1. Introduction
In both winter and summer seasons, the mesospheric dynamical field frequently satisfies a necessary condition for the barotropic and/or baroclinic (BT/BC) instability in which the potential vorticity (PV) has anomalous latitudinal gradients. In the summer hemisphere, the BT/BC instability is a likely origin of frequently observed quasi-2-day waves in that region (e.g., Plumb 1983; Randel 1994; Norton and Thuburn 1996; Fritts et al. 1999; Baumgaertner et al. 2008). In the winter hemisphere, it is a possible origin of so-called 4-day waves (Randel and Lait 1991; Manney and Randel 1993; Lu et al. 2013) and is related to synoptic-scale frontlike temperature disturbances (Thayer et al. 2010; Greer et al. 2013). Earlier studies examined this BT/BC instability as jet instability (e.g., Charney and Stern 1962) without describing its specific causes. Differential radiative heating may be a candidate. Several subsequent studies discussed that another possible cause of the instability is planetary wave (PW) forcing (PWF) (e.g., Baldwin and Holton 1988; Geer et al. 2013). More recently, the role of gravity wave (GW) forcing (GWF)1 in the formation of the unstable condition is also a subject of focus (e.g., McLandress and McFarlane 1993; Norton and Thuburn 1996; Watanabe et al. 2009; Ern et al. 2011).
It is well known that GWF in the upper mesosphere is important as a driving force of the residual mean circulation from the summer hemisphere to the winter hemisphere (e.g., Holton 1983; Plumb 2002). The GWF in the upper mesosphere can be modulated by PWs in the stratosphere, because GWs are filtered in stratospheric winds that are modified by the PWs (e.g., Holton 1984; Meyer 1999; Smith 2003; Lieberman et al. 2013). This means that anomalous PV fields in the mesosphere may have characteristic longitudinal structures modified by GWF.
The purpose of this study is to elucidate the three-dimensional (3D) structure and formation mechanism of BT/BC unstable fields in the winter mesosphere of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) where PW activity is strong in the stratosphere and to examine PWs generated from these unstable fields in the mesosphere. We used simulation data from a GW-resolving general circulation model (GCM) reaching from the surface to the upper mesosphere (Watanabe et al. 2008). This GCM does not include GW parameterizations. Thus, all waves, including GWs, were spontaneously generated in the model, although the model is able to simulate only a limited spectral range of GWs because of its insufficient horizontal resolution. In addition, the simulated zonal-mean zonal wind and temperature fields in the meridional cross section are realistic. Thus, it is expected that the momentum budget be close to that of the real atmosphere. By using this GCM simulation data, we can examine the roles of GWs and PWs separately, including the interaction among GWs, PWs, and the zonal-mean flow. For example, Tomikawa et al. (2012) examined the interplay of GWs and PWs for a model-simulated sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event with an elevated stratopause similar to the real atmosphere (e.g., Siskind et al. 2007; Manney et al. 2008; Chandran et al. 2013; Hitchcock et al. 2013; Zülicke and Becker 2013). Such a momentum budget analysis for a model atmosphere provides useful information for understanding the dynamics of the real atmosphere (Limpasuvan et al. 2012).
Moreover, we applied recently derived theoretical formulas for 3D residual mean flow that are applicable to both GWs and PWs (Kinoshita and Sato 2013) to examine the 3D structure and formation mechanism of the unstable field. Herein this 3D theory is referred to as the 3D transformed Eulerian-mean (TEM) theory because this theory can be regarded as an extension of a commonly used two-dimensional (2D) TEM theory (e.g., Andrews et al. 1987). The 3D TEM formulas were originally derived for perturbations from the time mean, but the contribution of stationary waves can be evaluated as well using an extended Hilbert transform (Sato et al. 2013). With this method, the longitudinal structure of the unstable fields was examined.
Prior to this study, Watanabe et al. (2009) examined 4-day waves in the winter mesosphere of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) using the same model simulation data. Through a 2D analysis of the zonal-mean fields using the 2D TEM equations, it was shown that anomalous PV gradients were continuously observed in the mesosphere and the importance of GWF for maintaining the unstable fields was discussed. The difference of the present study from Watanabe et al. (2009) is that we focused on the NH winter where PW activity is stronger in the stratosphere than in the SH and analyzed 3D fields as well as zonal-mean 2D fields.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. A brief description of the model data is given in section 2 and a method of analysis including 3D diagnostics is described in section 3. Section 4 presents characteristics of the BT/BC unstable fields. In section 5, the interplay of PWs in the stratosphere and GWs that leads to the formation of the unstable fields is examined using 2D TEM analysis. In addition, a 3D analysis was performed to study the 3D structures of the unstable field. In section 6, characteristics of PWs observed in the mesosphere with anomalous PV fields are described, and their implication is discussed. Section 7 presents summary and concluding remarks.
2. Description of model data
We used data obtained from a GW-resolving middle atmosphere GCM that had been developed for the KANTO project (Watanabe et al. 2008). This GCM is a spectral model with T213 truncation and 256 vertical levels from the ground up to an altitude of 85 km. The minimum resolvable horizontal wavelength is about 180 km and the vertical spacing is taken at 300 m from the upper troposphere up to the upper mesosphere. The GCM was integrated over three model years from initial conditions after a high level of spinup with climatology of sea surface temperatures and an ozone layer including their seasonal variations. A sponge layer was implemented for the top six levels above 0.01 hPa corresponding to an altitude of about 80 km in the GCM. In the present study, only results for pressure levels below 0.01 hPa are shown to avoid the effect of the sponge layer. Hourly mean meteorological fields are output every 1 h. Details of the experimental setup of the GCM were described by Watanabe et al. (2008).
No GW parameterization is adopted in the model. All waves including PWs and GWs are spontaneously generated in the GCM, although only a limited spectral range of GWs was resolvable. Major sources of GWs were considered topography, jet–front systems, and convection (Watanabe et al. 2008; Sato et al. 2009, 2012). Nonetheless, the model successfully reproduced overall characteristics in seasonal variations of the middle atmosphere (Watanabe et al. 2008) and of momentum fluxes associated with GWs (Sato et al. 2009), equatorial quasi-biennial-like oscillation (e.g., Kawatani et al. 2010), semiannual oscillation (Tomikawa et al. 2008), a sudden stratospheric warming (Tomikawa et al. 2012), mesospheric 4-day waves (Watanabe et al. 2009), and a fine vertical structure at the extratropical tropopause (e.g., Miyazaki et al. 2010). Large-scale GWs had realistic phase structure and amplitudes (Kawatani et al. 2010; Sato et al. 2012). In addition, Geller et al. (2013) showed that the geographical distribution of GW absolute momentum flux of the KANTO model is similar to recent high-resolution satellite observations unlike global models using parameterized GWs, which have anomalously high momentum fluxes at polar regions. From these previous studies, it can be expected that the momentum budgets in the meteorological fields of this model be close to the real atmosphere, including interactions among GWs, PWs, and the mean flow. Therefore, we used the model data as a surrogate for the real atmosphere.
3. Methods of analysis
a. Lait’s modified potential vorticity












