1. Introduction
Under daytime insolation, elevated terrain warms faster than the surrounding atmosphere at the same vertical level. The associated horizontal buoyancy gradients drive thermal circulations, which may be enhanced or diminished by variations in sensible heat fluxes over the higher terrain. These circulations are responsible for important meteorological phenomena like the initiation of deep convection and venting of aerosols out of the boundary layer (e.g., Banta 1990). Even over broad mountain ranges, the updraft branches of these circulations may collapse into intense finescale circulations (e.g., Barthlott et al. 2011), rendering them difficult to capture in weather and climate models with grid spacings of a few kilometers or larger. Thus a strong conceptual understanding of their dynamics is required for their effects to be adequately represented in these models.
Although theoretical studies of thermally forced anabatic (upslope) flow along an infinite slope are numerous (e.g., Defant 1952; Haiden 2003), they do not address localized convective updrafts over the mountain crest that form owing to the convergence of airflow from opposite sides. These can be represented using linear theory, provided that the circulations are sufficiently weak that the linear approximation is valid. Reisner and Smolarkiewicz (1994) and Crook and Tucker (2005, hereafter CT05) used linear theory to study the impact of elevated heating on upstream blocking and mountain waves, respectively. However, these studies only considered steady-state solutions in a uniform atmosphere, which is a poor representation of real diurnal circulations that vary over finite time scales and form within more complex vertically layered flows. An alternative approach, which retains the steady-state assumption but relaxes the linear assumption, is the thermodynamic heat-engine framework (Renno and Ingersoll 1996). This was used by Souza et al. (2000) and Tian and Parker (2003) to relate thermally forced circulations over complex terrain—in well-mixed boundary layers with weak background winds—to the associated elevated thermal perturbation. Although this provided accurate diagnoses of updraft strength in nonlinear flows, its utility for prognosing updraft magnitude or for addressing more complex flows (e.g., stably stratified cross-barrier flows with significant background wind speeds) has yet to be demonstrated.
Uniform heating over elevated terrain produces a dynamically similar response to differential heating over flat terrain. Thus, studies of the sea–land breeze and other topographically forced circulations (e.g., flows induced by land surface heterogeneity) are relevant to the terrain-heating problem. Although a thorough review of this large body of literature is outside of the scope of this study, a handful of theoretical studies on the sea–land breeze are particularly relevant. Rotunno (1983) considered linear theory of the sea–land breeze in a uniformly stratified atmosphere with zero background wind, focusing on the latitudinal variation of the flow response and the phasing between the surface heating function and the thermal circulation. Qian et al. (2009) and Jiang (2012a) extended this linear theory by including, respectively, a background wind and irregularities in coastline shape. Although these studies have advanced conceptual understanding, they did not address the impact of boundary layer stability or the role of nonlinear dynamics on the dynamical response, both of which may be critically important in real flows. The linear theory of Jiang (2012b) did consider multilayer stability profiles, but it was applied to the problem of offshore gravity wave propagation rather than the strength of boundary layer circulations.
The objective of this study is to gain conceptual insight into the dynamics and sensitivities of topographically forced thermal circulations. To this end, a combination of linear theory, heat-engine theory, and nonlinear numerical simulations is used. The linear model fundamentally differs from previous linear studies of the terrain-heating problem (Reisner and Smolarkiewicz 1994; CT05) in that its consideration of both time variability and multilayer stability profiles admits important effects that were previously neglected. Although this theory is oversimplified and restricted by the small-amplitude approximation, its capacity to provide a predictive dynamical solution and to represent complex background flows and terrain shapes makes it a logical starting point for such an investigation. From the linearized equations a new scaling for updraft velocity is derived, the results from which are compared to nonlinear solutions and predictions from the heat-engine theory. Comparisons are provided for a wide range of boundary layer stabilities, background wind speeds, and terrain geometries, with a focus on narrower hills (widths of 1–20 km) that are poorly resolved in numerical forecast models and for which the Coriolis force may be neglected. This scaling is also applied to determine the validity of the linear approximation and to identify three flow regimes with distinct dynamical responses and parameter sensitivities. Finally, the numerical simulations are analyzed to gain insight into the dynamical mechanisms of the nonlinear regime.
