A Unified Representation of Deep Moist Convection in Numerical Modeling of the Atmosphere. Part I

Akio Arakawa University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California

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Chien-Ming Wu National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

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Abstract

A generalized framework for cumulus parameterization applicable to any horizontal resolution between those typically used in general circulation and cloud-resolving models is presented. It is pointed out that the key parameter in the generalization is σ, which is the fractional area covered by convective updrafts in the grid cell. Practically all conventional cumulus parameterizations assume σ ≪ 1, at least implicitly, using the gridpoint values of the thermodynamic variables to define the thermal structure of the cloud environment. The proposed framework, called “unified parameterization,” eliminates this assumption from the beginning, allowing a smooth transition to an explicit simulation of cloud-scale processes as the resolution increases. If clouds and the environment are horizontally homogeneous with a top-hat profile, as is widely assumed in the conventional parameterizations, it is shown that the σ dependence of the eddy transport is through a simple quadratic function. Together with a properly chosen closure, the unified parameterization determines σ for each realization of grid-scale processes. The parameterization can also provide a framework for including stochastic parameterization. The remaining issues include parameterization of the in-cloud eddy transport because of the inhomogeneous structure of clouds.

Corresponding author address: Prof. Akio Arakawa, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, 405 Hilgard Ave., Los Angeles, CA 90095. E-mail: aar@atmos.ucla.edu

A comment/reply has been published regarding this article and can be found at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0246.1 and http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2011JAS3741.1

Abstract

A generalized framework for cumulus parameterization applicable to any horizontal resolution between those typically used in general circulation and cloud-resolving models is presented. It is pointed out that the key parameter in the generalization is σ, which is the fractional area covered by convective updrafts in the grid cell. Practically all conventional cumulus parameterizations assume σ ≪ 1, at least implicitly, using the gridpoint values of the thermodynamic variables to define the thermal structure of the cloud environment. The proposed framework, called “unified parameterization,” eliminates this assumption from the beginning, allowing a smooth transition to an explicit simulation of cloud-scale processes as the resolution increases. If clouds and the environment are horizontally homogeneous with a top-hat profile, as is widely assumed in the conventional parameterizations, it is shown that the σ dependence of the eddy transport is through a simple quadratic function. Together with a properly chosen closure, the unified parameterization determines σ for each realization of grid-scale processes. The parameterization can also provide a framework for including stochastic parameterization. The remaining issues include parameterization of the in-cloud eddy transport because of the inhomogeneous structure of clouds.

Corresponding author address: Prof. Akio Arakawa, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, 405 Hilgard Ave., Los Angeles, CA 90095. E-mail: aar@atmos.ucla.edu

A comment/reply has been published regarding this article and can be found at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0246.1 and http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2011JAS3741.1

1. Introduction

The importance of modeling the multiscale effects of moist convection was recognized around 1960, when the early attempts to numerically simulate tropical cyclone development failed to produce a large-scale vortex [see Kasahara (2000) for a review]. Subsequently, the idea of cumulus parameterization emerged and its primitive forms were introduced in tropical cyclone modeling (Charney and Eliassen 1964; Ooyama 1964) and, quite independently, in general circulation modeling (Manabe et al. 1965). Since then, cumulus parameterization has always been a central issue in numerical modeling of the atmosphere [see Arakawa (2004) for a review]. In spite of this, the rate of progress during the last several decades has been unacceptably slow, especially when it is compared to the rapid expansion of the scope of general circulation models (GCMs); so we may say, “the cloud parameterization problem is deadlocked” (Randall et al. 2003).

One of the most important sides of the deadlock is that the existing atmospheric models represent the complexities of cloud systems only in one of the following two ways: highly parameterized and explicitly simulated. The former has the objective of representing “apparent sources” (Yanai et al. 1973) that include the effect of subgrid vertical eddy transports, while the latter has that of representing “true sources” that are taking place locally. Correspondingly, besides those models that explicitly simulate turbulence, there are two discrete families of atmospheric models, as shown in Fig. 1a: one is represented by the conventional GCMs and the other by the cloud-resolving models (CRMs). In this figure, the abscissa is the horizontal resolution and the ordinate is a measure of the degree of parameterization, such as reduction in the degrees of freedom, increasing downward. These two families have been developed for applications to quite different ranges of the horizontal resolution in mind. What we see here is a polarization of atmospheric models separated by the “gray zone” in the mesoscale range. The difficulties in representing moist convective processes in this range have long been recognized among the mesoscale modeling community (e.g., Molinari and Dudek 1992; Molinari 1993; Frank 1993).

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.

The dipolarization and tripolarization of atmospheric models. See the text for further explanation.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

Recently, a new family of global models called the Multiscale Modeling Framework (MMF) has been added to the two families, as shown in Fig. 1b. The MMF is a coupled GCM–CRM system that follows the “super parameterization” approach introduced and used by Grabowski and Smolarkiewicz (1999), Grabowski (2001), and Khairoutdinov and Randall (2001). In this approach, cumulus parameterization in conventional GCMs is replaced with the mean effects of cloud-scale processes simulated by a 2D CRM embedded in each GCM grid cell. In this way, the CRM physics is used while staying with the standard coarse resolution for the GCM.

Because of the recent advancement of computer technology, straightforward applications of 3D nonhydrostatic models with explicit cloud microphysics have begun to be feasible even for studying the global climate (e.g., Sato et al. 2009). When a sufficiently high horizontal resolution is used, these models become global CRMs (GCRMs), as shown in Fig. 1b. This is an exciting development in the history of numerical modeling of the global atmosphere. The result is, however, a tripolarization of global models with the model physics formulated quite differently from each other. Because of this, both the GCMs and the MMF do not converge to a GCRM as the horizontal grid spacing is reduced even when they share the same dynamics core. The lack of convergence is not scientifically healthy since the spectrum in between the two scales represented by GCMs and GCRMs can be virtually continuous because of the existence of mesoscale phenomena. For such a spectrum, the use of discretized equations can be justified only when the error resulting from the discretization can be made arbitrarily small by using higher resolutions.