In addition, as shown in (1), the MPV is roughly proportional to the product of absolute vorticity
b. 2D TEM diagnostics








To evaluate the contribution to the wave forcing (EPFD) and the residual mean flow by respective waves, the perturbation fields are divided into two components, namely those with zonal wavenumbers s from 1 to 3 (s = 1–3) as PWs and those with
c. Analysis of 3D residual mean flow and 3D GWF based on the 3D TEM theory





4. Characteristics of the anomalous potential vorticity gradient in the mesosphere
Figure 1a shows a time–latitude section of zonal-mean MPV and its latitudinal gradient

Time–latitude sections of (a) zonal-mean
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
To examine the cause of the MPV enhancement, the time–latitude sections of zonal-mean
Figure 2 shows latitude–potential temperature sections of zonal-mean MPV and

Latitude–potential temperature sections of (a)–(c) zonal-mean
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
The westerly (i.e., eastward) jet situated around 43°N and 3000 K during the N period moved poleward to about 65°N and downward to a level of ~2500 K during the F period and to ~2000 K during the M period (Figs. 2d–f). Such an evolution of the westerly jet is consistent with the thermal wind balance and the above-mentioned temperature change. It is also interesting that a weak westerly jet is formed around 30°N above 3500 K equatorward of the MPV maximum during the M period. This is consistent with the appearance of the low-temperature region in midlatitudes.
5. Formation mechanism of the PV maximum in the mesosphere
a. Two-dimensional TEM analysis
Next, we examined the reason why a low-temperature region is formed around 45°N and 68 km, because this is a key feature for the appearance of the MPV maximum. The most plausible mechanism is an adiabatic cooling associated with an upward residual mean flow. Figure 3a shows a time–latitude section of the residual mean vertical wind

