## 1. Introduction

Current high-resolution global climate models (also known as general circulation models, or GCMs) are capable of reproducing to a reasonable degree the global frequency of TCs and the spatial distribution of TC track density (Shaevitz et al. 2014; Roberts et al. 2015, 2020). However, the distribution of TC intensity is more difficult to capture, since intensity is influenced by processes at many scales, from inner-core mixing to convection to the interaction of the core with its environment (Marks et al. 1998), some of which occur at much finer scales than GCM resolution.

Different climate models can produce very different distributions of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity, even when their horizontal resolutions are similar (Shaevitz et al. 2014). Aspects of model configuration that have been shown to affect TC intensity in GCMs include the horizontal resolution (Manganello et al. 2012; Shaevitz et al. 2014; Roberts et al. 2015, 2020), the convective parameterization (Reed and Jablonowski 2011; Kim et al. 2012; Murakami et al. 2012a,b; Stan 2012; Zhao et al. 2012; Lim et al. 2015), the dynamical core (Reed et al. 2015), and atmosphere–ocean coupling (Zarzycki 2016). Similar changes in projected TC distributions can occur for different physical reasons. For example, introducing stochastic physics to a GCM can result in an increase in TC frequency that is approximately equivalent to a 50% increase in resolution; whereas the higher frequency in the case of increased resolution is primarily due to reduced vertical wind shear, the stochastic physics increases the frequency by moistening the midtroposphere (Vidale et al. 2021).

This makes it challenging to understand the best routes to developing numerical models that can accurately represent the intensification and maximum intensity of TCs for the correct physical reasons. There has therefore been a recent effort to design process-oriented diagnostics for TCs in GCMs (Kim et al. 2018; Wing et al. 2019; Moon et al. 2020), in order to investigate the mechanisms by which a model’s configuration choices lead to differences in the intensity of its TCs. Kim et al. (2018) identified that the representation of moisture, convection, and the coupling between them are important factors in the intensity of TCs produced by climate models.

A natural way to explore the links between moist processes, convection, and intensification in modeled TCs is through the use of an energy budget as a diagnostic tool. Previous energy budgets of TCs have been mostly based on total potential energy, dry available potential energy (APE) or entropy frameworks. This paper will develop a novel energy budget, based on local moist APE theory, for a simple axisymmetric TC model. Moist APE theory is advantageous for studying TC intensification because it is designed to directly link the production of available energy by diabatic processes and the ultimate development of the TC via the generation of kinetic energy, and it fully incorporates the effects of moisture–convection coupling. It is also expected that surface fluxes are a key source of moist APE (Pauluis 2007; Tang and Emanuel 2012; Wong et al. 2016), whereas in total potential energy or dry APE frameworks, latent heat release above the boundary layer is treated as the major source of energy for the TC. This means that a moist APE budget is likely to be more useful for studying the effects of boundary layer processes on the energetics; these processes are known to be important to TC intensification (Persing et al. 2013; Kilroy et al. 2016; Schmidt and Smith 2016).

Since this is the first full budget of moist APE for the atmosphere, we focus on a simple, idealized TC model, so that the fundamental properties of the budget can be established in a setting where all processes can be accounted for to ensure budget closure. We construct and analyze the moist local APE budget for a TC simulated by the axisymmetric model of Rotunno and Emanuel (1987, hereafter RE87), suggest how such a budget could provide useful diagnostic information for more complex models, and discuss its advantages over previous energetic approaches.

The concept of APE was introduced by Lorenz (1955), who defined it as the portion of the total potential energy (TPE = internal + gravitational potential energy) in the atmosphere that can be converted into kinetic energy by adiabatic motions. It can be seen that not all TPE is APE by considering a stable atmosphere with a horizontal density stratification. In this case, no atmospheric motion is expected, so the APE is zero, but the atmosphere still contains TPE. Lorenz defined the APE of the atmosphere as the difference in TPE between its actual state and the state of minimum TPE that could be achieved by rearranging it through adiabatic motion. This minimized potential energy state is known as the *reference state*. The TPE contained in the atmosphere in its reference state is the background potential energy (BPE); Lorenz’s method partitions the TPE into APE and BPE. However, there are a number of drawbacks to using Lorenz APE to study TC intensification. The rearrangement-based reference state means that the theory is globally rather than locally defined; it is therefore not clear how the spatial distribution of kinetic energy production can be investigated. For the moist atmospheric case, the reference state is also difficult to obtain, due to the possibility of latent heat release during rearrangement (Lorenz 1978). No analytical method exists to calculate Lorenz APE in a moist atmosphere. Various sorting algorithms have been developed to approximate it (Lorenz 1979; Randall and Wang 1992; Wong et al. 2016; Stansifer et al. 2017), but these heuristic approaches often make it difficult to understand the physical source of the APE (Harris and Tailleux 2018).

An alternative form of APE theory is the local APE defined by Andrews (1981) and Holliday and McIntyre (1981). In local APE theory, each moist air parcel’s APE density is computed independently of the other parcels’, rather than employing a Lorenzian domainwide rearrangement. Any hydrostatically balanced atmospheric state may be chosen as the reference state. The parcel’s nearest level of neutral buoyancy (LNB) is computed with respect to that reference state. Its APE density is then defined as the work that must be done by buoyancy forces on the parcel to bring it reversibly and adiabatically from this LNB in the reference state to its actual position. The APE thus gives the total potential energy of the parcel that can be converted into kinetic energy by reversible adiabatic motion through the reference state.

This is similar to the concept of convective available potential energy (CAPE), which is also defined as an integral of buoyancy from a parcel’s actual height to its LNB (e.g., Emanuel 1994, p. 169). The main difference between the two is that when defining CAPE, the parcel’s buoyancy is calculated relative to its local environment, rather than a reference state. In addition, the definition of CAPE assumes that the parcel moves upward and is positively buoyant at some lifted height, whereas APE density can be computed for parcels of any buoyancy.

If the local APE is integrated over a closed domain, and the Lorenzian reference state is used, the result will be identical to the Lorenz APE for that domain. The flexibility to use an alternative reference state is a particular advantage of the local theory for the moist atmosphere, where the Lorenz reference state is difficult to obtain, and the local definition means that budgets of APE density can be constructed to investigate local energy production and conversion. Local APE theory was recently generalized for a compressible multicomponent fluid (Tailleux 2018), so it is now possible to apply the theory to the moist atmosphere to investigate the local APE budget of a numerically simulated TC. Further relevant details of local APE theory will be elucidated in section 3.

Many energetic studies of TCs, both observational (Palmén and Jordan 1955; Palmén and Riehl 1957) and numerical (Kurihara 1975; Tuleya and Kurihara 1975; Hogsett and Zhang 2009), have considered an energy pathway in which TPE is treated as the source of kinetic energy. Surface moisture fluxes increase the latent energy of low-level parcels as they flow in toward the center of the TC (Kleinschmidt 1951; Emanuel 1986); as these parcels converge and rise in the eyewall, condensation occurs and releases latent heat, which converts this latent energy into TPE. TPE is then converted to kinetic energy via work produced by flow down the resulting radial pressure gradient.

While this view of the energy transfers is not incorrect, it may not be the most useful one for understanding how diabatic processes lead to the generation of kinetic energy. Lorenz (1955) identified that the majority of TPE (≈90%) is not available for reversible conversion into kinetic energy, and so when latent heat release generates TPE, only a small fraction of this should be expected to feed through into kinetic energy. Large amounts of TPE are exported in the upper-level outflow (Palmén and Jordan 1955; Palmén and Riehl 1957; Hogsett and Zhang 2009), without contributing to the development of the TC in terms of kinetic energy.

If we do not expect the majority of TPE to be converted into KE, then it seems a poor choice to view it as the reservoir of energy from which the TC extracts its KE. The ultimate intensification of the TC depends not just on the amount of TPE present, but on the efficiency with which this TPE can be converted to KE, i.e., how much of it is APE. Therefore, if the generation of kinetic energy in a TC is to be directly attributed to the effects of particular diabatic processes, it may be preferable to consider APE, rather than TPE, as the form of potential energy from which kinetic energy arises.