Jung and Arakawa (2004) showed convincing evidence for the transition of model physics as the resolution changes by performing budget analysis of data simulated by a CRM. In this analysis, a high-resolution run with cloud microphysics is made first (control). Lower-resolution test runs are then made without cloud microphysics over a selected time interval to identify the contributions from the dynamics core. By comparing these results with those of the control, the apparent cloud microphysical source “required” for the low-resolution solution to become equal to the space/time averages of the high-resolution solution is identified. This procedure was repeated over many realizations selected from the control. Figure 2a shows examples of the domain- and ensemble-averaged profiles of the required source of moist static energy obtained in this way. Here moist static energy is defined by , where and are temperature and water vapor mixing ratio, respectively; is the specific heat at constant pressure; is the latent heat per unit ; and is geopotential energy. The profiles shown in red and green are obtained using (2 km, 10 min) and (32 km, 60 min) for the horizontal grid spacing and the time interval of the test run, respectively, to approximately represent the true and apparent sources. The red profile shows a positive source due to freezing and a negative source due to melting immediately above and below the freezing level, respectively. There are practically no other sources because the moist static energy is conserved under moist adiabatic processes. The green profile, on the other hand, shows marked negative values in the lower troposphere and positive values in the middle-to-upper troposphere, indicating the existence of dominant upward transport from the lower levels to the middle and upper levels. Figure 2b is the same as Fig. 2a, but for the required source of total (airborne) water mixing ratio. The red profile shows dominant sinks in the middle troposphere resulting from the generation of precipitating particles and small peaks of positive source near the surface resulting from the evaporation of precipitation. The green profile again suggests the existence of dominant upward transport.

Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.

Domain- and ensemble-averaged profiles of the “required source” for (a) moist static energy (divided by ) and (b) total airborne water mixing ratio (multiplied by ) due to cloud microphysics under strong large-scale forcing over land obtained with different horizontal and time resolutions. The unlabeled profiles are obtained either with horizontal grid spacing between 2 and 32 km and/or with a time interval between 10 and 60 min. Redrawn from Jung and Arakawa (2004).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

Low-resolution models such as the conventional GCMs are supposed to produce profiles similar to the green profiles shown in Fig. 2, which may be called the GCM type, while high-resolution models such as the CRMs are supposed to produce profiles similar to the red profiles, which may be called the CRM type. As Arakawa (2004) emphasized, any space/time/ensemble average of CRM-type profiles does not give a GCM-type profile. This means that the cumulus parameterization problem is more than a statistical theory of cloud microphysics. Also, it is not a purely physical/dynamical problem because it is needed as a consequence of mathematical truncation. Finally, it is not a purely mathematical problem since the use of a higher resolution while using the same formulation of model physics does not automatically improve the result (e.g., Williamson 1999; Buizza 2010). A complete theory for cumulus parameterization must address all of these aspects in a consistent manner, including the transition between the GCM-type and CRM-type profiles.

As we have seen in Fig. 2, the required sources highly depend on the horizontal resolution of the model, as well as on the time interval for implementing model physics. A model that unifies low- and high-resolution models must produce this kind of transition when applied to different resolutions. Obviously, such a model must have a unified dynamics core, which is necessarily nonhydrostatic, and a unified formulation of model physics applicable to all resolutions. The former is rather straightforward, but unfortunately, the latter is not. Conventional cumulus parameterization schemes cannot be used for the unified formulation because they assume either explicitly or implicitly that the horizontal grid spacing and the time interval for implementing physics are sufficiently larger and longer than the size and lifetime of individual moist convective elements.

Arakawa et al. (2011) (and also Arakawa and Jung 2011) discussed two routes to unify these families of atmospheric models, shown as route I and route II in Fig. 3. The departure points of route I and route II are the conventional GCMs and a new generation of MMF, respectively, but they share the same destination point, GCRM. Route I breaks through the gray zone by generalizing a conventional cumulus parameterization in such a way that it converges to an explicit simulation of deep moist convection. On the other hand, route II bypasses the gray zone by replacing the conventional cumulus parameterization with explicit simulations of deep moist convective processes regardless of the horizontal resolution of the GCM. On this route, the apparent sources are not explicitly formulated but are expected to be numerically simulated.

Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.

Two routes for unifying the low- and high-resolution models.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

The purpose of this paper is to discuss a generalization of the conventional cumulus parameterizations following route I, while an approach following route II called the quasi-3D (Q3D) MMF is presented by Jung and Arakawa (2010) and will be updated in their forthcoming paper. The route I approach, which effectively unifies representations of deep moist convection in GCMs and CRMs, is called “unified parameterization.” Since the introduction of this subject by Arakawa et al. (2011), the algorithm has been made more elaborate and complete as we discuss in this paper. Section 2 identifies the problems to be addressed in developing a unified parameterization and introduces the fractional convective cloudiness σ as a key parameter. Section 3 discusses the dependence of vertical transports on σ and its parameterization. Section 4 presents a closure of the parameterization including the determination of σ for each realization of the grid-scale processes, while section 5 discusses the problem of parameterizing uncertainties in the framework of unified parameterization. Finally, summary and further discussions are presented in section 6. Remaining problems including the vertical structure of eddy transports and the dependence of cloud microphysics and dynamics on σ will be discussed in Part II of this paper (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript).

2. Identification of the problems

The first step to open route I is reexamination of the widely used assumption that convective updrafts cover only a small fraction of a GCM grid cell. Most conventional cumulus parameterizations that explicitly use a cloud model (e.g., Arakawa and Schubert 1974; Emanuel 1991; Gregory and Rowntree 1990; Kain and Fritsch 1990; Tiedtke 1989; Zhang and McFarlane 1995) assume this, at least implicitly, regarding the temperature and water vapor mixing ratio carried by GCM grid points as if they represent those of the cloud environment. Then, as shown by Arakawa and Schubert (1974), the processes to be considered for predicting those variables are the “cumulus-induced” subsidence in the environment and the detrainment of cloud air into the environment. (Here it is important to recognize that the cumulus-induced subsidence is a component of the hypothetical subgrid-scale eddy circulation, which is closed within the same grid cell by definition. The true subsidence is a component of the total circulation, which is the sum of the subgrid- and grid-scale circulations.)

