Combining Predictive Schemes in Long-Range Forecasting

Klaus Fraedrich Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia

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Neville R. Smith Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia

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Abstract

The linear combination of two statistical forecast schemes of a single observable provides, in the average, a more accurate prediction than the individual forecasts alone. This method is applied to long-range forecasting of the monthly mean tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures.

Abstract

The linear combination of two statistical forecast schemes of a single observable provides, in the average, a more accurate prediction than the individual forecasts alone. This method is applied to long-range forecasting of the monthly mean tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures.

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