When considering TPE, the system efficiency of the TC is commonly measured by the ratio of latent heat release to kinetic energy generation. This will henceforth be referred to as the *TPE efficiency*. The TPE efficiency of a TC is very low—typically 2%–3% (Palmén and Jordan 1955; Palmén and Riehl 1957; Hogsett and Zhang 2009)—and is difficult to calculate analytically. It has only been calculated analytically for very idealized dry vortices, using a constant heat forcing to approximate the effect of latent heat release (Schubert and Hack 1982; Hack and Schubert 1986). This makes it difficult to cleanly link diabatic processes to the TC’s ultimate development; even if it is possible to budget the diabatic processes that contribute to a source of TPE, this source will mostly not lead to kinetic energy generation, and it is not easy to predict the efficiency with which it does.

In local moist APE theory, surface fluxes generate APE directly rather than via latent energy, because moist APE theory treats latent heat release as an internal parcel process rather than an external energy source. Any diabatic process can produce or dissipate APE, and the TC then intensifies as APE is converted into kinetic energy by buoyancy fluxes (Tailleux 2018). Each moist air parcel has its own APE production efficiencies, which govern how much APE density increases for a given change in entropy or total moisture content. These efficiencies will be fully defined in section 3. The moist APE efficiencies are simpler to compute than TPE efficiency; this paper will demonstrate their computation for the axisymmetric model of RE87. This means that spatially and temporally varying efficiencies can be computed in a model with interactive surface fluxes and convection, rather than requiring an unrealistic constant heat forcing. Since surface fluxes are expected to be a key source of APE, a moist APE–based diagnostic is also more likely to be able to incorporate the effects of boundary layer physics in future studies.

*Carnot efficiency*of such an engine is

*T*is the temperature at the top of the boundary layer and

_{b}*T*

_{out}is the outflow temperature. The maximum wind speed at the top of the boundary layer

*υ*can then be derived as

_{b}*C*and

_{k}*C*are the surface exchange coefficients for enthalpy and momentum, respectively,

_{D}*k*=

*c*+

_{p}T*Lq*is the moist enthalpy evaluated at the top of the mixed layer, and the saturation enthalpy

*T*(Emanuel 1988). A similar expression for PI can be derived without considering a Carnot engine, but by assuming gradient wind balance and saturated reversible thermodynamics above the boundary layer (Emanuel 1986). Recent work by Rousseau-Rizzi and Emanuel (2019) also showed that by considering two infinitesimally separated Carnot cycles, it is possible to derive a PI for the surface winds without requiring the entire secondary circulation to approximate a Carnot heat engine: only the circulation in the eyewall needs to do so.

_{s}Although PI can be derived from an argument based on the maximum efficiency of a TC, there is not an obvious link between this Carnot efficiency and the TPE efficiency discussed above. The Carnot efficiency has a typical value of 1/3, whereas the maximum TPE efficiency does not exceed 10% [this also applies to the efficiency of dry APE production; see Edmon and Vincent (1979) for calculations]. This may be linked to the fact that TPE and dry APE efficiencies treat latent heat release as their energy source, whereas in the Carnot engine framework the energy source is clearly surface enthalpy fluxes—as in moist APE theory. Many studies dealing with the Carnot cycle viewpoint of TCs refer to the mechanical energy output of the heat engine as the “available energy” (Emanuel 1987, 1997, 2003; Shen 2004). However, this energy is based on an entropy budget around a closed cycle and is therefore fundamentally different to the moist APE described here, which concerns the work done by buoyancy forces as air parcels move to a level of neutral buoyancy. Section 4a will explore the link between local moist APE theory and potential intensity.

While several studies have described APE as the source of energy for a TC (e.g., Anthes and Johnson 1968; Tang and Emanuel 2012; Wong et al. 2016), the difficulty of constructing a closed APE budget for a moist atmosphere has prevented a thorough analysis of the processes affecting moist APE in a TC. Since moist processes are of great importance in a TC, it is unsatisfactory to use a definition of APE based on the dry potential temperature, as was done by Anthes and Johnson (1968) and Nolan et al. (2007); this cannot take into account the full effects of moisture and its coupling with convection.

Tang and Emanuel (2012) used a local form of moist APE theory to explain how the ventilation of colder, drier air into a TC decreases its intensity: entropy mixing above the boundary layer destroys APE that could otherwise have been converted into kinetic energy. This work used an axisymmetric numerical model, and took the sounding used to initialize the model as the reference state. Tang and Emanuel (2012) did not derive a full budget of local APE for a multicomponent fluid as in Tailleux (2018), but nonetheless their use of an LNB to compute parcels’ reference properties yields a similar form for the efficiency of APE production to the full theory. This was an important demonstration of the physical insight that can be obtained by using moist APE theory, and using the initial model state as the reference state seems reasonable and minimizes computational expense. However, the work did not explore a full budget for the APE; for example, it is not known how much APE is stored in the TC or how much is converted to kinetic energy. Wong et al. (2016) also used moist APE to study an axisymmetric TC model, investigating which sorting algorithm yielded the most suitable reference state for studying intensification. However, the resulting APE production did not match kinetic energy generation in either of the tested reference states, and again a closed budget of APE was not computed.

In section 2, we describe the axisymmetric TC model of RE87 for which our local APE budget has been constructed. We highlight the key features of the model that informed the method of budget construction, such as the reference state and conserved variables. Section 3 then outlines the construction of the budget itself, and notes a discontinuous structure to the APE density that has not previously been described by local APE theory. This discontinuous character is an obstacle to physical interpretation of the APE budget for the TC, but demonstrates the benefit of constructing a complete, closed budget for a simple example case for providing insight into the fundamentals of local APE theory. In section 4, we present the results of the APE budget. Further discussion, in particular how such a budget could be applied to a less idealized model, follows in section 5.

## 2. Axisymmetric model

The axisymmetric tropical cyclone model of RE87 is a nonhydrostatic model designed to study the prototypical TC intensification problem, in which an existing vortex intensifies over a warm sea surface with no disturbance by a synoptic environment. More advanced axisymmetric TC models, such as CM1 (Bryan and Rotunno 2009), are available; the RE87 model lacks features such as a boundary layer scheme or dissipative heating. However, the construction of a local APE budget for a moist atmosphere is a complex procedure and so the simpler RE87 model is preferred in order to facilitate the development of a closed budget that accounts for the diabatic generation of APE by all modeled processes. The version of the model used here incorporates the modifications of Craig (1995, 1996), which introduce ice-phase microphysics and a closed radial boundary. Henceforth, this modified version of the RE87 model will be referred to as “the axisymmetric model,” or simply “the model.”

The axisymmetric model solves the compressible equations for nine prognostic variables: the radial, azimuthal, and vertical components of velocity, *u*, *υ*, and *w*; the perturbation of the Exner pressure from the initial environmental sounding, *θ*; and the mixing ratios of water vapor *r _{υ}*, cloud liquid water

*r*, liquid precipitation

_{l}*r*, and ice

_{p}*r*. Section 2a will describe the setup of the model domain and the initial conditions for these equations. Section 2b will derive the model’s kinetic energy budget from the three components of the momentum equation, and the available elastic energy budget from the equation for

_{i}*π*. Section 2c will use the equations for the thermodynamic variables to identify the conserved variables required to construct the APE budget in section 3.

### a. Model setup

The model is run at a radial resolution of *r* = 2.5 km and a vertical resolution of *z* = 625 m. This resolution is high enough to permit convection, so that the conversion of available potential energy into kinetic energy via convection can be studied without the need to consider a convective parameterization. The resolution is not increased any further due to the high computational expense of APE diagnostics. Model output is analyzed at hourly intervals.

The domain measures 22.5 km in the vertical direction, with a further 5 km of sponge layer, in which the three components of velocity are damped to absorb gravity waves, so that these do not reflect from the upper boundary. The domain extends 3150 km in the radial direction, and the no-flux outer boundary condition of Craig (1996) is used. An outer sponge layer of 900 km was required to absorb radially propagating gravity waves. Using these parameters, the intensification of the TC is not found to be sensitive to the radial extent of the domain. The domain is assumed to be an *f* plane with Coriolis parameter *f* = 6.14 × 10^{−5} rad s^{−1}, corresponding to a latitude of approximately 25°N.