Let σ be the fractional convective cloudiness, which is the fractional area covered by convective updrafts in the grid cell. When the area covered by individual updrafts is fixed, σ represents the population of updrafts in the grid cell. (The fractional convective cloudiness defined in this way should be distinguished from the more commonly used fractional cloudiness that matters for radiation.) In terms of σ, the assumption mentioned above means . In the limit as the grid spacing approaches zero, however, the grid cell is occupied either by an updraft or by the environment. Then σ becomes either 1 or 0, and the circulation associated with the updraft becomes the gird-scale circulation. Then cumulus parameterization should play no role in this limit. More generally, it is important to remember that parameterizations are supposed to formulate only the subgrid effects of cumulus convection, NOT its total effects involving the grid-scale motion. Otherwise the parameterization may overdo its job, either double counting the same effect or overstabilizing grid-scale fluctuations depending on the type of prognostic variables.

To visualize the problem to be addressed, we have performed two numerical simulations using a CRM, one with and the other without background shear. The model used for these simulations is the 3D vorticity equation model of Jung and Arakawa (2008) with a three-phase cloud microphysics parameterization (Krueger et al. 1995) applied to an idealized horizontally periodic domain over ocean with a fixed surface temperature. The horizontal domain and grid spacing are 512 and 2 km, respectively. Other experimental settings follows the benchmark simulations performed by Jung and Arakawa (2010), in which the thermodynamic forcing is prescribed in terms of the vertical profiles of mean cooling and moistening rates, chosen to counteract the apparent heat source and moisture sink typical of the Global Atmospheric Research Program (GARP) Atlantic Tropical Experiment (GATE) phase III after some idealization. The constant cooling rate of 2 K day−1 is also included to mimic radiative cooling. In the simulation with the background shear, wind components are nudged to prescribed profiles representing a typical Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA COARE) condition with a 2-h time scale.

Figure 4 shows snapshots of the vertical velocity w at 3-km height simulated with and without background shear. As we can see from these snapshots, these two runs represent quite different cloud regimes. To see the grid-scale dependence of the statistics, we divide the original CRM domain (512 km × 512 km) into subdomains of identical size d to represent the GCM grid cells. An example of the subdomains with d = 64 km is shown in the figure.

Fig. 4.
Fig. 4.

Snapshots of the vertical velocity w at 3-km height simulated (a) with and (b) without background shear, and an example of the subdomains to show the grid-spacing dependence of the statistics.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

In the following diagnosis of these data, σ is determined for each subdomain by the fractional number of CRM grid points that satisfy . Let angle brackets be the ensemble average over all updraft-containing subdomains (i.e., subdomains with ) during the analysis period (12 h). Figure 5 shows the resolution dependence of and associated standard deviation at for the shear (Fig. 5a) and nonshear (Fig. 5b) cases, respectively. In the figure we see that drastically increases as the subdomain size d decreases. [This means that, as Krueger (2002) found, the fractional number of updraft-containing subdomains denoted by n drastically decreases as is independent of the subdomain size introduced for the diagnosis.] Clearly, the assumption can be justified only for low resolutions. For high resolutions, significantly deviates from 0 and becomes 1 for , which is the CRM grid spacing. In addition, there is a number of subdomains with , because n defined above is small for high resolutions. Thus, there is a tendency toward a bimodal distribution of σ for high resolutions as pointed out by Krueger (2002). We note that is larger for the shear case than the nonshear case, although n is smaller in the shear case (not shown).

Fig. 5.
Fig. 5.

The resolution dependence of and associated standard deviations for the (a) shear and (b) nonshear cases.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

We now look into the resolution dependence of the vertical transport of moist static energy in updraft-containing subdomains. (We have found that the vertical transport in subdomains with no updrafts is negligible.) This transport may be written as , where the overbar denotes the average over all CRM grid points in the subdomain, h is the deviation of moist static energy from its average over the entire horizontal domain, and, as defined earlier, angle brackets represent the ensemble average over all subdomains with . To distinguish this transport from the eddy transport, we call this transport the “total transport” of h. The red lines in Fig. 6 show the diagnosed total transport, again at , for each subdomain size d. This transport rapidly increases as d decreases for both the shear and nonshear cases, showing that active updrafts are better resolved with higher resolutions. The green lines in the figure, on the other hand, show the ensemble-average eddy transport given by , where and . For large subdomain sizes, say for , the total transport is almost entirely due to the eddy transport . With smaller subdomain sizes, however, is only a fraction of and vanishes for . Recall that, as indicated in the figure, what needs to be parameterized is the eddy transport , not the total transport , and the difference between them must be explicitly simulated. We note that the contribution from the eddy transport is larger for the nonshear case, although there is no significant qualitative difference between the two cases in the way the transports depend on the resolution.

Fig. 6.
Fig. 6.

The diagnosed total and eddy transports of moist static energy divided by at for each subdomain size d.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

3. The σ dependence of vertical transport and its parameterization

a. Diagnosed σ dependence of the vertical transport

Section 5 will show that the standard deviation associated with the ensemble-average transport shown in Fig. 6 is quite large, indicating that there are a variety of situations even when the resolution is fixed. To obtain an insight into the factor controlling the magnitude of vertical transports, we classify subdomains of the same size into different bins according to the values of σ. Figure 7 shows the σ dependence of the ensemble-mean vertical transport of moist static energy obtained in this way for the shear case. The case of is chosen as an example, where the eddy transport is maximum. As in Fig. 6, the total and eddy transports are shown in red and green, respectively. (The light blue line will be explained in section 3c.) Even with this relatively high resolution, the total transport for small values of σ, say , is almost entirely due to the eddy transport. For larger values of σ, however, a large part of the total transport is due to the grid-scale vertical transport.

