The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble

Philippe Bougeault
Search for other papers by Philippe Bougeault in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Zoltan Toth
Search for other papers by Zoltan Toth in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Craig Bishop
Search for other papers by Craig Bishop in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Barbara Brown
Search for other papers by Barbara Brown in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
David Burridge
Search for other papers by David Burridge in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
De Hui Chen
Search for other papers by De Hui Chen in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Beth Ebert
Search for other papers by Beth Ebert in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Manuel Fuentes
Search for other papers by Manuel Fuentes in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Thomas M. Hamill
Search for other papers by Thomas M. Hamill in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Ken Mylne
Search for other papers by Ken Mylne in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Jean Nicolau
Search for other papers by Jean Nicolau in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Tiziana Paccagnella
Search for other papers by Tiziana Paccagnella in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Young-Youn Park
Search for other papers by Young-Youn Park in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
David Parsons
Search for other papers by David Parsons in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Baudouin Raoult
Search for other papers by Baudouin Raoult in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Doug Schuster
Search for other papers by Doug Schuster in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Pedro Silva Dias
Search for other papers by Pedro Silva Dias in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Richard Swinbank
Search for other papers by Richard Swinbank in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Yoshiaki Takeuchi
Search for other papers by Yoshiaki Takeuchi in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Warren Tennant
Search for other papers by Warren Tennant in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Laurence Wilson
Search for other papers by Laurence Wilson in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Steve Worley
Search for other papers by Steve Worley in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Full access

We are aware of a technical issue preventing figures and tables from showing in some newly published articles in the full-text HTML view.
While we are resolving the problem, please use the online PDF version of these articles to view figures and tables.

Ensemble forecasting is increasingly accepted as a powerful tool to improve early warnings for high-impact weather. Recently, ensembles combining forecasts from different systems have attracted a considerable level of interest. The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Globa l Ensemble (TIGGE) project, a prominent contribution to THORPEX, has been initiated to enable advanced research and demonstration of the multimodel ensemble concept and to pave the way toward operational implementation of such a system at the international level. The objectives of TIGGE are 1) to facilitate closer cooperation between the academic and operational meteorological communities by expanding the availability of operational products for research, and 2) to facilitate exploring the concept and benefits of multimodel probabilistic weather forecasts, with a particular focus on high-impact weather prediction. Ten operational weather forecasting centers producing daily global ensemble forecasts to 1–2 weeks ahead have agreed to deliver in near–real time a selection of forecast data to the TIGGE data archives at the China Meteorological Agency, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research. The volume of data accumulated daily is 245 GB (1.6 million global fields). This is offered to the scientific community as a new resource for research and education. The TIGGE data policy is to make each forecast accessible via the Internet 48 h after it was initially issued by each originating center. Quicker access can also be granted for field experiments or projects of particular interest to the World Weather Research Programme and THORPEX. A few examples of initial results based on TIGGE data are discussed in this paper, and the case is made for additional research in several directions.

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom

National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, Maryland

Navy Research Laboratory, Monterey, California

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado

Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

Météo-France, Toulouse, France

Agenzia Regionale Prevenzione e Ambiante dell'Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy

Korean Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea

National Laboratory of Scientific Computing, and University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

Meteorological Service of Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Philippe Bougeault, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, E-mail: philippe.bougeault@meteo.fr

Ensemble forecasting is increasingly accepted as a powerful tool to improve early warnings for high-impact weather. Recently, ensembles combining forecasts from different systems have attracted a considerable level of interest. The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Globa l Ensemble (TIGGE) project, a prominent contribution to THORPEX, has been initiated to enable advanced research and demonstration of the multimodel ensemble concept and to pave the way toward operational implementation of such a system at the international level. The objectives of TIGGE are 1) to facilitate closer cooperation between the academic and operational meteorological communities by expanding the availability of operational products for research, and 2) to facilitate exploring the concept and benefits of multimodel probabilistic weather forecasts, with a particular focus on high-impact weather prediction. Ten operational weather forecasting centers producing daily global ensemble forecasts to 1–2 weeks ahead have agreed to deliver in near–real time a selection of forecast data to the TIGGE data archives at the China Meteorological Agency, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research. The volume of data accumulated daily is 245 GB (1.6 million global fields). This is offered to the scientific community as a new resource for research and education. The TIGGE data policy is to make each forecast accessible via the Internet 48 h after it was initially issued by each originating center. Quicker access can also be granted for field experiments or projects of particular interest to the World Weather Research Programme and THORPEX. A few examples of initial results based on TIGGE data are discussed in this paper, and the case is made for additional research in several directions.

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom

National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, Maryland

Navy Research Laboratory, Monterey, California

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado

Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

Météo-France, Toulouse, France

Agenzia Regionale Prevenzione e Ambiante dell'Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy

Korean Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea

National Laboratory of Scientific Computing, and University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

Meteorological Service of Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Philippe Bougeault, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, E-mail: philippe.bougeault@meteo.fr
Save