The model’s initial conditions are determined by the sea surface temperature, which remains constant throughout the run, the far-field environmental sounding, and the azimuthal wind profile of the vortex. The results shown in this paper were obtained using an SST of 30.3°C and the Jordan mean hurricane-season sounding for the West Indies (Jordan 1958). The effects of changing the SST and environmental sounding will be discussed briefly in section 5.

The azimuthal wind of the initial vortex is prescribed as in Emanuel and Rotunno (1989), with a maximum wind speed *υ*_{max} = 12 m s^{−1} occurring at radius *r*_{max} = 75 km. The initial thermodynamic fields are adjusted to achieve thermal wind balance with the prescribed vortex before simulation of the cyclone intensification begins. The intensity of the simulated TC in terms of both maximum azimuthal wind speed *υ*_{max} and minimum surface pressure *p*_{min} is shown in Fig. 1. The initial stages of intensification, from 5 to 40 h, are relatively slow. This is followed by a period of rapid intensification (RI) from 40 to 75 h; *υ*_{max} increases by 49.7 m s^{−1} over this 35 h, easily exceeding the 15 m s^{−1} increase in 24 h by which RI is usually defined (Kaplan et al. 2010; Lee et al. 2016). This RI period is also marked by a fast deepening of the central pressure. The maximum value of *υ*_{max} is 79.3 m s^{−1}, attained at 139 h. There is then an overall decreasing trend in *υ*_{max} from 139 to 250 h. The central pressure decreases until it becomes approximately steady at approximately 200 h, with an average value of 904.4 hPa over the final 50 h of the simulation.

### b. Model energetics

*c*= 1004.5 J kg

_{p}^{−1}K

^{−1}. The term

*b*is defined by

*elastic mass divergence term*, similar to the terminology used by Xue and Lin (2001). In practice, this term is very small in all the budgets presented in this paper.

*e*. For small pressure perturbations

_{e}*π*, the elastic energy is approximately

*c*= 717.5 J kg

_{υ}^{−1}K

^{−1}is the specific heat capacity at constant volume of dry air. The model’s equation for the time tendency of

*π*is

*θ*.

_{υ}Figure 2 shows the budget of kinetic and elastic energy integrated over the whole model domain (excluding sponge layers). The main energy balance is between the conversion of APE into kinetic energy and the frictional dissipation of kinetic energy, which occurs mostly at the sea surface. The storage of azimuthal kinetic energy and available elastic energy as the cyclone develops results in a positive total tendency.

Budget of kinetic plus available elastic energy according to Eq. (10), integrated over the axisymmetric model domain. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Budget of kinetic plus available elastic energy according to Eq. (10), integrated over the axisymmetric model domain. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Budget of kinetic plus available elastic energy according to Eq. (10), integrated over the axisymmetric model domain. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

It is important to recognize that this interpretation of the energy budget is not at odds with the traditional view that kinetic energy is generated by the acceleration of inflowing parcels by the radial pressure gradient (e.g., Anthes 1974). This conversion is implicit within the total kinetic + elastic energy budget. The vertical kinetic energy generated by the conversion of APE is very quickly converted to elastic energy via the vertical pressure gradient, resulting in the total vertical kinetic energy in the model being much smaller than the horizontal kinetic energy. It is therefore still the work of the radial pressure gradient that generates most of the kinetic energy in the modeled TC.

### c. Conserved variables

*L*is the latent heat of vaporization of water. As before, the

_{υ}*D*terms are subgrid turbulence parameterizations (which include surface fluxes of

_{j}*θ*and

*r*). The term

_{υ}*R*is a radiative cooling tendency, for which we use the simple Newtonian cooling of RE87, with a limit of 2 K day

^{−1}, as recommended by Tang and Emanuel (2012).

*θ*is

_{e}*θ*is conserved by all processes other than radiative cooling and the subgrid contributions to

_{e}*θ*and

*r*, when variation in Π is neglected.

_{υ}*θ*to include these with

_{e}*L*is the latent heat of sublimation and

_{s}*L*is the latent heat of fusion. This choice of

_{f}*θ*as a modified potential temperature is based on the definition of Pauluis (2016), but neglects variations in

_{ei}*c*and

_{p}*T*since these are not accounted for in the model. Again neglecting variations in Π, the material derivative of

*θ*is

_{ei}*θ*that is approximately conserved by condensation and evaporation of cloud liquid water,

_{e}*θ*is also approximately conserved by the freezing, melting, and sublimation processes included as part of the modified microphysics.

_{ei}*e*is computed for moist air parcels based on the definition of

_{a}*θ*in Eq. (13), then changes in

_{ei}*e*will result from changes in

_{a}*θ*according to the material derivative

_{ei}*θ*and therefore appear to contribute to the diabatic production/dissipation of

_{ei}*e*, but it is not associated with the production of APE due to any diabatic process in Eq. (14). To solve this problem, the density-weighted average of Π throughout the domain (over all time steps) is computed; this will be denoted by

_{a}*θ*for use in the APE budget, it is approximated to

_{ei}*θ*that is approximately equal to the production computed directly from the surface fluxes, subgrid mixing, and precipitation fallout, when integrated regionally.

_{ei}*j*=

*υ*,

*l*,

*p*,

*i*, where

*θ*,

_{ei}*r*) are approximately conserved by all modeled processes other than radiative cooling, the fallout of precipitation (both liquid and ice), surface fluxes, and subgrid turbulence and frictional dissipation.

_{i}Next, we use the findings of this section to design an appropriate budget of APE density for the axisymmetric model.

## 3. Available potential energy budget

The local form of APE theory was originally developed by Andrews (1981) and Holliday and McIntyre (1981) and was recently generalized for a multicomponent compressible stratified fluid by Tailleux (2018). For each fluid parcel, APE density is defined as the energy released when the parcel moves reversibly and adiabatically to its nearest LNB with respect to a reference state, which is a notional resting atmospheric state. The APE thus gives the total potential energy that is available for reversible conversion into kinetic energy.

*α*is specific volume. For each parcel, the reference height

*z*is defined using the equation for the parcel’s LNB when it is lifted reversibly and adiabatically,

_{r}*z*, its first LNB above

*z*is selected as

*z*; if no such LNB exists then the height at the top of the domain is used. If the parcel is negatively buoyant at

_{r}*z*then

*z*is chosen as the first LNB below

_{r}*z*, or the bottom of the domain if this LNB does not exist. Defining the parcel’s buoyancy relative to the reference state as

*e*is then derived [see Tailleux (2013) for more details] as

_{a}*e*produced by a given change in

_{a}*θ*and

_{ei}*r*, respectively. These derivatives are sometimes referred to as thermodynamic efficiencies (Tailleux 2013), but here the terminology

_{t}*efficiency*is reserved for the scaled forms of the coefficients that will be defined later in this section, since these take values between −1 and 1 and can therefore be more easily compared with other definitions of efficiency. The term −

*bw*is the conversion between APE density and KE via vertical buoyancy fluxes. The derivation of the term proportional to

*z*varies continuously, in which case the term vanishes since

_{r}*b*(

*z*) = 0. However, more consideration is required when

_{r}*z*varies discontinuously, as discussed later in this section.

_{r}*h*and

*r*by

*f*, the efficiencies are

*μ*is chemical potential. Here, the specific heat capacity for moist air has been defined as

To obtain a closed budget of APE density for the axisymmetric model, it is necessary to discretize *e _{a}*,

*APE production efficiencies*by scaling the APE production coefficients so that they approximate the APE produced for a given change in enthalpy. If the effect of the latent heat of fusion is included in the definition of enthalpy, a change

*r*,

_{l}*r*, or

_{p}*r*for simplicity, the change in

_{i}*r*is

_{t}*dr*=

_{t}*dr*, which is equivalent to an enthalpy change

_{υ}*dk*=

*L*. The APE production efficiencies with respect to

_{s}dr_{υ}*θ*and

_{ei}*r*are therefore defined as

_{t}The final term on the rhs of Eq. (28) has been taken to be zero in previous works, since *b*(*z _{r}*) = 0 by the definition of the reference height (Tailleux 2013). However, to obtain this form of the term from the Lagrangian derivative of Eq. (22), it is necessary to assume that

*z*is a continuous function of space and time, which need not be the case. Recognizing that discontinuous transitions in

_{r}*z*and hence

_{r}*e*can occur is crucial to closing the local APE budget in some scenarios. Here we provide one example to illustrate how these transitions may occur.

