1. Introduction
A number of studies have shown that poleward horizontal water vapor transport from the tropics to midlatitudes is mostly achieved through a narrow corridor of less than ~1000-km width and larger than ~2000-km length (e.g., Zhu and Newell 1994; Ralph et al. 2004, 2005; Bao et al. 2006). This form of water vapor transport, known as an atmospheric river (AR), is commonly found in the warm sector of extratropical cyclones and collocated with the pre-cold-frontal low-level jet (LLJ; e.g., Ralph et al. 2005). The west coast of the United States often experiences the landfall of these extratropical cyclones and concomitant ARs during wintertime. These storms can produce copious amounts of precipitation with a spatial distribution that is modulated by mountains (e.g., Colle et al. 2008; Hughes et al. 2009). Modulation of the background synoptic precipitation pattern due to the presence of mountains is known as orographic precipitation (e.g., Colle et al. 2013).
West Coast terrain, particularly along Northern California, is characterized by mountain peaks of ~500–1000 m MSL and steep slopes immediately adjacent to the coastline. When moist, statically neutral airflow impacts these slopes, air is generally lifted and cooled, which produces condensate and, after a finite time, precipitation-sized hydrometeors. This upslope flow mechanism is a relatively simple conceptual model that can explain a significant fraction of orographic rainfall over the midlatitudes (e.g., Roe 2005; Houze 2012). However, mountains can produce their own mesoscale circulations. One example is the presence of a terrain-trapped airflow (TTA) on the windward side of orographic barriers. According to Valenzuela and Kingsmill (2015, henceforth VK15), a TTA is defined as a relatively narrow air mass consistently flowing in close proximity and approximately parallel to an orographic barrier. For example, TTAs flow poleward along the western side of coastal mountain ranges in the western United States. The study of TTAs is relevant because they can disrupt the spatial precipitation pattern normally expected when extratropical cyclones approach and make landfall over coastal terrain, potentially diminishing the forecast accuracy of flooding events that are accompanied by significant societal impacts.
Two commonly observed forcing mechanisms associated with TTAs are low-level blocking and gap flows (e.g., Smith 1979; Neiman et al. 2006; VK15). In the former, a stably stratified atmosphere facilitates the abutting of air parcels on the windward side of mountain barriers, which then turn to the left (right) in the Northern (Southern) Hemisphere as they decelerate and the along-barrier pressure gradient increases. For gap flows, a cold continental air mass exits through a mountain depression (i.e., gap) forced by an along-gap pressure gradient.
TTA impacts on orographic precipitation have been studied in association with several large-scale mountain ranges (e.g., altitudes above ~1000 m MSL) such as the European Alps (e.g., Medina et al. 2005), the Southern Alps of New Zealand (e.g., Sinclair et al. 1997), the mountainous areas of Taiwan (e.g., Yu and Hsieh 2009), Colorado’s Rocky Mountains (e.g., Peterson et al. 1991), and California’s Sierra Nevada (e.g., Kingsmill et al. 2013). In contrast, TTA impacts associated with small-scale mountain ranges (e.g., altitudes below ~1000 m MSL) have received much less attention. One of these relatively rare studies (Neiman et al. 2002) used wind profiler and rain gauge data along the coastal mountains of California to describe the relationship between upslope wind speed and orographic precipitation. By studying six West Coast winter storms, they found that the presence of a TTA decreased the average mountain-to-coast rainfall ratio from 5.06 to 1.26 and hypothesized that this occurred as a result of upstream lifting of the prefrontal LLJ offshore by the TTA. VK15 was another study that addressed this problem by examining ground-based scanning Doppler radar observations along and offshore of the Northern California coastal mountains during a significant landfalling winter storm to detail the three-dimensional kinematic and precipitation structure associated with a TTA. The structures presented in their study showed that the TTA was responsible for upstream lifting of an LLJ. Furthermore, VK15 documented a precipitation enhancement zone roughly 30 km offshore and nearly parallel to the coast associated with TTA lifting of the LLJ. Both of these observations support the hypothesis offered by Neiman et al. (2002).