Fig. 7.
Fig. 7.

The σ dependence of the ensemble-mean total (red) and eddy (green) vertical transports of moist static energy divided by . The light blue line represents the eddy transport diagnosed from the modified dataset. See text for more details.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

Figure 7 shows that the eddy transport does not vanish even for . When , all grid points in the subdomain satisfy the condition and, therefore, the subdomain is “saturated” with updrafts forming a single large updraft. The eddy transport can still exist because of the internal structure of the large updraft. This kind of transport should also exist to some extent for smaller values of σ . [Here the “internal structure” refers to those still resolved by the CRM, not subcloud eddies such as those discussed by Emanuel (1991)].

Figure 8 is the same as Fig. 7, but for , , and , where is the mixing ratio of liquid water. From Figs. 8a and 8b, we see that the vertical transport of moist static energy is dominated by that of water vapor. From Figs. 8b and 8c, on the other hand, the transports of water vapor and liquid water are almost equally responsible for the vertical transport of total (airborne) water. The σ dependence of the partition between the eddy- and grid-scale transports of these variables is quite similar to that for moist static energy shown in Fig. 7.

Fig. 8.
Fig. 8.

As in Fig. 7, but for (a) , (b) , and (c) divided by .

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

To see the situation for different values of d, Fig. 9 presents the ratio , again at of the shear case, with the subdomain size d and the fractional convective cloudiness σ. An empty box means that data are not sufficient for that combination of d and σ. The figure clearly shows that the ratio depends primarily on σ rather than d. This confirms that what matters in generalizing the conventional cumulus parameterization is the dependence on the fractional convective cloudiness, not directly on the grid spacing. For small values of σ, the total transport is almost entirely due to the eddy transport regardless of the resolution. This means that parameterization of the eddy transport is needed even for moderately high resolutions. For larger values of σ, however, the total transport is primarily due to explicitly simulated grid-scale vertical velocity.

Fig. 9.
Fig. 9.

The ratio (%) for various combinations of d and σ. (The value exceeding 100% that appears at the bottom of the d = 8 km column indicates that the ensemble-averaged grid-scale transport is weakly negative for that combination of σ and d, perhaps because of the existence of stronger convective activity in the neighboring subdomains.)

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

b. Parameterization of the σ dependence of eddy transport by homogeneous updrafts/environment

We now consider the problem of parameterizing the σ dependence of the vertical eddy transport. In addition to the assumption , most conventional parameterizations assume that the updrafts and the environment within each grid cell are individually horizontally homogeneous. Also, except for the spectral representation of updrafts originally proposed by Arakawa and Schubert (1974), those parameterizations usually assume a single cloud type with an identical top-hat profile for all updrafts in the same grid cell. These are rather drastic assumptions. We will continue to use these assumptions, however, as the first step toward a more general unified parameterization. The existence of convective downdraft is ignored at this stage.

Let ψ be the (potential) temperature or water vapor mixing ratio, or one of their combinations such as moist static energy. With the assumption of an identical top-hat profile for all updrafts, we can express w and ψ of the updrafts and those of the environment by a single z-dependent variable for each, denoted with the subscript c and the tilde, respectively. We define the excess of w and ψ of the updrafts over the environment by
e1
respectively. Then the averages of w and ψ over the entire grid cell are given by
e2
and
e3
In (3), is used in the conventional parameterizations while the consistent choice of is made in the unified parameterization. To obtain an expression for the eddy transport, we first write
e4
Using (4), (1), (2), and (3) on the right-hand side of , we can derive
e5
We now discuss the conventional and unified parameterizations separately.

1) Conventional parameterizations

Using in (3) and (5) gives
e6
and
e7
In deriving (7), Δw from (1) was used. Equation (6) means that there is no contribution from the updrafts to the gridcell average. When multiplied by the density, the factor in (7) is the updraft mass flux per unit area, which is the cumulus mass flux commonly used in the mass-flux-based parameterizations. Equation (7) shows that, for given , increases linearly as σ does. This proportionality is, however, not explicitly used in the conventional parameterizations because usually the mass flux itself is determined by a closure and, therefore, and σ do not have to be determined separately.

2) Unified parameterization

The use of in (3) and (5) gives
e8
and
e9
We see that the factor appears in (9), instead of the product alone in (7), so that and σ now have to be determined separately. Since and depend only on the updraft properties relative to the environment, it is likely that they and their product do not significantly depend on σ, which measures the population of updrafts in the grid cell. If this is the case, (9) shows that the σ dependence of the eddy transport is through the factor , which vanishes for because of the saturation of updrafts. The factor reaches its maximum when , that is, when the areas covered by updrafts and the environment are equal. In the next subsection, we will see empirical evidence for this result.

c. Diagnosed eddy transport by homogeneous updrafts and environment

To see the σ dependence of the statistics when the top-hat profile assumption is used, we modify the data by replacing w and thermodynamic variables of all updraft points in each subdomain by their averages, and do the same for the environment points. We first check whether diagnosed from this modified dataset is approximately independent of σ or not. Figure 10 presents the result for the shear case at , which shows that is in fact nearly constant. (We have found that the constancy of and individually is not so good as their product .) The wiggles for large values of σ in Fig. 10 are because of the lack of sufficient data. The smaller values of indicated by the arrow are because of the higher probability for the subdomains to cover only the edge part of the updrafts when σ is small. The result shown in this figure supports the hypothesis that the σ dependence of the eddy transport with top-hat profiles is primarily through . Arakawa et al. (2011) introduced this dependence as the simplest choice to satisfy the requirement that the eddy transports converge to zero as σ approaches one. We are now justifying this dependence based on the reasoning given above. The convergence requirement is then automatically satisfied.

Fig. 10.
Fig. 10.