_{a}Using the Jordan mean hurricane season sounding as a reference profile, we take an example parcel at *z* = 100 m with *θ _{e}* = 340 K and

*r*= 0.014 kg kg

_{t}^{−1}. The parcel is positively buoyant with respect to the reference profile and so

*z*>

_{r}*z*. Figure 3a shows the parcel’s temperature and liquid water mixing ratio as it is lifted reversibly and adiabatically along the reference pressure profile

Thermodynamic properties of a parcel with *θ _{e}* = 340 K and

*r*= 0.014 kg kg

_{t}^{−1}when lifted reversibly and adiabatically upward from 200 m through the Jordan hurricane-season mean sounding (freezing not included). (a) Temperature (dashed blue line) and liquid water mixing ratio (solid orange line) as parcel is lifted. (b) Buoyancy relative to Jordan sounding during lifting (blue solid line). The gray dashed–dotted line shows the buoyancy profile when

*θ*is perturbed by 1 K. The black dashed line indicates where

_{e}*b*= 0 m s

^{−2}. Green stars mark reference heights for the two parcels.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Thermodynamic properties of a parcel with *θ _{e}* = 340 K and

*r*= 0.014 kg kg

_{t}^{−1}when lifted reversibly and adiabatically upward from 200 m through the Jordan hurricane-season mean sounding (freezing not included). (a) Temperature (dashed blue line) and liquid water mixing ratio (solid orange line) as parcel is lifted. (b) Buoyancy relative to Jordan sounding during lifting (blue solid line). The gray dashed–dotted line shows the buoyancy profile when

*θ*is perturbed by 1 K. The black dashed line indicates where

_{e}*b*= 0 m s

^{−2}. Green stars mark reference heights for the two parcels.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Thermodynamic properties of a parcel with *θ _{e}* = 340 K and

*r*= 0.014 kg kg

_{t}^{−1}when lifted reversibly and adiabatically upward from 200 m through the Jordan hurricane-season mean sounding (freezing not included). (a) Temperature (dashed blue line) and liquid water mixing ratio (solid orange line) as parcel is lifted. (b) Buoyancy relative to Jordan sounding during lifting (blue solid line). The gray dashed–dotted line shows the buoyancy profile when

*θ*is perturbed by 1 K. The black dashed line indicates where

_{e}*b*= 0 m s

^{−2}. Green stars mark reference heights for the two parcels.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

The parcel’s reference height *z _{r}* is then the lowest height

*z*at which

*b*(

*z*) = 0. The lifted buoyancy profile is shown by the solid line in Fig. 3b, with the dashed line indicating where

*b*= 0. The parcel reaches neutral buoyancy shortly before it saturates. In this case

*z*= 1.25 km (indicated by the lower green star). If the parcel were heated so that

_{r}*θ*= 341 K, while maintaining constant

_{e}*r*, its new buoyancy profile would be the one shown by the dashed–dotted line. The parcel now remains positively buoyant around its saturation level, and attains a much higher LNB,

_{t}*z*= 13.2 km (indicated by the upper green star). At some temperature 340 <

_{r}*θ*< 341 K,

_{e}*z*discontinuously transitions from 1.25 to 13.2 km without taking on any value in between. Therefore, even if

_{r}*θ*varies continuously in time and space, temporal discontinuities in

_{e}*z*and hence

_{r}*e*can occur. Spatial discontinuities in

_{a}*e*are then also expected, as a result of the fact that one parcel may have accessed a higher LNB in this manner while a neighboring parcel, despite having similar thermodynamic properties, has not.

_{a}The example presented above is analogous to the release of convective available potential energy, the main difference being that buoyancy is defined relative to the reference state rather than necessarily the local environment. At *θ _{e}* = 340 K,

*z*lies below the parcel’s level of free convection (LFC); we can think of some APE being unavailable to the parcel due to the presence of convective inhibition (CIN). The perturbation of

_{r}*θ*by 1 K is sufficient to allow the parcel to attain its LFC and hence rise to its LNB at 13.2 km, releasing APE in the same way that CAPE would be released.

_{e}The discontinuous behavior of *z _{r}* is a signal that a reservoir of BPE has become APE (recall that BPE is the part of the total potential energy not available for reversible conversion to kinetic energy; TPE = APE + BPE). Similar behavior can be seen in cases where the parcel’s in situ buoyancy is close to zero, so that a small amount of heating or moistening may switch a parcel with marginally negative buoyancy and

*z*= 0 m to a positively buoyant parcel with

_{r}*z*high in the troposphere (or vice versa).

_{r}However, since APE is defined relative to a nonlocal sounding in this case, the appearance of large amounts of APE has less physical significance than the release of CAPE. When CAPE is released, deep convection occurs as parcels move to their LNB. However, in the case of APE, a parcel could have *z _{r}* high in the troposphere when calculated relative to some far-field environmental sounding, but not actually move upward because it is not buoyant relative to its local environment. It is therefore important to bear in mind that a discontinuous increase in local APE need not be associated with any rapid change in vertical motion.

The discontinuous behavior of *z _{r}* is not unique to the atmospheric context; the possibility of the existence of multiple LNBs has also been identified in the ocean (Saenz et al. 2015), which would enable discontinuous transitions of

*z*in seawater parcels.

_{r}The discontinuity of *z _{r}* in time can be thought of as an instantaneous transfer of potential energy into APE from BPE. As

*z*transitions, the partition between APE and BPE is suddenly altered. This view contrasts with previous interpretations of local APE budgets, in which transfer between APE and BPE occurs only through diabatic processes. Here, the transfer may occur adiabatically via changes in

_{r}*z*(although the transition could be triggered by diabatic processes).

_{r}Some part of the BPE can be considered to be latent APE, meaning that it is not available for reversible conversion to kinetic energy, but it can become so without the need for diabatic processes. In contrast, the rest of the BPE is inert, i.e., it will not become APE without diabatic processes altering the partition between BPE and APE. These forms of potential energy and the transfers between them are depicted in Fig. 4. Discontinuous transitions may either convert latent APE to APE, as described above, or vice versa, if the transition moves the reference height closer to the parcel’s actual position (e.g., if the parcel illustrated in Fig. 3 were cooled from 341 to 340 K). Latent APE can be generated from inert BPE by diabatic processes in much the same way that APE is generated, but latent APE must undergo a transition to APE before it can be converted to kinetic energy.

Possible transfers between forms of potential energy and kinetic energy when *z _{r}* can exhibit discontinuity. External energy sources (e.g., surface fluxes) are not included.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Possible transfers between forms of potential energy and kinetic energy when *z _{r}* can exhibit discontinuity. External energy sources (e.g., surface fluxes) are not included.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Possible transfers between forms of potential energy and kinetic energy when *z _{r}* can exhibit discontinuity. External energy sources (e.g., surface fluxes) are not included.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

*z*, Eq. (23) should be reformulated as

_{r}The formal mathematical representation of the discontinuity term would involve Dirac delta functions. However, it is difficult to work with delta functions on a discretized grid, because the discontinuous transitions will generally occur at some location between grid points. For this reason, in the APE budget the final term on the rhs of Eq. (29) is diagnosed as a budget residual, computed only for grid points that show variations in *z _{r}* consistent with discontinuous behavior. The residual is computed for parcels that exhibit a change in

*z*greater than the vertical grid spacing Δ

_{r}*z*in a single time step. The residual is also computed if a grid point has either radially or vertically neighboring points with a difference in

*z*greater than 10Δ

_{r}*z*(a higher threshold is used than for the temporal discontinuity because there may be large variations in

*θ*and

_{ei}*r*between grid points, so some larger changes in

_{t}*z*are to be expected).

_{r}When presenting results from the axisymmetric model, we mask out the contribution of temporal discontinuities to the APE budget, because otherwise these introduce high-magnitude noise to the budget and prevent analysis of the continuous evolution of APE due to diabatic processes. The conversion of APE to kinetic energy does not exhibit any apparent temporal discontinuities. Therefore, the continuous evolution appears to be more physically relevant to intensification. It is not possible to assess the overall effect that the temporal discontinuities have on the evolution of the total APE, because the model data are only output every hour, whereas discontinuities happen on a single 6 s time step, and may contribute very differently from one time step to the next. Such sparse sampling is not adequate to capture the overall effect of the discontinuities, but it would not be feasible to perform the APE budget on the large amount of data required to capture processes occurring on the scale of single time steps. Spatial discontinuities in APE density are included in the results.

