This work was supported in part by NSF Award 0450221 and by the World Bank’s Trust Fund for Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development. Computational resources were provided by Information Technology at Purdue (the Rosen Center for Advanced Computing, West Lafayette, Indiana). We thank the CCSM Climate Change Working group for making the CCSM3 simulations available at NCAR. NCEP reanalysis data were provided by the NOAA/ OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, from their Web site at http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/.
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