Abstract
Fluctuations in the Australian summer monsoon over the period 1952–82 are described. The basis of the study is an objective definition of the major summer monsoon components based on the low-level zonal winds at Darwin; this is shown to be in good agreement with other large-scale indicators. Statistics are presented and discussed for the interannual variation in summer monsoon onset, extent, active and break conditions, circulation strength, and vertical structure.
Some relationships with the Southern Oscillation are also described. These indicate that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is highly correlated with the intensity and degree of convergence in the low-level monsoonal shear zone, and with the mean daily rainfall rate over northern Australia. There is also a significant correlation between the summer monsoon onset date and the SOI in the following spring, which has implications for El Niño teleconnections.