## 4. Results

Before presenting the full APE budget, we first examine the APE density and production efficiencies. Figure 5 shows the azimuthal wind speed at 150 h into the model run to provide context for the scale and structure of the TC; the APE density *e _{a}* at the same time is shown in Fig. 6. The highest values of

*e*occur near the cyclone center and at the sea surface. The high APE density in the center reflects the baroclinicity of the system; APE is stored in the warm core of the cyclone relative to the initial environment. This APE could be released if the vortex were to dissipate. The high APE at the surface seems likely to be a result of the production of APE by air–sea fluxes, which will be verified by further budget analysis later in this section.

_{a}Azimuthal wind *υ* of the axisymmetric TC at 150 h. Colored contour levels are spaced every 10 m s^{−1}. Purple shading corresponds to positive *υ* (cyclonic flow), while orange shading corresponds to negative *υ* (anticyclonic flow).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Azimuthal wind *υ* of the axisymmetric TC at 150 h. Colored contour levels are spaced every 10 m s^{−1}. Purple shading corresponds to positive *υ* (cyclonic flow), while orange shading corresponds to negative *υ* (anticyclonic flow).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Azimuthal wind *υ* of the axisymmetric TC at 150 h. Colored contour levels are spaced every 10 m s^{−1}. Purple shading corresponds to positive *υ* (cyclonic flow), while orange shading corresponds to negative *υ* (anticyclonic flow).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE density *e _{a}* in the axisymmetric TC 150 h into the simulation, computed using a discretized version of Eq. (22).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE density *e _{a}* in the axisymmetric TC 150 h into the simulation, computed using a discretized version of Eq. (22).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE density *e _{a}* in the axisymmetric TC 150 h into the simulation, computed using a discretized version of Eq. (22).

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Figure 7 shows the APE production efficiencies *z _{r}*. Where |

*z*−

*z*| is large, the air parcel will have very different properties at its reference height versus its actual height, so |

_{r}*T*−

_{h}*T*| and |

_{r}*μ*−

_{h}*μ*| are both large. Hence the magnitudes of the efficiencies tend to covary.

_{r}APE production efficiencies at 150 h. Red parcels have positive efficiency, meaning that an increase in the relevant quantity [(a) *θ _{ei}*, (b)

*r*] will increase

_{t}*e*. Blue parcels have negative efficiency, meaning that an increase in the quantity will decrease

_{a}*e*.

_{a}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE production efficiencies at 150 h. Red parcels have positive efficiency, meaning that an increase in the relevant quantity [(a) *θ _{ei}*, (b)

*r*] will increase

_{t}*e*. Blue parcels have negative efficiency, meaning that an increase in the quantity will decrease

_{a}*e*.

_{a}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE production efficiencies at 150 h. Red parcels have positive efficiency, meaning that an increase in the relevant quantity [(a) *θ _{ei}*, (b)

*r*] will increase

_{t}*e*. Blue parcels have negative efficiency, meaning that an increase in the quantity will decrease

_{a}*e*.

_{a}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Regions in which *z _{r}* >

*z*. An increase in

*θ*will further increase the buoyancy, leading to an increase in APE density. We can therefore conclude that surface fluxes of

_{ei}*θ*will generally produce APE, as expected. Regions of negative

_{ei}*z*<

_{r}*z*, which occurs mostly at upper levels but also in a few surface parcels, which are negatively buoyant with respect to the environmental sounding. For these parcels, an increase in

*θ*results in a decrease in APE density.

_{ei}The efficiency *z* = 15 km for two reasons. First, the moist air buoyancy equation, Eq. (4), contains negative contributions from liquid water and ice. This means that for saturated parcels, an increase in *r _{t}* will act to increase the water loading, decrease the buoyancy and decrease the APE density. The second reason stems from the addition of water vapor to unsaturated air near the surface, which will become saturated when lifted to its reference height. As documented by Pauluis (2011), lifting unsaturated air to saturation reduces the efficiency of an atmospheric heat engine, because energy must be used to increase the Gibbs free energy of the water vapor (Pauluis terms this the

*Gibbs penalty*). Similarly, this effect acts to decrease APE density.

It is important to note that some physical processes act to influence the APE density through changes in both *θ _{ei}* and

*r*, and their effects should not be assessed without considering the sum of the two production terms (since the partitioning depends on the choice of conserved variables). For example, precipitation of liquid water out of parcels in the lower atmosphere acts to increase APE through the

_{t}*r*term, by reducing the water loading, but decreases APE through the

_{t}*θ*term because the latent heat of fusion that could have been released if the parcel were lifted to its freezing level is now lost. The surface flux of water vapor increases APE by adding latent heat through the

_{ei}*θ*term, but decreases APE due to the Gibbs penalty. For this reason, only the total diabatic APE production will be shown in the budget, rather than breaking it down into

_{ei}*θ*and

_{ei}*r*components.

_{t}When the APE budget equation, Eq. (30), is integrated over the whole model domain, the chief budget contributor is the effect of spatial discontinuities in *e _{a}* (not shown). This makes the budget difficult to interpret physically; it was discussed in section 3 that the physical relevance of spatial discontinuities in

*e*is unclear. Discontinuities in

_{a}*e*are not likely to result in discontinuities in velocity.

_{a}Instead of considering the whole domain, the focus of the APE budget is therefore narrowed to the inner radial regions, where the majority of the generation of kinetic energy is expected to occur. In Fig. 8, the budget of APE density is integrated over a cylinder of radius 300 km around the center of the cyclone. This radial threshold is chosen such that all surface hurricane-force winds (*υ* > 33 m s^{−1}) are included within the region considered. This subset of the domain will henceforth be referred to as the *inner region*.

APE budget equation, Eq. (30), integrated over all grid points in the inner region (within *r* = 300 km of the TC center). Time series have been smoothed using a 3 h running mean. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE budget equation, Eq. (30), integrated over all grid points in the inner region (within *r* = 300 km of the TC center). Time series have been smoothed using a 3 h running mean. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

APE budget equation, Eq. (30), integrated over all grid points in the inner region (within *r* = 300 km of the TC center). Time series have been smoothed using a 3 h running mean. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

In the inner region of the TC, spatial discontinuities still dominate during the early stages of development, so it is difficult to use the APE budget to draw any conclusions about the intensification process. This points to a significant limitation of the local APE budget using the initial sounding reference state, which is that its physical meaning only becomes clear once the TC is generally warmer than the initialization sounding. It can be seen from Fig. 8 that after 150 h, once the TC has reached maturity, the contribution of spatial discontinuities to the budget becomes small in the inner region, since all lower-level parcels have become positively buoyant relative to the initial sounding.

After 150 h, the predominant source of APE in the inner region is the flux of APE into the region. This is dependent on the choice of the size of the region: for larger inner regions, the inward flux becomes smaller and diabatic production within the region becomes more important. The vertical profile of the flux of APE across the *r* = 300 km surface at 200 h (Fig. 9) shows that this flux enters through the low-level radial inflow, with very little exported at upper levels.

Flux of APE across the *r* = 300 km surface at 200 h. Blue circles indicate the *υ* grid vertical levels, at which the flux is calculated. Positive values correspond to an influx of APE to the inner region at that vertical level, while negative values correspond to an outward flux.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Flux of APE across the *r* = 300 km surface at 200 h. Blue circles indicate the *υ* grid vertical levels, at which the flux is calculated. Positive values correspond to an influx of APE to the inner region at that vertical level, while negative values correspond to an outward flux.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Flux of APE across the *r* = 300 km surface at 200 h. Blue circles indicate the *υ* grid vertical levels, at which the flux is calculated. Positive values correspond to an influx of APE to the inner region at that vertical level, while negative values correspond to an outward flux.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

In the TC’s mature stage, the sum of the influx of APE into the region and the local diabatic production is approximately balanced by the conversion of APE to kinetic energy, demonstrating that the definition of the APE as “available” for conversion to kinetic energy is reasonable in this region—the definition reasonably estimates the portion of the potential energy that is actually available to be converted into kinetic energy.

