Abstract
The evolution of oceanic and atmospheric anomaly fields for the period prior to and during the 1986–87 El Niño/Southem Oscillation (ENSO) is presented. A comparison is made between the 1986–87 ENSO and other warm episodes that occurred during the last 20 yr. In addition, for the first time, an ocean general circulation model was run in a real-time diagnostic mode. The model output provided detailed information about the evolution of subsurface features throughout the Pacific basin.
A slow trend towards warm episode (ENSO) conditions in the Pacific was evident throughout the period 1985–86 in certain atmospheric and oceanic variables. Atmospheric and oceanic fields changed much more rapidly during late 1986 as enhanced atmospheric convection developed in the equatorial Pacific near the date line. Thermocline depths rapidly increased (decreased) in the eastern (western) equatorial Pacific as low-level westerlies developed in the western portion of the basin. A remote response to those westerlies was felt along the west coast of South America in early 1987 as sea surface temperatures (SSTs) increased 3°–5°C above normal. Conditions remained anomalous in the tropical Pacific throughout 1987, but began a rapid return towards normal late in the year as low-level easterlies increased in strength. By the northern spring 1988, below normal SSTs were observed throughout the equatorial Pacific east of the date line.