2. Methodology
a. Linear model







Although this formulation contains important features that were previously neglected, it still fails to capture many real-world complexities. First, it does not take into account diurnal changes in boundary layer stability—it only isolates the dynamical impacts of diurnal heating and cooling within a steady background flow. Similarly, the assumption of an exponential heating function (9) with a fixed vertical structure differs from reality, where the effective heating depth shrinks in the stable nocturnal boundary layer. Despite these simplifications, this formulation allows for an attractively straightforward analysis that, as will be seen, does offer useful insights into more complex flows.



Schematic diagram of two-layer model. All symbols are defined in the text.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
The linear model is solved by applying four boundary conditions: a free-slip lower surface, an upper radiation condition, and matching of displacement and pressure at z = H0 (see appendix for details). It is represented on a discretized x-periodic domain with a length of Lx = 400 km and a grid spacing of Δxlin = 0.2am. These values of domain length and horizontal resolution are large enough to ensure numerical robustness yet small enough to allow for efficient solutions. Because the Fourier transform is not applied in the vertical, the solution does not depend on the vertical grid settings. Thus the domain depth Lz is set to be just high enough to contain the dynamics of interest, and the vertical grid spacing is Δzlin = 50 m to adequately resolve the low-level flow.
b. The heat-engine framework
Because the terrain is idealized as a flat heat source, no provision is made for the adiabatic temperature difference between the mountain base and peak, but it may be easily incorporated if needed (Tian and Parker 2003). Note that although the diurnally varying situations considered herein are obviously not in steady state, this theory is still reasonable if the time scale for an air parcel to loop through the circulation is much shorter than the diurnal time scale. This condition is only satisfied in the more strongly forced cases with more vigorous convective circulations; thus, as will be seen, the theory tends to poorly represent weakly forced cases. Note also that because this derivation assumes a closed circulation in a convective boundary layer, we only apply it to cases with
c. Idealized numerical simulations
To critically assess the validity of the linear approximation and to extend our examination to the nonlinear regime, we perform idealized numerical simulations with the Bryan cloud model (cm1), version 14 (Bryan and Fritsch 2002). This model solves the primitive moist atmospheric equations using a split time step procedure to maintain stability of acoustic modes. On the large time step, time integration is performed with a third-order Runge–Kutta scheme. Ten small time steps are performed for each large time step. Horizontal (vertical) advection uses a centered sixth-order scheme (a fifth-order scheme with implicit diffusion). Because no implicit diffusion is applied in the horizontal, explicit sixth-order horizontal diffusion is added to minimize spurious grid-scale waves. The domain dimensions are Lx = 400 km and Lz = 12 km and the grid resolution is Δxsim = 500 m and Δzsim = 100 m. Boundary conditions are open in x and closed in z with a free-slip lower surface and a Rayleigh damper over the uppermost 4 km to absorb upward-propagating gravity waves. The only physical parameterization used in the simulations is a 1.5-order TKE-based subgrid-turbulence scheme. The runs are “dry” in that they contain no water vapor.
The simulations are performed in double precision to diminish the amplitude of numerical roundoff error, which can trigger instabilities in weakly unstable flows like some of those considered here. Although turbulent eddies are physically realistic, they mask the thermal circulations of interest and thus cause the numerical and analytical solutions to grossly differ. By suppressing their growth and allowing model diffusion and/or subgrid turbulence to carry out the mixing, we may directly compare the two models on equal footing. The simulated circulations are thus best interpreted as time-averaged fields within a turbulent flow. However, their reliance on subgrid-scale (rather than resolved) turbulence and numerical diffusion may underestimate the degree of boundary layer mixing as well as the entrainment across the boundary layer top. Because both effects tend to weaken the horizontal buoyancy gradients that drive thermal circulations, the numerical solutions obtained herein may tend to overestimate the strength of these circulations.
