The author wishes to thank François Lalaurette at ECMWF for suggesting the median precipitation as an alternative to the ensemble mean. Helpful comments and suggestions from the two anonymous reviewers and from Frank Woodcock, Bill Bourke, and Kamal Puri at the Bureau of Meteorology resulted in an improved manuscript. Roberto Buizza kindly provided the ECMWF EPS rainfall forecasts for Australia. Provision by ECMWF and DWD of their NWP model results via FTP is gratefully acknowledged.
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