Diagnosed showing its approximate independence of σ.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

The light blue lines in Figs. 7 and 8 show the eddy transports diagnosed from the modified dataset. As anticipated, these lines are very close to the curve if the coefficient is properly chosen. The difference between the green and light blue lines in these figures represents the contribution from the inhomogeneous structure of updrafts and the environment. The difference is small for relatively small values of σ, say . For larger values of σ, the difference is not small compared to the total eddy transport based on the original dataset. As far as convectively active cloud regimes are concerned, such as the datasets we are using, this difference does not seem important because the eddy transports themselves are small for large values of σ compared to the total transport.

In Fig. 11a, which partially reproduces Fig. 7, the blue dashed curve shows multiplied by a coefficient chosen to best fit the light blue line. Figures 11b and 11c are the same as Fig. 11a, but for and , respectively. Although there are insufficient data for large values of σ, these figures strongly indicate that the σ dependence through is valid for other resolutions as well. From (9) we see that the maxima of the dashed curves shown by the arrows in Fig. 11 give estimates of . These values are also similar between different resolutions. The similarity of Figs. 11a–c provides another way of seeing that what matters in the unified parameterization is σ rather than d.

Fig. 11.
Fig. 11.

The red and light blue lines are as in Fig. 7 for horizontal resolutions of (a) 8, (b) 16, and (c) 32 km. The blue dashed lines show the best-fit curves. The arrows show estimated values of .

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

So far we have seen the σ dependence of diagnosed vertical transports at the level. Part II of this paper (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript) shows the results of extending the diagnosis to other levels. In short, the relations between the total transport, the eddy transport, and the transport based on top-hat profiles are very similar between different levels including the subcloud layer.

4. Closure of the parameterization and determination of σ

In this section, we first review the closure assumption typically used in the conventional parameterizations and then discuss the closure of the unified parameterization including determination of the fractional convective cloudiness σ.

a. Conventional parameterization with full adjustment

For a review of the closure assumptions used in the conventional parameterizations, see Arakawa (2004) and references therein. Most parameterizations currently being used are adjustment schemes, in which a vertically integrated measure of convective instability such as CAPE or cloud work function (Arakawa and Schubert 1974) is adjusted toward its equilibrium value. Typically the adjustment is relaxed using a somewhat arbitrarily chosen finite time scale (e.g., Moorthi and Suarez 1992).

Let be the equilibrium vertical eddy transport of moist static energy required for full adjustment responding to the grid-scale destabilization. Determination of in practical applications will be discussed in section 4e. For full adjustment, we have
e10
The use of and in (9), on the other hand, gives
e11
For (10) and (11) to be consistent,
e12
Then, to satisfy ,
e13
is required. The requirement (13) is satisfied either with small , expected when the grid-scale destabilization rate is small, or with large , expected when the stratification is highly unstable. Although this may be satisfied for relatively weak disturbances in the tropics, it is a rather serious limitation of the conventional parameterizations with full adjustment.

b. Unified parameterization: Reduction of the vertical eddy transports

The argument given above suggests that (12) is too restrictive for more general situations. For wider applicability, the unified parameterization modifies (12) to
e14
This is the simplest choice to automatically satisfy the condition , as long as and have the same sign, while reducing to (12) when holds. When , on the other hand, (14) gives , that is, saturation of updrafts in the grid cell. Eliminating in (14) by using (9), we obtain
e15
More generally, the unified parameterization uses
e16
Since , (16) shows . Thus, the practical application of the unified parameterization is a reduction of the eddy transports depending on the value of σ. Note that, unlike the commonly used relaxed adjustment schemes, the reduction is only for the eddy transport effects, not for the total effects including physical sources.

c. Determination of σ

We now discuss how σ can be determined from the known gridpoint values. From the definition of (1), we note that and depend on the unknown environmental values and . We therefore use and defined by
e17
where and are the gridpoint values of w and ψ, respectively, which are known. In the conventional parameterizations, can be interpreted as since it is assumed that the gridpoint value of represents that of the cloud environment. In contrast, the unified parameterization distinguishes from .
For the purpose of determining σ, we use h for ψ because the vertical redistribution of moist static energy plays a central role in the adjustment. First, eliminating and from (1), (2), and (3), and then eliminating and using (17), we can derive and . Thus, for , we have
e18
Using (18) in (14) and manipulating, we finally obtain
e19
where λ is a nondimensional parameter defined by
e20
Equation (19) is a cubic equation for the unknown σ. We see that for and as . Figure 12 shows the values of σ given by (19) as a function of λ. We see that these values are relatively small for the range of λ shown. It should be remembered, however, that σ is convective cloudiness. This is generally smaller than the more commonly used cloudiness based on the cloud water/ice amount, which may well become 1 even when λ is finite.
Fig. 12.
Fig. 12.

Plot of σ given by (19) as a function of λ.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

The unified parameterization uses the value of σ determined in this way in (16), not only for h but also for other ψ, assuming that the variables other than h play only passive roles as far as the process of controlling σ is concerned. Verifying this assumption, however, requires choosing a particular cloud model, which is beyond the scope of this paper.

d. Physical meaning of λ

As far as the transport is concerned, the closure of the unified parameterization now reduces to determination of λ defined by (20). The purpose of this subsection is to better understand the physical meaning of λ. For convenience, (15), (19), and (20) are reproduced below:
e21
e22
e23
Using these equations, and can be diagnosed from the dataset. Since these equations are derived with the assumption of top-hat profiles, we continue to use the modified dataset. For each subdomain, we first diagnose from the diagnosed and σ using (21), and then diagnose from the diagnosed and σ using (22) and (23). The results are shown in Fig. 13 in the form of the ensemble average and associated standard deviation for each bin of . [As in the case of Fig. 10, we interpret the smaller values of for small because of the higher probability for the subdomains to cover only the edge part of the updrafts when σ is small.]

We find in Fig. 13 that does not significantly depend on in both the shear and nonshear cases, confirming that these two provide virtually independent information for determining λ. This indicates that can be calculated without referring to the value of , at least for the range shown in the figure. We will discuss the standard deviations shown in Fig. 13 in the next section.