Except for a single simulation that verifies the validity of the localized heating function in (9) for representing elevated heating, all experiments use flat terrain with this heating function. This is done for consistency with the linear model and because it isolates the thermal response to localized heating, which is the focus of this study, in the absence of any mechanical forcing. Another benefit of this approach is that the results are generalizable to any mechanism of differential surface heating (such as land surface heterogeneities).
The model initialization must be handled with some care to reasonably match the linear solutions. Because the linear flow dynamics are periodic in time and state-variable perturbations are always present over the flow volume, starting the model from rest (or with a uniform basic-state flow) imposes differences from the linear solution that persist indefinitely. To overcome this problem, the model was started from rest but the forcing was linearly increased from zero to its full amplitude over the first 24 h of integration, after which the simulation was integrated for an additional 48 h. By allowing the flow dynamics to develop gradually, the numerical-model solutions were able to fall into line with the corresponding linear solutions. All simulations are initialized at 0600 LT so that t = π/2Ω and Q = 0 in (9).
3. Scaling
a. Vertical velocity scale
We begin by estimating a characteristic magnitude of the thermally induced updraft velocity Wt. Although such a scaling is straightforward for a uniform atmosphere, it can become much more challenging in multilayer flows where the dynamics of a given layer are influenced by interactions with surrounding layers. However, if one restricts consideration to two basic yet highly relevant situations—a uniformly stratified atmosphere (N0 = N1) and a neutrally stratified boundary layer overlaid by a stable free troposphere (N0 = 0)—simple yet accurate scalings do become possible.








Care is required in selecting the horizontal (L) and vertical (H) length scales. For the continously stratified case (N0 = N1), the solution consists primarily of vertically propagating gravity waves. Following Rotunno (1983), the governing partial differential equation in (10) implies a natural aspect ratio of
For the neutral boundary layer (N0 = 0), the two-layer response does not conform to the natural aspect ratio of either layer alone. A mixed response develops in the vertical, with the dominant signal confined to the boundary layer and a weak extension into the stable free troposphere. An appropriate choice for the vertical scale is H = H0/2, midway through the boundary layer where the strongest vertical motions are found. In the horizontal, where the circulation extent is dominated by the applied forcing scale, we set L = am.
b. Validity of linear theory



c. Flow regimes





To provide a tangible comparison of the updraft magnitudes and linearity within these different flow regimes, Table 1 lists six different situations distinguished by their values of
Regime classifications and scaled thermal and mechanical updraft velocities (Wt and Wm) from (17) for a few different combinations of
d. Mechanical forcing
In addition to inducing thermal circulations, mountains force mechanical ascent when the background cross-barrier winds are nonzero. For taller obstacles, strong interactions between mechanical and thermal forcing may occur, such as when flow splitting around a massif creates a decelerated wake region that gives rise to an amplified thermal circulation (e.g., Jury and Chiao 2011). However, because mechanical forcing is not a focus of this paper, a thorough analysis of such complex interactions is deferred to future work.

4. Results
We first evaluate the approximation that the dynamical signature of elevated heating can be represented by a localized heat source over flat terrain. Figure 2 compares two simulations that are identical in all respects (
Comparison of w fields for simulations with (a) a Gaussian terrain profile with horizontally uniform heating [see (8)] and (b) a flat terrain with a localized heat source [see (9)]. Both cases use the following environmental and terrain-related parameters:
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
a. Examples of linear solutions
Linear-model solutions for the “baseline” case of hm = 1 m, am = 5 km,
Comparison of linear and numerical model solutions for the baseline case of hm = 1 m, am = 5 km,
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
The vertical-motion patterns in Fig. 3 generally differ from the steady-state solutions obtained by CT05 (e.g., their Fig. 4) that took the form of upstream-tilted vertically propagating gravity waves. These differences arise from our consideration of time variability, weak background winds, and a neutrally stratified boundary layer, all of which are common characteristics of thermally forced flows but were previously neglected. As in Fig. 2, the boundary layer response at 0000 LT is a solenoidal circulation with an updraft over the terrain centerpoint surrounded by two symmetric downdrafts. Strong horizontal convergence is apparent at the updraft bottom, with divergence at the boundary layer top. The peak updraft speeds at that time are similar to the Wt estimates from (17).
