy) represent different intensities of drizzle in the cloud.1 Each case provided more than 19 000 DSDs collected from points inside the cloud with LWC larger than 0.01 g m−3. The range of cloud and drizzle parameters for all the performed simulations is shown in Table 1 and is illustrated in Fig. 1. The simulated cloud parameters are characteristic for drizzling stratocumuli evolving under clean maritime conditions.
Figure 2 shows examples of cloud drop spectra superimposed with vertical wind velocities in the moderate drizzle case simulation. Note the prevalence of bimodal cloud drop distributions.
b. Definition of the analytical fits
Various moments of the DSD function define integral cloud microphysical parameters. For instance, the third moment is proportional to the liquid water content; the sixth moment defines the radar reflectivity in the Rayleigh limit. In boundary layer stratocumulus, the drizzle drop fall velocity can be reasonably well approximated by a linear function of drop radius. As a result, the precipitation flux in such clouds is proportional to the fourth moment of the drop distribution. With this in mind, it is important to be able to approximate cloud DSDs by an analytical fit, the moments of which can be integrated analytically. The most commonly employed approximations are general gamma or lognormal functions.
Gamma or lognormal distributions (Feingold and Levin 1986; Frisch et al. 1998) are defined by two parameters, which can be related to the mean radius and spectral width of the observed DSD. To obtain a specific spectrum, at least one integral parameter, such as the total particle concentration or liquid water content, must also be known. Therefore, a total of three parameters are required to describe a specific gamma or lognormal DSD.
To obtain the three parameters defining analytical fit (2) or (5), we first calculate the zero, first, and second moments of the LES-derived DSDs. Substituting the values of these moments into (3) or (7) for k = 0, 1, 2 yields three algebraic equations for parameters N, σlnr, and rm in the case of lognormal distribution, or for parameters N, α, β in the case of gamma distribution (see the appendix). In principle, any three moments yield solutions for the analytic DSD parameters; the specific choice of k = 0, 1, and 2 corresponds to the typical notion of specifying a distribution by mean, variance, and total number (k = 0). The fidelity of the analytic DSDs are evaluated by comparing the fourth and sixth moments of each fit with the corresponding moments of the DSD calculated from the LES dataset. Note that in boundary layer stratocumuli, these moments are proportional to the drizzle flux and radar reflectivity.
Depending on drizzle intensity, drop spectra in stratocumulus may exhibit one or two modes: the first mode represents cloud (r < 25 μm) and the second mode represents drizzle drops (r ≥ 25 μm) (see, e.g., Figure 2). We, therefore, consider two fit types. The unimodal fit is defined by three parameters expressed through moments of the DSD integrated over the whole drop size range. The unimodal fit obviously is suitable for approximating the DSD in nonprecipitating clouds, whereas a bimodal representation will clearly be more accurate in precipitating clouds. The bimodal fit is a sum of two analytical functions, defined by three parameters expressed through moments integrated over the 1) cloud drop sizes, and 2) drizzle drop sizes.
3. Approximation of drop size distributions in marine stratocumulus
a. Evaluating three-parameter lognormal and gamma distributions
As mentioned above, the DSDs in light drizzling stratocumulus are mostly unimodal. The results shown in Fig. 3 demonstrate that in this case, the DSDs can be accurately approximated even by unimodal analytical fits. The accuracy of the approximation is progressively improved when a gamma distribution is employed in place of a lognormal function (Fig. 3, middle), and when the two-mode fit is used instead of a single mode fit (Fig. 3, bottom). Figure 3 demonstrates that the rain rate is approximated more accurately than radar reflectivity, obviously because the higher moments have an increased contribution from large droplets in the tail of the spectrum. The analytical approximations tend to overestimate radar reflectivity, particularly when single-mode L-fits are employed. Nevertheless, both analytical fits work reasonably well in this light drizzle case. In the case of nondrizzling clouds (not shown), both analytical fits provide highly accurate approximation of the DSDs.
Rain rate and radar reflectivity in the MD case are significantly underestimated by either an L-fit (Fig. 4, left), or a G-fit (Fig. 4, right) because the unimodal distributions fail to capture the contribution from the tail of the spectra. This underestimation is significantly reduced when bimodal fits are used (Fig. 5). The comparison between Figs. 4 and 5 also reveals that the bimodal fits yield a smaller bias relative to the unimodal fits. The bimodal G-fits also have a substantially reduced scatter and less bias, especially for evaluating rain rates. The same conclusions hold for the HD case (Fig. 6). Comparison of error envelopes (mean ± standard deviation) between L-fits and G-fits for the HD case is shown in Fig. 7. The errors of approximation by L-fits are much larger, especially for the small and middle ranges of rain rates and reflectivities.
b. Defining analytical fits in models with two-moment cloud parameterizations
In the previous section, the drop size distributions were approximated by three-parameter analytical fits. Some current mesoscale numerical prediction models (M. Xue 2008, personal communication) already incorporate three-moment cloud physics parameterizations (Milbrandt and Yau 2005a,b) and thus are capable of relating moments to the three parameters of an analytical distribution. On the other hand, the majority of state-of-the-art cloud and mesoscale prediction models still use two-moment schemes, meaning that only two prognostic variables are available for defining the analytical DSDs.