Although Neiman et al. (2002) and VK15 used case studies to provide some insights about the kinematic characteristics and effects of TTAs on orographic rainfall, an objective method of identifying TTA events was not developed. The former study simply relied on the average coastal terrain orientation to determine the wind direction associated with TTAs, whereas the latter considered both terrain orientation and a strong vertical shear of horizontal winds in the lowest 0.5 km MSL. The Northern California coastal terrain associated with these studies has a mean orientation of ~320°–140°, meaning that poleward-directed terrain-parallel airflow (i.e., a TTA) in this area would be characterized by a wind direction of ~140°. This wind direction would appear to be a good estimate of the threshold required to identify TTA regimes. However, no detailed evaluations of this or any other objective TTA identification scheme have been reported, a shortcoming that this investigation addresses with a long-term, 13-season dataset. This study is unique because it explores an objective method of identifying TTAs and documents the effects of TTAs on orographic rainfall using a statistically significant dataset. We hypothesize that TTAs are associated with wind directions less than or equal to 140° (i.e., from the southeast) in the lowest 500 m (average local topography altitude) and their presence reduces the mountain-to-coast rainfall ratio to near 1.
Section 2 describes the observing systems and data processing techniques employed in the analysis. A statistical characterization of low-level winds is described in section 3, while the objective identification of TTAs and documentation of their impacts on orographic rainfall is provided in section 4. Finally, section 5 presents a summary and conclusions. In the forthcoming continuation of this study (R. A. Valenzuela and D. E. Kingsmill 2017, unpublished manuscript, hereinafter Part II), the objective TTA identification method is applied to seven cases observed in detail with a ground-based X-band scanning Doppler radar to compare kinematic and precipitation structures associated with TTA and NO-TTA regimes.
2. Observing systems and data processing
Observations employed in this study were collected along the Northern California coast as part of the California Land-Falling Jets (CALJET), Pacific Land-Falling Jets (PACJET), and Hydrometeorology Testbed experiments (Ralph et al. 2013) operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Earth System Research Laboratory (NOAA/ESRL). Locations of key observing systems are shown in Fig. 1, while dates and number of hours included from each season are presented in Table 1.
Date and time (UTC) ranges for each of the 13 winter seasons included in the analysis. Number of hours when nonmissing rain gauge (CZD and BBY) and surface and wind profiler (BBY) observations were available simultaneously is indicated. The last column shows the number of hours for a subset of this group when hourly rain accumulation at CZD was ≥0.25 mm.
The main observational asset is a 915-MHz wind profiling radar (Ecklund et al. 1988) located along the coast at Bodega Bay (BBY; 15 m MSL), which provided hourly vertical profiles of horizontal winds. Each profile was processed with the continuity method of Weber et al. (1993) that checks consistency in the dataset over time and height. Since wind profiler gate spacing and first-gate altitude vary slightly between seasons, each profile was interpolated onto a common 40-gate grid having 92-m vertical spacing with the first gate at 160 m MSL. In addition, 2′ resolution measurements of surface winds and rain accumulation were available at BBY and in the coastal mountains at Cazadero (CZD; 478 m MSL). After quality control, hourly mean winds (speed and direction) and hourly rain accumulations were derived from the native resolution observations at both sites. Hours with missing surface (BBY and CZD) or wind profiler (BBY) data were discarded, ensuring the presence of simultaneous observations.
3. Statistical characteristics of low-level winds
The impacts of LLJs and ARs on coastal orographic precipitation are normally concentrated below 3000 m MSL (e.g., Neiman et al. 2002; Ralph et al. 2004, 2005). Thus, the overall joint distribution of the wind speed and direction is now examined at selected vertical levels up to ~3000 m MSL (Fig. 2). There is a bimodal distribution at the surface (Fig. 2a), where one of the modes is associated with northwesterly flow and maximum wind speeds of 15 m s−1 while the other mode is associated with easterly flow and maximum wind speeds of 9 m s−1. At 160 m and 344 m MSL the wind distributions are unimodal (Figs. 2b,c), with northwesterly winds having maximum speeds of ~21 m s−1. The dominant mode is still associated with northwesterly winds at 528 m MSL (Fig. 2d), but the distribution is wider, a trend that continues upward toward 2001 m MSL where the distribution becomes multimodal (Figs. 2e–j). At 2553 and 3014 m MSL the dominant mode of the wind directions is west-southwesterly (Figs. 2k,l), with maximum wind speeds up to 27 m s−1.