Surprisingly, both models generate their strongest downdrafts at around noon and their strongest updrafts at around midnight, or about 12 h after these features normally develop in reality. As discussed by Rotunno (1983), this is due to the dominance of the time-tendency terms in (5) and (6), which together imply up to a 12-h lag between the Q maximum at 1200 LT and the peak kinematic response. This is seen by solving (5) and (6) for the idealized case of
Vertical velocity fields of linear solutions for the six cases from Table 1 are compared in Fig. 4, where the display times are chosen separately for each case to capture their mature responses to the daytime heating. A rich spectrum of dynamical responses arises depending on the choices of governing parameters. For zero wind, a vertically decaying plume of ascent develops with a maximum just above the surface in the stable case (ST1; Fig. 4b). This is surrounded by two vertically tilted downdraft beams, forming a gravity wave circulation that transports perturbation energy large distances from the heat source. This response differs from the solenoidal circulation in the neutral case (GD1; Fig. 4a), where the perturbations are stronger but more localized at the heat source. The differences in the timing of these responses relate to their different thermal inertia: whereas strong buoyancy anomalies are sustained for several hours after the heating ceases in the GD1 case, they are rapidly weakened by stable ascent in the ST1 case. When the stability term dominates over the time-tendency terms in (6), the vertical motion becomes in phase with the heating function and the strongest updraft occurs at noon.
As in Fig. 3, but for six different linear model solutions using the parameter settings in Table 1. For reference, the name of each case follows the convention in Table 1 and the time is shown in the upper-right corner. The times are chosen to capture the thermal response in a mature state over the 1200–0000 LT period. Thin black contours are isentropes at a 1-K interval.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
For the neutral boundary layer, modest winds of
b. Parameter sensitivities
Experiments covering a broad range of parameter space are conducted to examine the environmental and terrain-related sensitivities of thermally forced updrafts. For all other parameters equal to the baseline case (am = 5 km,
Sensitivities of updraft velocity to (a) heating rate (for a fixed value of hm = 1 m) and (b) mountain height (for a fixed value of
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
Also shown in Fig. 5 are the corresponding Wt predictions from the heat-engine theory in (16), for the neutral cases only. These grossly overestimate Wt under weak forcing but closely match the simulations within the nonlinear regime. The poor performance in the linear regime is likely linked to the violation of the steady-state assumption in (16). With a characteristic updraft strength of Wt ≤ 0.1 m s−1, the time required for an air parcel to complete a full cycle through the convective circulation is over 12 h, which renders the steady-state assumption invalid. However, because meteorologically significant circulations usually exceed this strength, this overprediction in the linear regime is not a major concern.
The sensitivities of Wt to other governing parameters are shown in Fig. 6 for a weakly heated bump (hm = 1 m,
Sensitivities of updraft velocity to (a),(b) background cross-barrier wind speed, (c),(d) terrain width, (e),(f) heating depth, and (g),(h) boundary layer depth, for a neutral (N0 = 0, black) and stable (N0 = 0.013 s−1, gray) boundary layer. Left panels correspond to a short mountain and weak heating rate (hm = 1 m and
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
Similarly, the neutral and stable boundary layers exhibit contrasting linear sensitivities to am: the former sharply decreases with increasing am but the latter is largely insensitive to it (Fig. 6c). In the neutral boundary layer, Wt is controlled by the amplitudes of horizontal buoyancy gradients, which, all else being equal, strengthen as the terrain narrows. By contrast, for a stable boundary layer the vertical motion is governed primarily by the stability and the heating-amplitude Q0hm/D [see (20)], which is invariant among these cases. Although the linear scaling performs extremely well in the linear regime, it performs poorly in the nonlinear regime where the simulations exhibit virtually no sensitivity to am (Fig. 6d). As will be discussed in section 5, this is due to nonlinear advection, which profoundly modifies the evolution of the convective circulation. Compared to the linear scaling, the heat-engine framework provides a much better estimate of Wt in the nonlinear regime.