Time–latitude sections of (a)
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
The strong upwelling at 68 km may be explained by strong negative GWF located above the upwelling through a mechanism similar to the downward control principle (Haynes et al. 1991), though the fields are not necessarily steady in the present case. When a negative GWF is present, a westward torque is given to
Figure 3b shows the time–latitude section of GWF and
Figure 3c shows the time–latitude section of PWF and
Next, in order to examine the interplay of GWs and PWs in more detail, we produced Figs. 4a–i that show latitude–height sections for E–P flux, its divergence, and

Latitude–height sections of E–P flux (arrows), EPFD (colors), and
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
In total (i.e., for all wave components; Figs. 4a–c), a significant negative EPFD maximum is observed above 65 km for all periods. Another negative EPFD maximum is observed around 45–60 km only for the F period and M period though it is weaker during the M period. This second EPFD maximum is associated with E–P fluxes originating from the lower atmosphere.
Characteristics of PW E–P flux and PWF are as follows: during the N period, PW activity is weak (Fig. 4d); during the F period, strong upward and slightly equatorward E–P fluxes from the lower atmosphere are observed, and PWF is strongly negative at 30°–60°N around 55 km (Fig. 4e). This is responsible for the second negative maximum observed for the total field (Fig. 4b). The poleward and downward shift of the westerly jet as indicated in Figs. 2d–f is probably caused by this negative PWF. A similar, but weaker PWF can be observed for the M period (Fig. 4f). Another important feature is a significant positive PWF above 60 km at latitudes higher than ~60°N during the F period and M period, which is evidence for the existence of unstable PWs. It is also worth noting that the strongly negative PWF peak equatorward of the positive PWF, as indicated in Fig. 3c, seems separated from the negative PWF maximum observed around 55 km. This feature will be discussed in a later section.
We will now describe characteristics of the GWs. During the N period, EPFD caused by GWs (i.e., GWF) is significantly negative around 75 km, slightly above the westerly jet at 30°–70°N (Fig. 4g), which is responsible for the first negative EPFD maximum of all waves (Fig. 4a). The negative GWF shifts poleward and downward following the westerly jet shift, and is located at around 70 km during the F period and at around 67 km during the M period.
As already discussed, a strongly negative EPFD suggests the existence of strong poleward
Downward
Figure 5 shows a schematic illustration of the dynamics during the N period and F period related to the MPV maximum in midlatitudes. The PWs originating from the troposphere break around the stratopause and cause negative PWF. This PWF lets the westerly jet shift poleward and downward. The GWF located above the westerly jet also shifts poleward and downward following the jet shift. Upwelling induced by the GWF forms a cold region above and equatorward of the westerly jet and increases

A schematic illustration of the formation mechanism of the anomalous PV field (i.e., a PV maximum in the upper mesosphere) for the (left) N period and (right) F and M periods in a latitude–height section. The letter “J” represents a westerly jet; PW represents planetary waves; GWF and PWF represent gravity wave forcing and planetary wave forcing, respectively; black arrows show the residual mean flows; C denotes a cold area; PV is represented by the dark gray area; and thick curves show the stratopause.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
The poleward shift of GWF following the westerly jet shift is a key feature of this mechanism. This synchronized shift can be explained by a selective filtering of upward propagating GWs. For simplicity, let us assume that GW spectra are symmetric between eastward and westward phase velocity domains. In weak eastward wind latitudes, most GWs can penetrate into the upper mesosphere regardless of the sign of phase velocities and, hence, net GWF by breaking of the surviving GWs in the mesosphere is weak. In contrast, in strong-eastward-wind latitudes, a large part of eastward GWs are filtered at their critical levels before reaching the mesosphere. Thus, net GWF in the mesosphere is mainly caused by westward GWs and is, therefore, negative. An important point is that such filtering should also depend on the longitude, because wind fields in the stratosphere are largely modified by PWs.
b. 3D TEM analysis
Next we analyzed the 3D fields using the 3D TEM equations formulated by Kinoshita and Sato (2013) and the extended Hilbert transform method proposed by Sato et al. (2013). Figure 6 shows longitude–height sections of time-mean temperature

Longitude–height sections of (a) time-mean
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
To confirm this selective filtering more quantitatively, we examined the spatial correlation between GWF at 70 km in the mesosphere and

Time–height section of the spatial correlation between gravity wave forcing at 70 km and zonal wind at each level. The vertical axis shows the height of zonal wind.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
The high spatial correlation indicates the possibility that the anomalous MPV field has characteristic horizontal structures related to GWF. To examine the details, we produced horizontal maps for various quantities, which are shown in Fig. 8. Displayed are maps, from top to bottom, of GWF at 70 km and

