African Climate Change: Taking the Shorter Route

Richard Washington
Search for other papers by Richard Washington in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Mike Harrison
Search for other papers by Mike Harrison in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Declan Conway
Search for other papers by Declan Conway in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Emily Black
Search for other papers by Emily Black in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Andrew Challinor
Search for other papers by Andrew Challinor in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
David Grimes
Search for other papers by David Grimes in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Richard Jones
Search for other papers by Richard Jones in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Andy Morse
Search for other papers by Andy Morse in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Gillian Kay
Search for other papers by Gillian Kay in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Martin Todd
Search for other papers by Martin Todd in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Full access

Numerous factors are associated with poverty and underdevelopment in Africa, including climate variability. Rainfall, and climate more generally, are implicated directly in the United Nations “Millennium Development Goals” to eradicate extreme poverty and hunger, and reduce child mortality and incidence of diseases such as malaria by the target date of 2015. But, Africa is not currently on target to meet these goals. We pose a number of questions from a climate science perspective aimed at understanding this background: Is there a common origin to factors that currently constrain climate science? Why is it that in a continent where human activity is so closely linked to interannual rainfall variability has climate science received little of the benefit that saw commercialization driving meteorology in the developed world? What might be suggested as an effective way for the continent to approach future climate variability and change? We make the case that a route to addressing the challenges of climate change in Africa rests with the improved management of climate variability. We start by discussing the constraints on climate science and how they might be overcome. We explain why the optimal management of activities directly influenced by interannual climate variability (which include the development of scientific capacity) has the potential to serve as a forerunner to engagement in the wider issue of climate change. We show this both from the perspective of the climate system and the institutions that engage with climate issues. We end with a thought experiment that tests the benefits of linking climate variability and climate change in the setting of smallholder farmers in Limpopo Province, South Africa.

Climate Research Laboratory Oxford University Centre for the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom

Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

School of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom

Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Hadley Centre Office, Bracknell, Berkshire, United Kingdom

Department of Geography, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom

Department of Geography, University of College London, London, United Kingdom

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Dr. Richard Washington, Climate Research Lab, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, South Parks Road, Oxford OXI 3QY, United Kingdom, E-mail: richard.washington@ouce.ox.ac.uk

Numerous factors are associated with poverty and underdevelopment in Africa, including climate variability. Rainfall, and climate more generally, are implicated directly in the United Nations “Millennium Development Goals” to eradicate extreme poverty and hunger, and reduce child mortality and incidence of diseases such as malaria by the target date of 2015. But, Africa is not currently on target to meet these goals. We pose a number of questions from a climate science perspective aimed at understanding this background: Is there a common origin to factors that currently constrain climate science? Why is it that in a continent where human activity is so closely linked to interannual rainfall variability has climate science received little of the benefit that saw commercialization driving meteorology in the developed world? What might be suggested as an effective way for the continent to approach future climate variability and change? We make the case that a route to addressing the challenges of climate change in Africa rests with the improved management of climate variability. We start by discussing the constraints on climate science and how they might be overcome. We explain why the optimal management of activities directly influenced by interannual climate variability (which include the development of scientific capacity) has the potential to serve as a forerunner to engagement in the wider issue of climate change. We show this both from the perspective of the climate system and the institutions that engage with climate issues. We end with a thought experiment that tests the benefits of linking climate variability and climate change in the setting of smallholder farmers in Limpopo Province, South Africa.

Climate Research Laboratory Oxford University Centre for the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom

Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

School of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom

Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Hadley Centre Office, Bracknell, Berkshire, United Kingdom

Department of Geography, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom

Department of Geography, University of College London, London, United Kingdom

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Dr. Richard Washington, Climate Research Lab, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, South Parks Road, Oxford OXI 3QY, United Kingdom, E-mail: richard.washington@ouce.ox.ac.uk
Save