The updrafts tend to strengthen with decreasing D and increasing H0, both in the linear and nonlinear regimes (Figs. 6e–h). The linear scaling performs extremely well in the linear regime but, like the heat-engine model, it tends to overestimate Wt up to fourfold in the nonlinear regime. The linear scaling and heat-engine model show slightly different sensitivities to D and H0, with the former overestimating the slope of the simulated trend and the latter underestimating it. The general overestimation of Wt by the heat-engine model may not be a flaw with the theory but the result of the assumption that ΔT equals the integrated surface-based heating in (13). This is surely an overestimate—advection and diffusion both diminish ΔT by transporting heat away from the terrain. Nonetheless, Figs. 5–6 illustrate that the theory generally performs well in the nonlinear GD regime. Thus it serves as a useful complement to the linear theory, which performs best in the VE and ST regimes.
5. The nonlinear response
Although the linear scaling in (17) was successful at predicting Wt for the VE and ST flow regimes, it failed to accurately predict the updraft phase, strength, and sensitivity to am for the nonlinear GD regime. To gain insight into the mechanisms that control the circulations in this part of parameter space, we provide an in-depth analysis of the nonlinear numerical simulations, using the linear solutions as a reference to expose the nonlinear effects.
a. Physical characteristics
Some essential differences between the linear and nonlinear flow responses are shown in Fig. 7, which compares w and b fields for the case with hm = 100 m and am = 5 km (termed the “HM100-AM5” case) at 0600 and 1000 LT. At sunrise (0600 LT), the linear solution contains a strong downdraft at the terrain centerpoint surrounded by two updrafts (Fig. 7a), which is identical to the baseline case (Fig. 3a) except for a larger magnitude. The numerical model also has a central downdraft at that time, but its magnitude falls below the minimum contour interval (Fig. 7b). These circulations are accompanied by radically different b signatures; whereas the linear model has a cold anomaly extending vertically through the boundary layer, the numerical model has a thin, surface-based cold layer spread over a broad area (Figs. 7c,d). In the latter, nocturnal cooling above the terrain leads to a downward plunging of cold air and the formation of two density currents that transport negatively buoyant air outward (not shown). Despite the very idealized nature of this experiment, this is a realistic effect that resembles katabatic winds or coastal land breezes (e.g., Mahrt 1982). Between 0600 and 1000 LT the boundary layer downdraft strengthens in the linear model as cold air persists over the terrain, reflecting the high thermal inertia of this case (Figs. 7e and g). By contrast, the numerically simulated downdraft transitions into a compact updraft over the terrain centerpoint, which coincides with a relatively narrow buoyancy anomaly (Figs. 7f and h). Again, the narrowness of this updraft is consistent with real thermal circulations, the central updrafts of which collapse into sharp zones of concentrated ascent (e.g., Kirshbaum 2011; Barthlott et al. 2011).
Comparison of linear and numerical model solutions for the HM100-AM5 case. At 0600 LT, solutions for w are provided from the (a) linear and (b) numerical models, followed by b for the (c) linear and (d) numerical models. Similarly, 1000 LT solutions for w are provided from the (e) linear and (f) numerical models, followed by b from the (g) linear and (h) numerical models. Positive values are in filled grayscale contours and negative values are shown by dashed lines (using the same contour interval). Thin black contours are isentropes at a 1-K interval. Wind velocity vectors are overlaid as arrows.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
The sensitivity of the thermal circulations to am is illustrated by Fig. 8, which compares time series of relevant quantities for two cases in the nonlinear GD regime: the HM100-AM5 case (again, with am = 5 km) and the HM100-AM20 case (with am = 20 km). Four quantities are calculated within an analysis box covering
Time series of various quantities, calculated over the region
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
b. Vorticity analysis

Figure 9 provides a snapshot of the advection and buoyancy gradient terms of (23) during the growth phase of the HM100-AM5 simulation at 1000 LT (because the damping term cannot strengthen the circulation, we do not analyze it in detail). The buoyancy gradient term clearly increases (decreases) η for x > 0 (x < 0), which tends to strengthen the overall convective circulation (Fig. 9a). The advection terms have a more complex structure, with a strong couplet straddling x = 0 that locally sharpens the circulation and secondary features farther from the center (Fig. 9b). The broad evolution of these terms is shown by time series for the HM100-AM5 and HM100-AM20 cases in Fig. 10, which are again averaged over