Polar stereo projection maps of (a)–(c) time-mean
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
During the F period, MPV at 4000 K is maximized in a longitudinal sector counterclockwise from 60°W to 120°E (Fig. 8k), corresponding to a low-
It is also worth noting that large MPV values as seen for the F period and M period are not observed during the N period. This means that the MPV maximum is not formed by a PW breaking on an isentropic surface but by breaking GWs instead.
6. Characteristics of PWs in the upper mesosphere
Finally, we examined characteristics of PWs in the upper mesosphere where an anomalous MPV gradient is observed. Figure 9 shows power spectra of meridional wind fluctuations in zonal wavenumber s versus frequency for 70 km at 60°N for a time period from 16 December to 15 January including both the F period and M period. Note that the displayed s range of the spectra is 1–5, while PWs were defined as s = 1–3 components. Positive (negative) values of s denote eastward (westward) wave propagation. Eastward waves are dominant in a wide range of frequencies corresponding to wave periods from 0.6 to 20 days including the 4-day period. Larger s components tend to have shorter wave periods. In addition, dominant westward waves have long wave periods (>6 days) and a zonal wavenumber

Frequency–zonal wavenumber power spectra of meridional wind fluctuations at 70 km and 60°N for the time period from 16 Dec to 15 Jan including F and M periods. Positive and negative zonal wavenumbers mean eastward and westward phase propagations, respectively.
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
As a reminder, positive PWF and negative PWF are observed poleward and equatorward of the MPV maximum (around 45°N), respectively, in Figs. 4e and 4f. It is of interest to examine which PWs contribute more to the respective PWFs. Thus, an analysis of E–P flux and PWF by dividing the PWs (s = 1–3) into four categories according to their propagation direction (eastward or westward) and wave period [long periods (>6 days) or short periods (0.6–6 days)] was conducted.
Figure 10 shows latitude–height sections for E–P flux, PWF, and zonal-mean zonal wind, from top to bottom, for long-period eastward PWs, long-period westward PWs, short-period eastward PWs, and short-period westward PWs for the F period (left) and M period (right). It is interesting that the negative and positive PWF maxima are attributable to different PWs: the positive PWF is due to eastward PWs (Figs. 10a, 10e, and 10f), while the negative PWF is due to westward PWs (Figs. 10c and 10d). The E–P flux vectors associated with the eastward PWs point downward from a positive PWF region to a negative one at high latitudes, indicating that the eastward PWs are generated by the BC instability. In contrast, E–P flux vectors associated with the westward PWs point upward and equatorward from a positive PWF region to a negative one, suggesting that the westward PWs are due to a mixture of BC and BT instabilities. Another interesting feature is the difference in the wave period of dominant eastward PWs between the F period and M period: long-period components are dominant during the F period, while short-period components dominate the M period. Contribution by short-period westward PWs is small during both the F period and M period.