Since this study is focused on orographic rainfall, the joint distribution of winds is now examined for the subset of data when hourly rain accumulations at CZD met or exceeded 0.25 mm (Table 1), the tipping-bucket gauge resolution. Wind speeds are generally higher during rainy hours compared to the overall dataset (Fig. 3). There is still a bimodal distribution of wind directions at the surface (Fig. 3a), with one of the modes associated with easterly flow. However, the other mode is now characterized by southeasterly winds. The wind distributions at 160m and 344 m MSL are still unimodal (Figs. 3b,c), with south-southeasterly winds having maximum speeds of ~24 m s−1. From 528 m MSL upward (Figs. 3d–l), wind distributions become progressively wider and show multimodal characteristics. However, the dominant modal wind direction exhibits a shift from south-southeasterly to southwesterly in rising through this layer. In addition, the frequency of winds above 24 m s−1 increases from 1541 m MSL upward.
The results for the overall dataset indicate a dominance of westerly component winds, which suggests synoptic-scale forcing associated with midlatitude westerlies. In contrast, the subset of rainy hours is dominated by southerly component winds characterized by larger magnitudes, a pattern shift likely associated with approaching cyclonic and cold-frontal systems (Ralph et al. 2004; James and Houze 2005; Neiman et al. 2008).
The previous analysis highlights the modal wind distributions at discrete vertical levels. Now, to provide a more vertically continuous perspective, profiles of BBY mean wind speed and direction from the surface up to 3000 m MSL are shown in Fig. 4. The overall dataset displays monotonically increasing mean wind speed from ~4 m s−1 at the surface to ~14 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL, with speeds increasing sharply in the lowest ~250 m MSL (Fig. 4a). Corresponding angular mean wind directions (Weber 1991) indicate backing from 300° at the surface to 240° at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 4b). The wind speed interquartile range is about 4 m s−1 near the surface and 8 m s−1 from ~250 m MSL upward. The angular interquartile range indicates a near-surface variation of roughly 180° that decreases aloft to about 70°. There is a loss of good gates with altitude, especially above 1000 m MSL (Fig. 4c).
The mean wind speed profile for rainy hours shows winds of ~6 m s−1 at the surface increasing to ~17 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 4d). Corresponding mean wind directions veer from ~170° at the surface to ~230° at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 4e). The wind speed interquartile range is about 4 m s−1 near the surface and about 7 m s−1 through the rest of the profile except for a slightly larger variation between 250 and 1250 m MSL. The angular interquartile range indicates a near-surface variation of roughly 100° decreasing aloft to about 50°. The rainy subset has less loss of good gates with altitude relative to the overall dataset, with more than 90% of the good gates below 2000 m MSL (Fig. 4f).
Compared with the overall dataset, the rainy wind speed profile exhibits higher wind speeds and a slightly larger variation, whereas the wind direction profile reveals veering instead of backing and a significantly smaller variation. Stronger mean wind speed in the rainy hour profile is linked with the environment associated with the approaching cyclonic and cold-frontal systems (Ralph et al. 2004; James and Houze 2005; Neiman et al. 2008). Similarly, veering winds with altitude during rainy hours suggest warm-air advection associated with the warm sector of landfalling extratropical cyclones. The larger fraction of good gates in the rainy profile is produced by an enhanced sensitivity of the wind profiler to hydrometeors at 915 MHz (e.g., Ecklund et al. 1988).
Profiles of the zonal- and meridional-component airflow provide a different but informative perspective about wind characteristics at and above BBY (Fig. 5). The mean zonal-component (U) profile for the overall dataset exhibits only positive mean velocities, with values of ~1 m s−1 from the surface to 900 m MSL that increase monotonically upward to 8 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 5a). The zonal-component interquartile range increases from about 5 m s−1 in the lowest 1500 m MSL to about 10 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL. The mean meridional-component (V) profile shows velocities of ~0 m s−1 below 1500 m MSL that monotonically increase upward to 4 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 5b). The meridional-component interquartile range increases from the surface to 3000 m MSL and exhibits a larger magnitude relative to the zonal component. The larger interquartile range of the meridional component might be linked to meridional perturbations associated with the passage of synoptic systems and their attendant cyclonic circulations.