Illustration of the dominant terms contributing to the averaged vorticity tendency in (23), for the HM100-AM5 simulation at 1000 LT: (a) the negative horizontal buoyancy gradient and (b) the nonlinear advection. Positive values are shown by filled grayscale contours and negative values are shown by dashed lines (with the same contour interval). Wind velocity vectors are overlaid as arrows.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
Time series of the dominant terms contributing to the averaged vorticity tendency in (23), for the HM100-AM5 (black lines) and HM100-AM20 (gray lines) simulations: (a) the negative horizontal buoyancy gradient and (b) the nonlinear advection. These quantities are calculated over
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
The main sensitivity to am in Fig. 10 is that |∂b/∂x| initially increases faster but reaches its apex much earlier in the HM100-AM5 case (around 1000 LT) than in the HM100-AM20 case, where it slowly increases to a maximum at around 1430 LT. Because the buoyancy gradient driving the latter circulation is maintained for substantially longer, the circulation ultimately becomes more vigorous. This is consistent with the evolution of the four quantities in Fig. 8. Whereas the magnitude of each quantity initially grows faster in the HM100-AM5 case, it eventually becomes larger in the HM100-AM20 case owing to its extended growth phase. In addition, Fig. 10b indicates that nonlinear momentum advection substantially weakens the circulation in the HM100-AM5 case between 1000 and 1800 LT (Fig. 10b). A similar trend is apparent in the HM100-AM20 case over 1400–2100 LT, but with a significantly lower amplitude.

Time series of the dominant terms contributing to the −∂b/∂x tendency in (24), for the HM100-AM5 (black lines) and HM100-AM20 (gray lines) simulations: (a) the zonal buoyancy advection, (b) the vertical buoyancy advection, and (c) the horizontal gradient of the heating function Q. These quantities are calculated over
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
Evolution of the convective circulation and central buoyancy anomaly in the HM100-AM5 case, in hourly intervals: (a) 0930, (b) 1030, (c) 1130, and (d) 1230 LT. Positive values of b are shown by filled grayscale contours and negative values by dashed lines (with the same contour interval). Velocity vectors shown by arrows, all using the same reference scale as that shown in (a).
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 6; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0199.1
The emergence of the vertical buoyancy advection term occurs earlier (1000 LT) in the HM100-AM5 case than in the HM100-AM20 case (1430 LT) because its stronger initial buoyancy gradients promote faster development of the circulation. At this time, a sharp increase in heat ventilation by the main updraft core transports the warmest air from the surface to the upper boundary layer (Figs. 12b,c). This air then spreads laterally, entrains free-tropospheric air to warm further, and begins to subside within the convective downdrafts. A large thermal anomaly is apparent by 1230 LT with two broad, symmetric lobes centered at
6. Conclusions
We have applied simple theoretical models and nonlinear numerical simulations to study the dynamics of thermally driven circulations forced by spatial gradients in terrain height and/or surface heating. A two-layer linear model, and an accompanying scaling of the linearized equations, was used to predict the strength of these circulations for a broad range of background flows, terrain geometries, and surface heating rates. For simplicity this model uses a steady background flow and neglects the Coriolis force, which renders it most applicable to synoptically quiescent, high-Rossby-number flow in the tropics or over meso-γ-scale midlatitude features. Although highly idealized, this model represents an advancement in the study of terrain-forced circulations because of its inclusion of time variability and multilayer stability profiles, which admit important realistic effects. Focus was placed on the strength of the updraft branches of the circulations, which often give rise to meteorologically significant phenomena. The linear scalings were compared to those obtained from a separate thermodynamic heat-engine scaling and to simulations with a nonlinear and fully compressible numerical model.