Fig. 13.
Fig. 13.

Plots of the ensemble averages of and associated standard deviations for each bin of for the shear and nonshear cases.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

Recall that in (20) is the equilibrium vertical eddy transport of h required for full adjustment responding to the grid-scale destabilization rate, while depends on cloud properties measuring the efficiency of eddy transport. We see that λ is large either for large destabilization rate, as is the case for mesoscale convective complex, or for small eddy transport efficiency, as is the case for stratocumulus clouds. These two cloud regimes may share similar values of λ but for completely different reasons.

e. Outline of the procedure in practical applications

Since the unified parameterization is an approach following route 1 shown in Fig. 3, we require that it reduce to an existing parameterization scheme with full adjustment as . A preparatory step for the generalization is to separate the output of the scheme into the effect of eddy transport convergence and that of physical sources. This step is needed because these effects depend on σ in their own ways. Then, through the vertical integration of the eddy transport convergence, we find necessary for full adjustment. In view of (16) with , this can be identified as . The parameter λ and the fractional convective cloudiness σ can then be found from (20) and (19). Using σ determined in this way and , to be used for prediction can be determined from (16). Dependence on σ must be considered also for physical sources, as we will discuss in Part II of this paper (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript). In short, the effects of physical processes taking place inside and outside of updrafts are roughly proportional to σ and 1 − σ, respectively.

The plume model in the parameterization scheme can also be used to determine and . These values of and may be used as they are in (20) because they do not depend on σ when and are fixed.

5. Remark on parameterization of uncertainty

Most existing cumulus parameterization schemes attempt to deterministically formulate the large-scale effects of cumulus convection. There is no reason to believe, however, those effects can be determined uniquely from the grid-scale variables predicted by the model. It is then obvious that we should introduce stochastic effects in one way or another at some point in the development of cumulus parameterization. It should be remembered, however, that parameterization is not a purely statistical problem as pointed out in section 1, and thus stochastic formulation must be made under appropriate physical, dynamical, and computational constraints that determine the major source of uncertainty. When viewed from this point, there are considerable differences among the stochastic parameterizations so far proposed (e.g., Ball and Plant 2008; Buizza et al. 1999; Lin and Neelin 2000, 2002, 2003; Majda and Khouider 2002; Khouider and Majda 2007; Neelin et al. 2008; Palmer et al. 2005; Plant and Craig 2008; Shutts and Palmer 2007).

As in Fig. 6, Fig. 14 shows the resolution dependence of the diagnosed vertical transports and for the shear case. The associated standard deviations are now shown. As expected, the standard deviation of total transport is very large for high resolutions. Compared to this, the standard deviation of eddy transport is much smaller for high resolutions, indicating that a large part of the standard deviation of total transport is due to the fluctuation of the grid-scale transport. Moreover, even the standard deviation of eddy transport can be at least partly due to the fluctuation of grid-scale processes acting as convective forcing. To assess the uncertainty in parameterization, therefore, further narrowing down of the source of the standard deviation is required.

Fig. 14.
Fig. 14.

As in the shear case of Fig. 6, but with standard deviations for the total and eddy transports.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

As long as can be considered as an external parameter representing the grid-scale destabilization processes, the closure of the unified parameterization is achieved through determination of . A stationary plume model may approximately give the ensemble average shown in Fig. 13. But the figure shows that the associated standard deviation is quite large. It is this standard deviation that is to be considered as a potential source of uncertainty in the unified parameterization. As is the case for the ensemble average, this standard deviation is virtually independent of . Since it is as large as the ensemble average, the minimum values of can be as small as zero. We therefore speculate that different phases of cloud development may be primarily responsible for the standard deviation, which could be parameterized stochastically. Another possibility is that, although the analysis presented above is based on a single cloud type for each subdomain, the dominant cloud type can be different between the subdomains. We need more detailed analysis to better identify the source of this fluctuation.

6. Summary and further discussion

One of the most important issues to be addressed in multiscale modeling of the moist-convective atmosphere is that the existing atmospheric models represent the effects of deep moist convection only in one of the following two ways: highly parameterized as in conventional general circulation models (GCMs) and explicitly simulated as in cloud-resolving models (CRMs). Correspondingly, numerical models of the atmosphere are polarized into two families represented by the GCMs and CRMs, separated by the gray zone for the mesoscale range. This paper presents a new framework for cumulus parameterization applicable to any horizontal resolution between those typically used in GCMs and CRMs. For sufficiently low resolutions, the framework is equivalent to the use of a conventional parameterization with full adjustment to a quasi-equilibrium state. For sufficiently high resolutions, on the other hand, it reduces to an explicit simulation of deep moist convective processes as is done in CRMs. Since parameterizations in GCMs and CRMs are unified in this way, we call the framework unified parameterization.

It is emphasized that a cumulus parameterization is supposed to formulate only the subgrid effects of cumulus convection, not the total effects involving grid-scale motion. Then the transport to be parameterized is only the eddy transport, not the total transport. The unified parameterization formulates the eddy transport in such a way that a smooth transition between the two ways of representing deep moist convection can take place. The key parameter to allow this transition is σ, which is the fractional area covered by convective updrafts in the grid cell, rather than the resolution itself. Practically all conventional cumulus parameterizations assume , at least implicitly, using the gridpoint values to represent the cloud environment as far as the thermodynamic prognostic variables are concerned.

The unified parameterization formulates this transition by eliminating the assumption of from the beginning. If clouds and the environment are horizontally homogeneous with a top-hat profile, as is widely assumed in the conventional parameterizations, it is shown that the σ dependence of the eddy transport is through a simple quadratic function. Together with a properly chosen closure, the unified parameterization determines σ for each realization of grid-scale processes in terms of the grid-scale destabilization normalized by the eddy transport efficiency. The parameterization then determines the magnitude of vertical eddy transport depending on the value of σ obtained in this way. Unlike the commonly used relaxed adjustment, the reduction is only for the eddy transport effects. The diabatic effects have their own dependence on σ, as will be discussed in Part II of this paper (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript). Part II will also discuss the dynamical effects of eddies such as the eddy transport of vorticity.