We conclude that in this mature tropical cyclone simulation, the diabatic production of APE in the inner region is less important to the production of kinetic energy than the transport of APE into the region by the secondary circulation. To confirm where and how this transported APE is originally produced, we look at the total diabatic APE production at all grid points in the domain at 200 h (Fig. 10). The majority of APE production occurs in the lowest model level. The APE production is largest in parcels at 1000–1500 km, partly because parcels at larger radii represent a larger volume over which APE can be produced.

Total diabatic production of APE at 200 h. Dashed box marks region of inflow integration.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Total diabatic production of APE at 200 h. Dashed box marks region of inflow integration.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Total diabatic production of APE at 200 h. Dashed box marks region of inflow integration.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

To determine the processes that produce the APE that is ultimately transported to the inner region, we integrate the total diabatic production over the inflow region shown by the dashed box in Fig. 10 (which has its inner radial boundary at *r* = 300 km), at each time step. This produces the budget in Fig. 11, where the dashed black line indicates the total APE production by diabatic processes. The APE production by subgrid processes is split into the contribution from surface fluxes and the contribution from internal mixing (the latter being computed by subtracting the surface flux APE production from the total subgrid APE production). This budget confirms that surface fluxes are the primary source of APE. In the inflow region, mixing acts as a sink of APE, consistent with previous findings of water vapor diffusion as a major sink of APE (Pauluis 2007). Radiative cooling also reduces APE slightly. This demonstrates that the choice of subgrid turbulence parameterization affects the APE generated in the key production region, and therefore an APE budget could be used to link such parameterization choices to the energy available for a TC.

Components of total diabatic production of APE in inflow region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Components of total diabatic production of APE in inflow region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Components of total diabatic production of APE in inflow region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

The production of APE by surface fluxes in the inflow region is broken down further in Fig. 12 to investigate the relative contributions of the sensible and latent heat fluxes. The contribution of the sensible heat flux is small compared to the latent heat flux. The production of APE driven by the surface moisture flux’s contribution to latent heat (via the *θ _{ei}* term) is reduced by about 25% due to the decrease in APE arising from the Gibbs penalty.

Contributions to APE production by components of surface flux, integrated over inflow region. The gray dashed line shows the total APE production by surface fluxes of *r _{υ}*, combining their effects through the

*θ*and

_{ei}*r*production terms. The horizontal black line marks 0 W m

_{t}^{−2}.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Contributions to APE production by components of surface flux, integrated over inflow region. The gray dashed line shows the total APE production by surface fluxes of *r _{υ}*, combining their effects through the

*θ*and

_{ei}*r*production terms. The horizontal black line marks 0 W m

_{t}^{−2}.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Contributions to APE production by components of surface flux, integrated over inflow region. The gray dashed line shows the total APE production by surface fluxes of *r _{υ}*, combining their effects through the

*θ*and

_{ei}*r*production terms. The horizontal black line marks 0 W m

_{t}^{−2}.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Finally, we can link the APE budget for the inner region of the TC to the kinetic + available elastic energy budget, as derived in Eq. (10). Figure 13 shows the integral of the kinetic/elastic energy budget over the inner 300 km of the domain. Note that since the

Kinetic plus available elastic energy budget for inner region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Kinetic plus available elastic energy budget for inner region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Kinetic plus available elastic energy budget for inner region. The horizontal black line marks 0 W.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Once APE is converted to KE in the inner region, it is mostly exported as mechanical energy. Almost all the export of mechanical energy occurs through the

The overall picture of the energetics in the inner region of the axisymmetric model’s mature TC is now complete: APE is produced by surface fluxes of latent heat outside the inner region and transported into the core by the low-level radial inflow; it is then converted into kinetic energy by vertical buoyancy fluxes, some is dissipated by friction, and the remainder is exported as mechanical energy via pressure work on the region boundary.

### Moist APE density and potential intensity

It is noticeable that the maximum efficiency

*s*and total specific humidity

*q*as our conserved variables, the production efficiencies are

_{t}*G*=

_{s}*T*–

*T*and

_{r}*μ*–

*μ*(here the efficiencies apply to the production of the sum of APE and available elastic energy). Since we know that the chief diabatic process generating APE is surface fluxes, we assume that the maximum wind speed is found by balancing the generation of available energy by surface fluxes with the frictional dissipation of KE,

_{r}*q*, substitute the form of

_{t}*G*, and write

_{s}*s*=

*c*ln

_{p}*θ*, we obtain

_{e}*T*in place of the mean outflow temperature

_{r}*T*

_{0}. This is equivalent to calculating the outflow temperature by assuming that outflow occurs at a parcel’s level of neutral buoyancy with respect to the reference state; a similar approach was originally suggested by Emanuel (1986), although it was not framed in terms of APE theory. Therefore, APE efficiencies derived from the full moist local framework can be linked to existing TC potential intensity theory in a way that efficiencies based on TPE or dry APE cannot. The relationship between moist APE and potential intensity is also likely connected to the CAPE-based formulation of PI (Bister and Emanuel 2002), which does not neglect the term proportional to

The maximum APE efficiency *G _{s}* performs the same role in APE theory as the Carnot efficiency in traditional PI theory. However, APE theory does not require the assumption of a closed thermodynamic cycle; APE efficiencies are defined for any moist air parcel regardless of its trajectory or whether the TC is in a steady state. It is therefore easier to use APE theory to investigate the temporally and spatially varying efficiency of a TC.

## 5. Discussion and conclusions

We have demonstrated that it is possible to construct a budget of moist available potential energy for a TC, based on the local formulation of APE theory. This allows a complete budget of the available energetics, down to the diabatic processes responsible for generating APE. In the mature TC simulated by the axisymmetric model, the main source of APE production is latent surface heat flux. The production of APE occurs mostly in the outer part of the TC, and the APE is then advected into the inner region of the storm where it is converted to kinetic energy.

One of the main findings in terms of the practical implementation of local APE theory is that APE density is not necessarily a continuous function of space and time; discontinuities in *e _{a}* can contribute significantly to the budget. This provides an obstacle to interpreting TC intensification in terms of APE theory, but it is a major fundamental result for local APE theory itself. Discontinuities are likely to play a larger role if the reference state exhibits conditional instability, as this allows parcels to have one level of neutral buoyancy much higher than another. The energy transfers that occur in the presence of discontinuities can be understood by introducing the concept of latent APE. This is the portion of the BPE that could become APE via a discontinuous transition in reference height, rather than only via continuous evolution through diabatic processes.

Temporal discontinuities in reference pressure *p*_{ref} were recognized by Pauluis (2007) to occur in the Lorenz APE theory, in which the reference state is obtained by adiabatic rearrangement of the domain. However, in that case, the term arising from changes in *p*_{ref} was shown to vanish when integrated over the whole atmospheric domain, due to the fact that the Lorenz reference state minimizes total static energy. In the case of local APE theory, since APE density is calculated independently for each moist air parcel, there is no such guarantee of cancellation over a domain. Therefore, while local APE theory brings the advantages that a cheaper reference state can be used and the local energy conversions can be investigated, its main disadvantage may be the need to consider discontinuities in reference height and therefore in APE density.

From a theoretical viewpoint, it may be possible to produce a completely discontinuity-free budget of APE density if an exact thermodynamic framework were employed and a conditionally neutral sounding were used as a reference state, since multiple LNBs could no longer exist. However, this is unlikely to be practical from a numerical modeling perspective. We constructed APE budgets for runs of the axisymmetric model initialized with the neutral environmental sounding developed by RE87; this is a modified version of the Jordan sounding, which is designed to be neutral to moist convection for an SST of 26.3°C. Small discontinuity terms were achieved with the neutral sounding for SSTs of 26.3°, 28.3°, and 30.3°C runs, but discontinuities were not eliminated from the budget entirely, even in the mature stage. This suggests that discontinuities in local APE budgets may be inevitable for numerical models of the moist atmosphere, due to their thermodynamic approximations and discretized nature. The budgets using the neutral sounding yielded the same conclusions as seen in section 3. Implementing budgets for these other runs required adapting the size of the inner region to account for differences in TC size, and altering

Our finding that the influx of APE to the core region is a larger contributor to the APE budget than local diabatic production makes sense in the context of the results of previous TC budgets. The latent energy budgets performed on numerical simulations by Kurihara (1975) and Tuleya and Kurihara (1975) showed that in the inner area of their TC, evaporation was negligible compared to moisture flux convergence. Since the majority of APE is being generated by surface fluxes of moisture, the dominance of APE flux convergence in our results is the equivalent of this. The dominance of moisture convergence over local evaporation can also be seen in budgets of more realistic, three-dimensional TC simulations (Trenberth et al. 2007; Yang et al. 2011; Fritz and Wang 2014).