In addition to quantifying the bounds of applicability of linear theory and the relative strength of thermal versus mechanical circulations, the linear scaling was used to separate heated-terrain flows into three regimes. These regimes correspond to the following scenarios: (i) convective boundary layers under weak winds (the “growth–decay” regime), (ii) convective boundary layers under moderate to strong winds (the “ventilation” regime), and (iii) stable boundary layers (the “stratification” regime). Predictions from the linear scaling were highly accurate in regimes (ii)–(iii) for all of the flows considered. However, they failed in regime (i) for cases with realistic forcing amplitudes. In that regime, the heat-engine scaling significantly outperformed the linear model.
In the growth–decay regime, a solenoidal circulation developed with an intense updraft directly over the terrain centerpoint surrounded by two symmetric downdrafts. Compared to the other two regimes, updrafts in this regime were by far the strongest (by multiple orders of magnitude), suggesting that convective boundary layers with weak winds provide the strongest thermal forcing for convection initiation (all other things being equal). The highly nonlinear dynamics in this regime acted to contract the central updraft and buoyancy anomaly into a narrow core, which amplified the circulation by strengthening the thermal gradients that drive it. The nonlinearities then diminished the growth of the circulation by ventilating the warmest surface-based air to the upper boundary layer, where it spread outward to distribute the heating over a large area. This rapid contraction of boundary layer horizontal convergence zones to a critical intensity, followed by a slow weakening, is likely a general feature of thermal circulations over differentially heated surfaces (and not restricted to mountain flows).
In the ventilation regime, the updrafts weakened rapidly with increasing background winds because of the inability of buoyancy to accumulate over the terrain. The strongest afternoon updraft formed downwind of the heat source, with subsidence upwind and directly over the hill (in agreement with CT05). In this regime, afternoon convection initiation is thus more likely to form downwind of the high terrain, which is consistent with recent observations from the Convective and Orographically Induced Precipitation Study (COPS) field project (Hagen et al. 2011). The stratification regime was dominated by vertically propagating gravity waves initiated as a thermally direct response to the localized heating. Under zero background winds, a plume of decaying ascent developed over the heat source, surrounded by tilted beams of descent. In the presence of background winds, the waves tilted upstream against the mean flow, reminiscent of the steady-state solutions obtained by CT05. Of the three regimes, the updrafts were the weakest in the stratification regime because of the effectiveness of vertical motion at diminishing the central buoyancy anomaly, along with the gravity wave transport of perturbation energy away from the heat source.
The success of the linear and heat-engine scalings offers some hope for improved parameterization of related processes (e.g., convection initiation, aerosol venting) in large-scale models. However, the very idealized nature of this analysis, which helped to isolate the key processes of interest, may also compromise the real-world applicability of these results. For one thing, the linear scaling is only strictly applicable to very short hills; degradation of the linear solutions was apparent for even modestly sized (100 m) hills. The fundamental nonlinearity of thermally forced terrain circulations over larger obstacles thus diminishes the predictive skill of the linear scaling. Moreover, although the scaling provided insights into the relative importance of mechanical versus thermal forcing, the mechanical response was never explicitly evaluated. In the linear limit, the thermal and mechanical responses formally decouple and may simply be summed together (CT05). However, for nonlinear flows significant interactions may occur between these responses that were not addressed herein. These interactions remain an important yet poorly understood topic in need of attention. Finally, other than including dissipative terms in our linear and numerical models, we did not explicitly consider the impacts of turbulence on the thermal circulations. This likely resulted in an underestimation of boundary layer mixing and entrainment of free-tropospheric air. Because this mixing effectively diminishes the horizontal buoyancy gradients driving the thermal circulations, the strength of these circulations may have been significantly overestimated. Taken together, these limitations demand that additional research using three-dimensional large-eddy simulation be undertaken to more realistically represent the complex interactions between thermal circulations, mechanical forcing, and turbulent processes over heated terrain.
Acknowledgments
The author is grateful to Rich Rotunno for constructive comments on an early version of this manuscript, and to three anonymous reviewers who helped to improve the theoretical analysis. Funding from the Canadian National Science and Engineering Research Council Grant NSERC/RGPIN 418372-12 is acknowledged. Numerical simulations were performed on the Guillimin supercomputer at McGill University under the auspices of Calcul Québec and Compute Canada.
APPENDIX
Solving the Two-Layer System











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