The unified parameterization can also provide a framework for including stochastic parameterization. It is pointed out that a stochastic formulation must be made under appropriate physical, dynamical, and computational constraints that identify the source of uncertainty. In the unified parameterization, the source is in the determination of cloud properties relative to the gridpoint values, which influences the uncertainty of σ and hence that of eddy transports. We suspect that different phases of cloud development are primarily responsible for the uncertainty, which could be formulated stochastically.

The remaining issues include parameterization of the eddy transport because of the inhomogeneous structure of updrafts and the environment, which is responsible for the difference between the green and light blue lines shown in Figs. 7 and 8. The eddy transports shown in light blue are obtained from the modified dataset, in which w and thermodynamic variables of all CRM points in the subdomain that satisfy are replaced with their averages, and the same is done for the points that satisfy . To see the effect of multiple internal structures of the updrafts, two other modified datasets are created. The double structure dataset is based on three ranges of w: (environment), , and . The triple-structure dataset is, on the other hand, based on four ranges of w: (environment), , , and . In these datasets, w and the thermodynamic variables of the CRM points are replaced with their averages over all points in the subdomain that belong to the same range of w. Figure 15 shows comparison of the eddy transports diagnosed with the single, double, and triple internal structures of the updrafts. Clearly, the eddy transport becomes closer to the total eddy transport shown in green when more detailed internal structures of the updraft are considered. The closure problem then becomes more complicated because the active updrafts are likely to be surrounded by weaker updrafts and, therefore, they do not directly see the mean values of the environment as pointed out by Donner et al. (1999).

Fig. 15.
Fig. 15.

As in Fig. 7, but with additional results based on double and triple internal structures of updrafts.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 7; 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0330.1

The importance of considering these multiple internal structures in cumulus parameterization is not certain. As Fig. 15 shows, these effects are significant for large values of σ. But for those values of σ, the eddy transports themselves are small compared to the total transport. It is possible, however, that the situation is different for convectively less active cloud regimes such as trade-wind cumulus clouds. The σ dependence of can still be represented through a relatively simple generalization of (9) such as
e24
where denotes expected when . Although determination of this quantity is a challenging problem, it is at least an important step toward unifying cumulus parameterization and parameterization of convective/turbulent transports within stratiform clouds such as the one proposed by Lappen and Randall (2001a,b,c).

The remaining issues also include the effects of convective downdrafts. For the datasets we have been using, it is found that the effect of downdrafts on the vertical eddy transport of moist static energy is rather small. For example, Fig. 15 shows that considering the triple internal structures of updrafts while staying with the homogeneous environment is almost sufficient to recover the green curve. This is probably because the characteristic magnitude of w for downdrafts is relatively small compared to that of active updrafts, and also the difference of moist static energy between downdrafts and the environment is typically small. This does not mean, however, that other effects of downdrafts, such as cooling and moistening resulting from the evaporation of precipitation in the environment, are also small. The unified parameterization allows inclusion of these effects determined by a conventional parameterization, but with their own σ dependence shown in Part II of this paper (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript).

Finally, it should be pointed out that the CRM-simulated datasets we have used for diagnosis by no means fully represent nature. The horizontal resolution of 2 km is almost certainly too coarse. Moreover, the CRM uses a highly simplified turbulence parameterization (first order) and an idealized microphysics parameterization. Thus, any diagnostic results presented here should not be taken as the final words. We believe, however, the strategy discussed in this paper is a reasonable step toward a truly unified cloud parameterization.

In this paper, we have shown only vertical transports diagnosed at a particular height. The vertical structure of the vertical transports as well as that of the horizontal transports will be presented in Part II (A. Arakawa and C.-M. Wu 2013, unpublished manuscript). Part II also discusses other topics including the dependence of the cloud-scale physical and dynamical effects on σ.

Acknowledgments

We wish to thank Professor David Randall for his interest and support of this work and for many valuable comments on the manuscript. We also thank Professor Steven Krueger and Dr. Joon-Hee Jung for their careful reviews of the original manuscript and for a number of suggestions for improvement. Constructive comments by three anonymous reviewers are also appreciated. The first author is supported by the National Science Foundation Science and Technology Center for Multi-Scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes, managed by Colorado State University under Cooperative Agreement ATM-0425247. The second author is supported by Taiwan's National Research Council through Grant 101-2111-M-002-006 to National Taiwan University.

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Save
  • Arakawa, A., 2004: The cumulus parameterization problem: Past, present, and future. J. Climate, 17, 24932525.

  • Arakawa, A., and W. H. Schubert, 1974: Interaction of a cumulus cloud ensemble with the large-scale environment, Part I. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 674701.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Arakawa, A., and J.-H. Jung, 2011: Multiscale modeling of the moist-convective atmosphere—A review. Atmos. Res., 102, 263285.

  • Arakawa, A., J.-H. Jung, and C.-M. Wu, 2011: Toward unification of the multiscale modeling of the atmosphere. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 37313742, doi:10.5194/acp-11-3731-2011.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ball, M. A., and R. S. Plant, 2008: Comparison of stochastic parameterization approaches in a single-column model. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London,A366, 2603–2621.

  • Buizza, R., 2010: Horizontal resolution impact on short- and long-range forecast error. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 10201035.

  • Buizza, R., M. Miller, and T. N. Palmer, 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 28872908.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Charney, J. G., and A. Eliassen, 1964: On the growth of the hurricane depression. J. Atmos. Sci., 21, 6875.

  • Donner, L. J., C. J. Seman, and R. S. Hemler, 1999: Three-dimensional cloud-system modeling of GATE convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 18851912.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Emanuel, K. A., 1991: A scheme for representing cumulus convection in large-scale models. J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 23132335.