Previous energy budgets based on both TC observations and numerical simulations noted large exports of total potential energy at upper levels (Palmén and Riehl 1957; Kurihara 1975; Tuleya and Kurihara 1975), and Anthes (1974) suggested that the export of heat at high levels could result in a large APE boundary flux. In contrast, when using the local APE framework we see relatively little export of APE at higher levels compared to the import at lower levels, since parcels in the outflow are much closer to their reference heights and therefore have less APE density. Considering only the available energetics rather than the total energetics leads to the conclusion that the export of energy from inner regions of the TC is due to pressure work at the region boundary rather than simply the transport of TPE away from the center. The small APE export demonstrates that the vast majority of the imported APE is either converted to kinetic energy or stored in the warm core vortex; both of these options are related to a strengthening of the TC (in the case of the warm core storage, this is not an instantaneous strengthening of wind speed, but would be associated with a drop in central pressure and an increase in the reservoir of APE that may be converted to kinetic energy at a later time). Therefore the APE supplied to the inner region contributes directly to intensification, whereas much of the latent energy supplied to the inner region does not directly contribute to the increase of kinetic energy, since it is simply converted to TPE and then exported back out of the region at upper levels.

The interpretation of the source of APE in a TC differs between the full moist APE theory and APE theories based on the dry potential temperature *θ*. We have shown that the latent surface heat flux is the key generator of APE, whereas in a dry framework the source of APE appears to be the latent heat released during condensation, similarly to the TPE-based framework (Anthes and Johnson 1968; Edmon and Vincent 1979; Nolan et al. 2007). One advantage offered by the viewpoint of the moist approach is that the efficiency of APE generation can be used to link available energetics to the widely established theory of potential intensity (PI). Whereas the maximum TPE or dry APE efficiency is typically on the order of 5%, occurring in the midtroposphere (Edmon and Vincent 1979; Hack and Schubert 1986), the maximum moist APE efficiency occurs in near-surface parcels and is similar to the Carnot efficiency typically used in PI theory. Local moist APE efficiencies therefore provide a unified way to view temporally and spatially varying efficiencies throughout the TC and also the efficiency leading to maximum intensity.

Increases in energetic efficiencies during intensification have been suggested to contribute to the rapid development of TCs (Schubert and Hack 1982; Hack and Schubert 1986; Vigh and Schubert 2009), but these efficiencies were based on the conversion of TPE to KE. Future work will investigate the development of the APE efficiency of boundary layer parcels during intensification, as this can directly explore the effect of boundary layer thermodynamics on a parcel’s efficiency, which was not possible using previous energetic efficiency paradigms (Smith and Montgomery 2016).

However, since the definition of local moist APE efficiency is dependent on the choice of reference state, more work needs to be done to explore the suitability of particular reference states. This work has not addressed the possibility of choosing different reference states; since the axisymmetric model momentum equations are defined using the initial environmental sounding, using this as the reference state meant that our definition of APE to vertical KE conversion matched the effective source of kinetic plus elastic energy in the model. However, the partitioning between the buoyancy term and the vertical pressure gradient term in the vertical momentum equation is nonunique, since it depends on an arbitrary reference state, which is only fixed in the case of a particular model based on reference-state equations. It would therefore be preferable to measure APE to KE conversion independently of reference state. Future work will use the methods developed in this paper for constructing a closed moist APE budget to address the question of whether there is an optimal choice of reference state for defining APE in a TC.

The link between PI and APE is clear when using the exact local available energetics of Tailleux (2018): the traditional PI equation of Bister and Emanuel (2002) is the same as Eq. (33) derived from moist local APE theory, using the reference temperature *T _{r}* (which is calculated as the LNB—relative to the reference state—of a surface parcel) instead of the outflow temperature

*T*

_{out}in the efficiency. Using an LNB with respect to the initial environmental sounding has been suggested in the past as a method of calculating

*T*

_{out}(Emanuel 1986; RE87), although the link to APE was not made. Potential intensity theory is often understood in terms of entropy, by treating the TC as a heat engine (Emanuel 1988). The interpretation of the effect of irreversible processes on TC intensification may differ between an APE budget and an entropy budget. Whereas irreversible processes must be a source of entropy by definition, they can be either a source or a sink of APE depending on the signs of the APE production efficiencies. That irreversible processes can promote intensification is already well established in the case of dissipative heating; since most of this heating occurs in the boundary layer in the region of maximum wind, it is recycled as an energy source to the TC (Bister and Emanuel 1998). From the APE viewpoint, dissipative heating is a source of APE because it is a source of entropy in parcels with positive

*G*=

_{s}*T*–

*T*.

_{r}Other irreversible processes are often just considered as entropy sources that decrease the Carnot efficiency of a TC, reducing its PI. For example, Sabuwala et al. (2015) treated the frictional dissipation in the wake of falling raindrops (“rainpower”) in this manner. However, whether rainpower provides a source or sink of APE would depend on the sign of *G _{s}* in the parcel in which the frictional dissipation occurred. The effect of an irreversible process on intensification or maximum intensity should include a consideration of the efficiency at which it occurs. Establishing the impact of the choice of reference state is particularly important for the study of irreversible processes; a given process could be a source of APE with respect to one reference state and a sink of APE with respect to another.

Since the local APE budget links processes involving moisture and convection to the ultimate intensification of TCs, it has the potential to provide a useful diagnostic tool with which to investigate the processes affecting the intensity distributions of TCs produced by climate models. However, there are still difficulties to be overcome in order to achieve this. Most notably, we were only able to draw useful physical conclusions about the APE budget in the mature stage of the simulated axisymmetric TC, with the effects of discontinuities posing an obstacle during the intensification stage. It would therefore be desirable to develop APE diagnostics that are less affected by the presence of discontinuities in APE density, in order to investigate the budget during the development stage of TCs.

We have also only investigated the budget for an idealized axisymmetric model with an easily defined reference state. To develop the budget for nonaxisymmetric models, a sensible intermediate step would be to analyze azimuthally averaged data in order to facilitate comparison with the results here, with possible study of asymmetric effects following later. Reference states could be calculated in more complex models using a time-varying profile at some distance from the cyclone center (scaled according to the TC size), to represent the ambient conditions.

Where it is too difficult or computationally expensive to construct a full closed APE budget, or where discontinuities prevent a satisfactory physical interpretation, some partial aspects of the budget are easier to investigate and could provide valuable physical insight. For example, calculating the APE production efficiency of surface parcels requires only a reference sounding and surface fields of temperature, pressure, and water vapor mixing ratio. As a further simplification, the exact analytic forms of the efficiencies could be used rather than strictly using the model’s conserved variables and thermodynamic approximations. For the axisymmetric TC analyzed in this paper, the flux of moist APE into the TC core at low levels is linked to the total conversion of APE to kinetic energy in the core. Therefore, evaluating this flux could provide a diagnostic linked to the integrated kinetic energy produced by a TC.

Differences between the integrated conversion of APE to kinetic energy via vertical buoyancy fluxes in the core (again using the environmental reference state) could also be of interest; this is likely to be useful for investigating differences caused by convection schemes, since the buoyancy fluxes occur as a result of convection. For example, two models with different convection schemes could produce the same APE through surface fluxes, and import the same amount of APE into the core, but then convert a different amount of this imported APE into kinetic energy, resulting in different intensities.