In this section we describe an approach to reduce the number of parameters defining a DSD analytical fit in marine stratocumulus clouds from three to two. This is accomplished by formulating a simple closure for the dispersion as a function of two other parameters of the DSD: drop concentration and mixing ratio. Drop concentration and mixing ratio are typically the prognostic microphysical variables in two-moment cloud parameterizations, both for cloud and drizzle drops.
For Nc > 30 cm−3, σc can be approximated by a constant value of 0.25. Since our focus is on drizzling stratocumulus, the relationship (9) is applicable only to the range of droplet concentrations corresponding to stratocumulus evolving under very clean maritime conditions. For much larger values of Nc characterizing nonprecipitating clouds, observations reveal a more complex relationship between σc and Nc (see, e.g., Pawlowska et al. 2006). For the precipitating stratocumulus in our cases, the cloud drops contribute only minimally to the higher-order moments, and the ultimate choice of σc [either Eq. (9) or assuming a constant value] has a very small effect on the results.
Figure 10 compares the results of using the G-fit, employing the closure for σd specified by (10) and (11). Obviously, calculating rain rates and reflectivity (top) from all three parameters is the most accurate approach. When the G-fit is determined by only two parameters with dispersion expressed by (10), the accuracy is significantly reduced (middle), resulting in more scatter for precipitation flux and increased bias for reflectivity. However, representing the dispersion by (11) yields a reduction of scatter for precipitation flux and less bias for reflectivity, although the scatter in the latter case is still significant, especially for large reflectivities (bottom).
c. Formulation of radar reflectivity in bulk models
Radar reflectivity Z is not explicitly predicted in bulk models. Its knowledge, nevertheless, is important for comparing model predictions with direct radar observations. The question is how to derive values of radar reflectivity based on the model prognostic variables. In two-moment microphysical schemes, these variables include concentrations and mixing ratios for the cloud droplet and drizzle categories, namely, Nc, Qc, Nd, and Qd.
Figure 11 shows the fidelity of the model-derived reflectivity fields by contrasting different approximations for DSDs with the case in which Z is calculated as a sixth moment of the full DSD predicted by the explicit microphysics LES model (Fig. 11a). The same field using the DSDs approximated by the two-mode three-parameter gamma function is shown in Fig. 11b. The three-parameter G-fit correctly shows the general structure of the Z field, with the exception of one area below the cloud top. This is the region where, because of early coagulation, the cloud and drizzle modes in the DSD overlap and are not distinctly separated. The three-parameter G-fit is more accurate in areas near cloud base. Here, because of the further coagulation of drops and consequent sedimentation, the two modes overlap less, leading to more accurate three-parameter G-fits.
Figure 11c shows the Z field for the case in which DSDs are fitted with the two-parameter gamma distribution, where σ is calculated according to (9), (10), and (11). In this case the resulting reflectivity field is very similar to the field employing the three-parameter G-fits; however, the area of high reflectivities near cloud top is missed in this case as well.
The most apparent limitation in the Z–R relationship lies in its poor representation of the finescale reflectivity structures evident in Fig. 11d, whereas these structures are captured more accurately using the three- and two-parameter gamma approximations. It should be noted that parameters a and b in the employed Z–R relationship were calculated from the complete DSD spectra corresponding to a specific case of drizzling stratocumulus. Unfortunately, this type of case-by-case tuning of the parameters is not possible in bulk models, where information on DSD is not available. As for any Z–R relationship, the generality of our parameters a and b is limited and should not be thoughtlessly applied to other cases because the application of Z–R parameters in conditions for which they were not formulated can introduce significant error into the calculated reflectivity.
4. Discussion
Cloud microphysical parameterizations and retrievals rely to a significant degree on the knowledge of the shape of drop size distributions (DSDs). Many investigations assume that DSDs, either in whole or in part, may be approximated by known analytical functions. This study evaluates the fidelity of two frequently used analytical fits (gamma and lognormal) employed for approximating DSDs in boundary layer stratocumulus by evaluating how well they represent the higher-order moments (fourth and sixth) of the DSD. The higher-order moments from the analytical fits are contrasted with the moments calculated from DSDs obtained from simulations of drizzling marine stratocumulus clouds observed during ASTEX. The numerical experiments were made using the CIMMS large-eddy simulation model with size-resolving microphysics. Three simulations represent different intensities of in-cloud drizzle: light (LD), moderate (MD) and heavy (HD) drizzle. Each of these simulations provided more than 19 000 DSDs for a wide range of drizzling conditions. The DSDs were used to define the parameters of the analytical fits and to serve as a benchmark for evaluating the fidelity of the DSD approximations.
We note that, depending on drizzle intensity, drop spectra in stratocumulus may exhibit one or two modes, with the first mode representing cloud (r < 25 μm) and the second mode representing drizzle drops (r ≥ 25 μm). We, therefore, consider two types of analytical fits: unimodal and bimodal.