  • Frank, W. M., 1993: A hybrid parameterization with multiple closures. The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models, Meteor. Monogr., No. 46, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 151–154.

  • Grabowski, W. W., 2001: Coupling cloud processes with the large-scale dynamics using the cloud-resolving convective parameterization (CRCP). J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 978997.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Grabowski, W. W., and P. K. Smolarkiewicz, 1999: CRCP: A cloud resolving convective parameterization for modeling the tropical convective atmosphere. Physica D, 133, 171178.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gregory, D., and P. R. Rowntree, 1990: A mass flux convection scheme with representation of cloud ensemble characteristics and stability dependent closure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 14831506.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jung, J.-H., and A. Arakawa, 2004: The resolution dependence of model physics: Illustrations from nonhydrostatic model experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 88102.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jung, J.-H., and A. Arakawa, 2008: A three-dimensional anelastic model based on the vorticity equation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 276294.

  • Jung, J.-H., and A. Arakawa, 2010: Development of a quasi-3D multiscale modeling framework: Motivation, basic algorithm and preliminary results. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst.,2, 31 pp. [Available online at http://james.agu.org/index.php/JAMES/article/viewArticle/v2n11.]

  • Kain, J. S., and J. M. Fritsch, 1990: A one-dimensional entraining detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 27842802.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kasahara, A., 2000: On the origin of cumulus parameterization for numerical prediction models. General Circulation Model Development: Past, Present, and Future, D. A. Randall, Ed., Academic Press, 199–224.

  • Khairoutdinov, M. F., and D. A. Randall, 2001: A cloud-resolving model as a cloud parameterization in the NCAR Community Climate System Model: Preliminary results. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 36173620.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Khouider, B., and A. J. Majda, 2007: A simple multicloud parameterization for convectively coupled tropical waves. Part II: Nonlinear simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 381400.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Krueger, S. K., 2002: Current issues in cumulus parameterization. Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Key Issues in the Parameterization of Subgrid Physical Processes, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 25–51.

  • Krueger, S. K., Q. Fu, K. N. Liou, and H.-N. Chin, 1995: Improvements of an ice-phase microphysics parameterization for use in numerical simulations of tropical convection. J. Appl. Meteor., 34, 281287.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lappen, C.-L., and D. A. Randall, 2001a: Toward a unified parameterization of the boundary layer and moist convection. Part I: A new type of mass-flux model. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 20212036.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lappen, C.-L., and D. A. Randall, 2001b: Toward a unified parameterization of the boundary layer and moist convection. Part II: Lateral mass exchanges and subplume-scale fluxes. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 20372051.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lappen, C.-L., and D. A. Randall, 2001c: Toward a unified parameterization of the boundary layer and moist convection. Part III: Simulations of clear and cloudy convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 20522072.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: Influence of a stochastic moist convective parameterization on tropical climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett.,27, 3691–3694, doi:10.1029/2000GL011964.

  • Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2002: Considerations for stochastic convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 959975.

  • Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2003: Toward stochastic moist convective parameterization in general circulation models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1162, doi:10.1029/2002GL016203.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Majda, A. J., and B. Khouider, 2002: Stochastic and mesoscale models for tropical convection. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 99, 11231128, doi:10.1073/pnas.032663199.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Manabe, S., J. Smagorinsky, and R. F. Strickler, 1965: Simulated climatology of a general circulation model with a hydrological cycle. Mon. Wea. Rev., 93, 769798.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Molinari, J., 1993: An overview of cumulus parameterization in mesoscale models. The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models, Meteor. Monogr., No. 46, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 155–158.

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  • Fig. 1.

    The dipolarization and tripolarization of atmospheric models. See the text for further explanation.

  • Fig. 2.

    Domain- and ensemble-averaged profiles of the “required source” for (a) moist static energy (divided by ) and (b) total airborne water mixing ratio (multiplied by ) due to cloud microphysics under strong large-scale forcing over land obtained with different horizontal and time resolutions. The unlabeled profiles are obtained either with horizontal grid spacing between 2 and 32 km and/or with a time interval between 10 and 60 min. Redrawn from Jung and Arakawa (2004).

  • Fig. 3.

    Two routes for unifying the low- and high-resolution models.

  • Fig. 4.

    Snapshots of the vertical velocity w at 3-km height simulated (a) with and (b) without background shear, and an example of the subdomains to show the grid-spacing dependence of the statistics.

  • Fig. 5.

    The resolution dependence of and associated standard deviations for the (a) shear and (b) nonshear cases.

  • Fig. 6.

    The diagnosed total and eddy transports of moist static energy divided by at for each subdomain size d.

  • Fig. 7.

    The σ dependence of the ensemble-mean total (red) and eddy (green) vertical transports of moist static energy divided by . The light blue line represents the eddy transport diagnosed from the modified dataset. See text for more details.

  • Fig. 8.

    As in Fig. 7, but for (a) , (b) , and (c) divided by .

  • Fig. 9.

    The ratio (%) for various combinations of d and σ. (The value exceeding 100% that appears at the bottom of the d = 8 km column indicates that the ensemble-averaged grid-scale transport is weakly negative for that combination of σ and d, perhaps because of the existence of stronger convective activity in the neighboring subdomains.)

  • Fig. 10.

    Diagnosed showing its approximate independence of σ.

  • Fig. 11.

    The red and light blue lines are as in Fig. 7 for horizontal resolutions of (a) 8, (b) 16, and (c) 32 km. The blue dashed lines show the best-fit curves. The arrows show estimated values of .

  • Fig. 12.

    Plot of σ given by (19) as a function of λ.

  • Fig. 13.

    Plots of the ensemble averages of and associated standard deviations for each bin of for the shear and nonshear cases.

  • Fig. 14.

    As in the shear case of Fig. 6, but with standard deviations for the total and eddy transports.

  • Fig. 15.

    As in Fig. 7, but with additional results based on double and triple internal structures of updrafts.

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