A full budget of APE production rate, similar to the one shown in Fig. 11, could provide insights into the energetic effects of diabatic processes in TCs, although due to the effects of discontinuities it is unlikely to be physically interpretable during the intensification stage. It would be particularly helpful if the APE production rate could be verified to match the model’s rate of kinetic energy generation. Such a budget is more ambitious, since it requires all diabatic processes in the model to be accounted for, and to have full spatial fields of their tendency terms available. The budget could assess, for example, how a change in the microphysics scheme affects the generation of APE by precipitation, or how changes in mixing length alter the contribution from subgrid turbulence.

## Acknowledgments.

B.L.H. was funded by NERC as part of the SCENARIO Doctoral Training Partnership (NE/L002566/1). We thank Brian Tang and an anonymous reviewer for their valuable suggestions for improving the manuscript.

## Data availability statement.

The code used to run the axisymmetric model and compute the budgets described in this paper are available at https://github.com/bethanharris/tropical-cyclone-energetics.

## APPENDIX A

### Discretization of APE Budget

The expressions for APE density *e _{a}* and efficiencies

The axisymmetric model is structured on an Arakawa C grid, with the velocity components *u*, *υ*, and *w* all computed at different points. The grid is shown in Fig. A1. All thermodynamic variables (e.g., *υ* points. When computing buoyancy for use in the vertical momentum equation, *b* is required at *w* points, which is achieved by linear interpolation of *θ*, *r _{j}*,

*w*levels.

Axisymmetric model grid structure. The solid black rectangle marks the boundaries of the domain. The components *u*, *υ*, and *w* of the velocity are computed at the labeled grid points. All thermodynamic variables (e.g., *θ*, *r _{υ}*, Π) are computed at the same locations as

*υ*. Dots show where the grid pattern repeats.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Axisymmetric model grid structure. The solid black rectangle marks the boundaries of the domain. The components *u*, *υ*, and *w* of the velocity are computed at the labeled grid points. All thermodynamic variables (e.g., *θ*, *r _{υ}*, Π) are computed at the same locations as

*υ*. Dots show where the grid pattern repeats.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Axisymmetric model grid structure. The solid black rectangle marks the boundaries of the domain. The components *u*, *υ*, and *w* of the velocity are computed at the labeled grid points. All thermodynamic variables (e.g., *θ*, *r _{υ}*, Π) are computed at the same locations as

*υ*. Dots show where the grid pattern repeats.

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

*υ*points, it is desirable for our APE density to be defined at

*υ*points. We also impose the requirement that our discretized APE density satisfies an analog of

*bw*for the conversion of APE to kinetic energy, which is crucial for our understanding of the link between the APE budget and TC intensification. We ignore for the moment the possibility of discontinuities in

*z*.

_{r}Using the initial model vertical profile as our reference state, we interpolate *υ* and *w* levels. Each parcel’s buoyancy equation, Eq. (4), is computed at every level of the reference profile *θ _{ei}* and

*r*are conserved. Any levels of neutral buoyancy are identified by linear interpolation of the buoyancy between profile points. The nearest LNB in the direction of in situ buoyancy is identified as the reference height

_{t}*z*.

_{r}*υ*point (

*i*,

*j*,

*t*), we assume that

*z*>

_{r}*z*(an analogous construction applies for

*z*<

_{r}*z*). If

*z*lies between the vertical

_{r}*υ*levels

*n*and

*n*+ 1, then we define the parcel’s APE density as

*z*is the model’s vertical grid spacing. This definition of the APE density obeys

*b*on

*w*levels as used in the discretized vertical momentum equation. An illustration of the computation of discretized APE density is shown in Fig. A2.

Schematic of method for computing APE density for a parcel at vertical *υ* level *j* with *z _{r}* >

*z*. Blue lines indicate vertical

*υ*grid levels, which are spaced Δ

*z*apart. The solid blue line labeled

*z*shows the parcel’s initial position. Orange dashed lines mark vertical levels on the

*w*grid, which occur midway between

*υ*levels. The green line labeled

*z*is the parcel’s reference height (chosen arbitrarily for the purposes of the demonstration). The shaded orange boxes show each term contributing to the sum (A2), and are labeled with the term’s value (box widths are not proportional to value).

_{r}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Schematic of method for computing APE density for a parcel at vertical *υ* level *j* with *z _{r}* >

*z*. Blue lines indicate vertical

*υ*grid levels, which are spaced Δ

*z*apart. The solid blue line labeled

*z*shows the parcel’s initial position. Orange dashed lines mark vertical levels on the

*w*grid, which occur midway between

*υ*levels. The green line labeled

*z*is the parcel’s reference height (chosen arbitrarily for the purposes of the demonstration). The shaded orange boxes show each term contributing to the sum (A2), and are labeled with the term’s value (box widths are not proportional to value).

_{r}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Schematic of method for computing APE density for a parcel at vertical *υ* level *j* with *z _{r}* >

*z*. Blue lines indicate vertical

*υ*grid levels, which are spaced Δ

*z*apart. The solid blue line labeled

*z*shows the parcel’s initial position. Orange dashed lines mark vertical levels on the

*w*grid, which occur midway between

*υ*levels. The green line labeled

*z*is the parcel’s reference height (chosen arbitrarily for the purposes of the demonstration). The shaded orange boxes show each term contributing to the sum (A2), and are labeled with the term’s value (box widths are not proportional to value).

_{r}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Unlike the continuous version of APE density defined in Eq. (22), which is positive definite, it is possible for the discretized APE density to be negative if

*z*>

_{r}*z*. All that remains to be done to obtain the efficiencies is to find expressions for

*r*. The problem may be split into three cases: where the parcel is unsaturated (

_{l}*r*=

_{l}*r*= 0,

_{i}*dr*=

_{t}*dr*), where the parcel is saturated but no freezing has occurred (

_{υ}*r*= 0,

_{i}*dr*=

_{t}*dr*+

_{l}*dr*), and where the parcel has undergone freezing (

_{υs}*dr*=

_{t}*dr*+

_{i}*dr*). We assume for simplicity that if

_{υs}*T*< 0°C, all liquid freezes to ice. This will overestimate the occurrence of freezing, since in reality some liquid water would continue to exist down to about −40°C.

The use of these expressions in Eqs. (A6) and (A7) allows the computation of our discretized APE efficiencies. Although the forms found in this appendix look very different to the exact theoretical forms of the efficiencies found in Eqs. (24) and (25), when used in practice the results are similar.

## APPENDIX B

### Closure of APE Budget

Figure B1 shows the accuracy of the APE budget integrated over the inner region (*r* < 300 km), which was used to generate Fig. 8.

Accuracy of the APE budget integrated over the inner 300 km of the domain. The solid black line shows the diagnosed

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Accuracy of the APE budget integrated over the inner 300 km of the domain. The solid black line shows the diagnosed

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Accuracy of the APE budget integrated over the inner 300 km of the domain. The solid black line shows the diagnosed

Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

The closure of the budget after 150 h, when there are no discontinuities in *e _{a}*, is of particular interest. The budget uses a conditional residual to diagnose the contribution by discontinuities, which could lead to an artificially good closure. However, the budget captures the variation in

The budget of diabatic APE production in the inflow region can also be verified; this was presented in Fig. 11. The black solid line in Fig. B2 is the value of *θ _{ei}* and hence

*θ*. Figure B2 demonstrates that the production calculated by the two methods is similar; the APE budget provides an overestimate of production toward the end of the model run, but the overall trend is consistent with the APE production by surface fluxes increasing until it dominates over the loss due to mixing. The discrepancies are due to the use of

_{ei}*Dr*/

_{t}*Dt*.

Accuracy of diabatic APE production budget integrated over inflow region. The solid black line is the production computed using the model-diagnosed Lagrangian derivatives of *θ _{ei}* and

*r*. The orange dashed line is the diabatic production computed as part of the APE budget.

_{t}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Accuracy of diabatic APE production budget integrated over inflow region. The solid black line is the production computed using the model-diagnosed Lagrangian derivatives of *θ _{ei}* and

*r*. The orange dashed line is the diabatic production computed as part of the APE budget.

_{t}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Accuracy of diabatic APE production budget integrated over inflow region. The solid black line is the production computed using the model-diagnosed Lagrangian derivatives of *θ _{ei}* and

*r*. The orange dashed line is the diabatic production computed as part of the APE budget.

_{t}Citation: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 79, 10; 10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

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