Latitude–height sections of E–P fluxes (vectors), EPFD (colors), and
Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 9; 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0046.1
The quasigeostrophic theory indicates that a positive EPFD is equivalent to a poleward PV flux, while a negative EPFD indicates an equatorward PV flux [see Eq. (3.5.10) of Andrews et al. (1987)]. Thus, the characteristic PWF (i.e., EPFD) structure that is positive at high latitudes and negative at low latitudes indicates the existence of a divergence of PV flux around the MPV maximum. Thus, the results shown in Fig. 10 suggest that the eastward and westward PWs share roles to eliminate the MPV maximum at higher and lower latitudes, respectively. It is also worth noting that internal Rossby waves propagating eastward relative to the mean wind can exist in a region with a negative latitudinal PV gradient. Such a negative PV gradient may explain why eastward PWs have fast phase speeds, although detailed theoretical studies are necessary.
7. Summary and concluding remarks
This study examined the formation of unstable fields with anomalous PV gradients and the generation of PWs associated with the BT/BC instability in the northern winter mesosphere where PWs are active in the middle atmosphere, utilizing simulation data from a GW-resolving GCM. It was shown that GW forcing plays a crucial role in forming an anomalous PV gradient. The unstable fields are characterized by an enhanced PV maximum in the midlatitudes of the upper mesosphere. This PV enhancement was due mainly to a significant increase in
- Strong PWs originating from the troposphere break in the stratosphere and cause a negative E–P flux divergence.
- This PWF makes an eastward jet located at 40°N in the upper stratosphere shift poleward and downward to 65°N in the middle stratosphere.
- The GWF located in the mesosphere above the eastward jet also shifts poleward and downward following the jet shift and forms strong upwelling equatorward of the eastward jet around 45°N.
- This upwelling causes significant adiabatic cooling and forms the
enhancement.
Next, horizontal structures of the PV maximum were examined using a 3D TEM theory. The PV was maximized in a particular longitude sector. According to the 3D TEM analysis, this sector corresponds to the area where GWF is maximized. Such a horizontal distribution of the mesospheric GWF accords well with the distribution of stratospheric eastward winds. This correspondence between the GWF and eastward winds can be explained by the selective filtering of GWs in the stratospheric winds. In other words, the PV maximum is caused by the GWF mirroring the PWs in the stratosphere.
Moreover, the EPFD equatorward and poleward of the PV maximum in the mesosphere was negative and positive, respectively. This fact means that the PV flux is equatorward and poleward from the PV maximum so as to make the PV peak shallower. In other words, the generation of PWs through BT/BC instability in the mesosphere is regarded as an adjustment process against an anomalous PV distribution caused by forcing due to GWs propagating from the lower atmosphere. An important fact is that the PV fluxes equatorward and poleward from the PV maximum are associated with different PWs, namely, westward waves and eastward waves. This point is one of interesting and new findings from the present study. It seems that the 4-day wave observed in the winter mesosphere is one of such eastward PWs.
We suggest that this scenario can occur in the real atmosphere although it is elucidated by the simulation using a high-resolution GCM, which covers only a portion of GWs. It is important to confirm the reality using observational data and reanalysis data. In addition, it seems that these processes occur at a time scale from days to a few tens of days. The transient response of the PV fields to the GWF, and the planetary (Rossby) wave adjustment against such anomalous PV fields should be examined theoretically. In particular, the relation between the PWs causing the EPFD in the stratosphere and those responsible for the EPFD in the mesosphere is interesting. The former PWs may act as a trigger to the generation or amplification of the latter ones in the BT/BC instability directly and/or indirectly through GWF.
It is also worth noting that the negative GWF in the mesosphere is partly cancelled by positive PWF poleward of the MPV maximum (Fig. 4). The generation of PWs from the instability caused by parameterized GWF and its ability of significant compensation for the parameterized GWF have been well known among climate model scientists (e.g., McLandress and McFarlane 1993). Cohen et al. (2013) indicated that this compensation leads to difficulty in the evaluation of the relative contribution of PWF and parameterized orographic GWF to the driving of the Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC) in the stratosphere. Thus, commonly made linear separation of the driving force of the BDC may mislead interpretation of relative roles of GWs and RWs. Sigmond and Shepherd (2014) carefully examined the credibility of climate model projections of the strengthened BDC by taking this effect into consideration. Nevertheless, we should emphasize the importance of improvement of the GW parameterizations, because generated PWs, which may be substantial for the momentum and/or energy budget in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere, can be regulated by the parameterized GWF in the whole atmosphere models. The wind and temperature fields in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere may modify the propagation of PWs below that originate from the troposphere and, hence, the distribution of PWF in the stratosphere. Such modification may sometimes extend down to the troposphere. It is also discussed by using gravity wave–resolving models (Tomikawa et al. 2012; Zülicke and Becker 2013) and by global models with parameterized GWF (e.g., Liu and Roble 2002; Limpasuvan et al. 2012; Miller et al. 2013) that PWs and GWs can interplay in the stratosphere and mesosphere during sudden stratospheric warming events. The potential cancellation between PWF and GWF indicated by Cohen et al. (2013) may be different for the SSW because of the high transiency and nonlinearity of this phenomenon, while most characteristics of the BDC can be discussed as a steady state. It is worth noting that the interplay seems robust among these studies, although its details are different. These issues regarding the interplay of PWs and GWs are quite interesting and should be further examined observationally and theoretically. Observations using VHF Doppler radars providing GW momentum fluxes at high latitudes (e.g., Sato et al. 2014) will be useful. It is also important to elucidate the role of a full spectrum of GWs quantitatively using much higher-resolution models. However, these issues are beyond the scope of the present paper, and we leave these for future work.
We thank Elisa Manzini, Kota Okamoto, and Yoshihiro Tomikawa for their invaluable comments. Thanks are also due to three anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments. Several figures were drawn by Akihiro Masuda. This work was supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (19204047) from MEXT, Japan. The model simulations were conducted using the Earth Simulator. Figures were prepared using the GFD-DENNOU library.
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Forcing due to the divergence of momentum flux associated with GWs is frequently called GW drag. However, GW forcing can both accelerate and decelerate the mean flow. Thus, this paper uses “forcing” for GW forcing regardless of its sign.