The unimodal fit is defined by three parameters expressed through moments of the DSD integrated over the whole drop size range. The unimodal fits can be appropriate for approximating the DSD in nonprecipitating or lightly drizzling clouds. In clouds where precipitation is well developed, one can expect the bimodal fits to be more accurate. Bimodal distributions are defined here as the sum of two fits, the first defined by three parameters expressed through partial moments integrated over the cloud droplet sizes and the second defined by three parameters expressed through moments integrated over the drizzle drop sizes.We found that unimodal fits can represent rain rates and radar reflectivity rather well for nonprecipitating or slightly precipitating conditions. Under these conditions, the gamma distribution appears to provide a more accurate estimate of the rain rates and radar reflectivity. In cloud layers with heavier drizzle (more than 1 mm d−1), bimodal fits are significantly more accurate than unimodal. The gamma-type distributions fitted for each mode represent rain rates and radar reflectivities much more accurately than lognormal fits, particularly for the low-to-midrange of rain rates and reflectivities.
Our results, thus, show that drop size distributions in boundary layer marine stratocumulus can be most accurately approximated by six parameters defining the two-mode gamma-type function. Some current cloud resolving and mesoscale models include sophisticated three-moment cloud physics parameterizations (Milbrandt and Yau 2005a,b) and, consequently, predict six variables that can be related to cloud and drizzle concentrations, mixing ratios, and drop spectra dispersions. These six predictive variables can be straightforwardly linked to the six parameters of the two-mode analytical gamma or lognormal functions. Models incorporating this level of microphysical sophistication are, therefore, best capable of representing both rain rates and radar reflectivity, constituting an improvement in accuracy relative to simpler one- and two-moment parameterizations.
However, the majority of state-of-the-art cloud-resolving and mesoscale models still use the two-moment cloud microphysics formulation. In such models only four prognostic variables are available for constraining the analytical DSDs. Our results have demonstrated that one of the defining parameters of the DSD—spectrum dispersion—can be approximated as a function of the two other parameters of the DSD: drop concentration and mixing ratio. The latter parameters are predicted in two-moment cloud parameterizations, separately for cloud and drizzle drops. In the two-moment schemes, the dispersion of the drizzle drop distribution can be expressed as a linear function of the drizzle drop concentration, with parameters of the linear fit expressed by quadratic functions of the drizzle drop mixing ratio.
Note that a dispersion closure for conditions characteristic of convective clouds with heavier precipitation was proposed by Milbrandt and Yau (2005a), who demonstrated the importance of dispersion for obtaining an accurate estimation of sedimentation rates. Morrison et al. (2005) proposed a new double-moment bulk parameterization of cloud physics processes that incorporated the expression for droplet dispersion developed by Khvorostyanov and Curry (1999). It is notable that these parameterization developments were based on the use of the gamma-type distributions for drop spectra as well.
In summary, for precipitating boundary layer marine stratocumulus, our results indicate that an analytic DSD based on the two-mode gamma distribution is more accurate than the DSD based on the lognormal distribution. The gamma distribution also provides a more accurate representation of the radar reflectivity field in two- and three-moment bulk microphysical models compared to the conventional Z–R relationship.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by ONR Grants N00014-03-1-0304, N00014- 05-1-0550, and N00014-08-1-0681; by the Office of Science (BER), U.S. Department of Energy Grant DE-FG02-05ER64062; and by NOAA’s Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAA–University of Oklahoma (OU) Cooperative Agreement NA17RJ1227, U.S. Department of Commerce. Some of the computing for this project was performed at the OU Supercomputing Center for Education & Research (OSCER) at The University of Oklahoma. We appreciate the constructive comments of anonymous reviewers that led to the improvement of this manuscript.
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APPENDIX
Calculation of Gamma Function Parameters
Once N, α, β are known, moments for any index k can be obtained from (A5). In this study we used k = 2 for calculating parameters of the gamma distribution and then used (A5) for calculating the fourth and sixth moments. However, (A1)–(A5) hold for any value of k. Similar simple math manipulations allow calculations of parameters of the lognormal distribution.
Mean and standard deviation (in brackets) of drop spectra parameters for LD, MD, and HD cases. Here, Ql is liquid water content, Nc is cloud drop concentration, Rm is the mean radius of drop spectrum, R is drizzle flux, and Zd is reflectivity.
Drizzle is defined as drops in the 25–300-μm radius range.
The parameters a and b in stratocumulus can vary significantly. For example, from observations of stratus off the coast of Oregon, Vali et al. (1998) suggested the value of parameter b = 1.0. Comstock et al. (2004), from observations of southeastern Pacific stratocumulus, concluded that parameter b is in the range 1.1–1.4. We note the significant differences in environmental conditions and cloud properties between the northwestern and southeastern Pacific, as contrasted between the DYCOMS II (Stevens et al. 2003) and East Pacific Investigation of Climate Processes in the Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere System (EPIC; Bretherton et al. 2004) field projects. Obviously these parameters are highly sensitive to environmental conditions defining stratocumulus clouds.