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Reduced Probability of 2020 June–July Persistent Heavy Mei-yu Rainfall Event in the Middle to Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin under Anthropogenic Forcing

Haosu TangState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China/University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;

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Ziyue WangKey Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environmental Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China;

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Bin TangState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China/University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;

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Yayu MaHubei Subsurface Multi-scale Imaging Key Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics and Geomatics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China;

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Lin PeiInstitute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China;

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Fangxing TianNational Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom;

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Jun WangKey Laboratory of Regional Climate–Environment for Temperate East Asia (RCE-TEA), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;

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Nergui NandingGuangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China;

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Sarah SparrowOxford e-Research Centre, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, United Kingdom;

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Simon F. B. TettSchool of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom;

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Buwen DongNational Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom;

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Fraser C. LottMet Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom

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Open access

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Bin Tang, tangbin@mail.iap.ac.cn

Authors H. Tang and Z. Wang contributed equally to this work and should be considered co-first authors.

A supplement to this article is available online (10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0167.2)

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Bin Tang, tangbin@mail.iap.ac.cn

Authors H. Tang and Z. Wang contributed equally to this work and should be considered co-first authors.

A supplement to this article is available online (10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0167.2)

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