Preliminary Results of a Statistical Long–Range Forecasting Attempt

Eberhard W. Wahl Department of Meteorology and Institute for Environmental Studies, The University of Wisconsin, Madison 53706

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Abstract

By statistical methods an attempt was made to obtain long-range predictions of large-scale circulation parameters for the Northern Hemisphere. Using lag relationships going back in time up to 50 months and attempting to predict coefficients of monthly sea level pressure eigenvectors, statistically significant results could be obtained in a set of independent data.

Abstract

By statistical methods an attempt was made to obtain long-range predictions of large-scale circulation parameters for the Northern Hemisphere. Using lag relationships going back in time up to 50 months and attempting to predict coefficients of monthly sea level pressure eigenvectors, statistically significant results could be obtained in a set of independent data.

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