Relative to the overall dataset, mean zonal-component wind speeds in the rainy-hour subset are smaller (larger) below (above) ~500 m MSL (Fig. 5c). The corresponding interquartile range is nearly constant with altitude and, unlike the overall dataset, indicates the presence of an easterly wind maximum of −5 m s−1 below 500 m MSL. Meridional-component winds are significantly different relative to the overall dataset, with a dominance of southerly winds through the entire profile, most likely associated with the prefrontal environment of baroclinic wave passages (Fig. 5d). Mean meridional-component wind speeds increase sharply from ~3 to 8 m s−1 in the lowest 500 m MSL. Above this level, the mean values exhibit small fluctuations around 8 m s−1 up to 2500 m MSL and then increase slightly to 9 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL. The meridional-component interquartile range is relatively small near the surface but increases dramatically above ~200 m MSL, from where it holds relatively constant with altitude.
One striking feature of the rainy subset relative to the overall dataset is the large vertical gradient of the zonal- and meridional-component winds in the lowest 500 m MSL. These structures are examined in greater detail with profiles of vertical wind shear. In the overall dataset, zonal- and meridional-component shear profiles (Figs. 6a,b) indicate mostly positive mean values with maxima of 4 × 10−3 s−1 and a homogenous variation along the profile except for the first level. Both shear components contribute almost equally to the resulting mean vector magnitude (Fig. 6c). Note that the mean values significantly depart from the medians because of the presence of extreme values (e.g., values larger than the 95th percentile). During rainy hours, the zonal-component mean vertical shear features a maximum of ~9 × 10−3 s−1 at 500 m MSL, with means around 2 × 10−3 s−1 near the surface and above 1000 m MSL (Fig. 6d). The meridional-component mean vertical shear (Fig. 6e) features sharply decreasing values from near the surface (~17 × 10−3 s−1) to ~500 m MSL and above (closer to 0 s−1). Variability increases most notably below 500 m MSL in both components. The contributions of both components result in a mean vertical wind shear vector magnitude profile with relatively large values in the lowest 500 m MSL (maximum of 29 × 10−3 s−1; Fig. 6f). The mean shear vector values are closer to the medians, indicating less frequency of extreme values.
In summary, these results suggest that winds in the rainy environment have characteristics that are distinctly different from those in the overall dataset. For example, the rainy subset is characterized by a generally southerly airflow having larger wind speeds and smaller variations in wind direction—attributes that are probably related to the predominantly meridional orientation of baroclinic wave passages. In addition, there are some wind characteristics that appear to be linked with the lowest 500 m MSL, which is approximately the same depth as the nearby coastal terrain. These characteristics include enhanced vertical wind shear (as in VK15) and conspicuous southeasterly winds [as in the blocked cases from Neiman et al. (2002)] with an easterly maximum in the zonal component wind profile, features that have a connection to TTAs along the coast of Northern California.
4. Terrain-trapped airflows
a. Objective identification
A fundamental aspect of TTAs as defined in VK15 and this study is that they are directed approximately parallel to the dominant terrain feature in their immediate vicinity. As a result, this is a reasonable criterion upon which to base an objective identification of TTAs. The coastline and coastal terrain near BBY and CZD has an average orientation of 320°–140° (Fig. 1), a characterization that has been assumed in numerous studies (e.g., Neiman et al. 2002, 2009; Kingsmill et al. 2016). Thus, as an initial estimate, TTAs along the southwest slopes of coastal terrain in this study should be associated with wind directions of about 140°. The highest peaks and ridgeline of this terrain have an average altitude of approximately 500 m MSL. With this in mind, it is asserted that mean wind direction in the lowest 500 m MSL (
Zonal and meridional wind components are derived for the TTA and NO-TTA subsets. Since this study is focused on the linkage between TTAs and orographic rainfall, the analysis is applied to hours when the rain accumulation at CZD is ≥0.25 mm. The mean zonal-component profile for the TTA regime shows easterly winds below ~1400 m MSL and westerly winds above this altitude (Fig. 7a). In addition, there is an easterly wind maximum with absolute velocity of ~8 m s−1 residing below 500 m MSL and centered at ~250 m MSL. The mean meridional-component profile indicates a sharp increase of southerly winds from ~0 to 10 m s−1 between the surface and 1000 m MSL, with small fluctuations of ~10 m s−1 above (Fig. 7b). In contrast, the mean profile associated with the NO-TTA regime is characterized by a mean zonal-component that monotonically increases from ~1 m s−1 at the surface to ~12 m s−1 at 3000 m MSL (Fig. 7c). The corresponding meridional-component profile exhibits a more modest increase of southerly winds with altitude, fluctuating around ~7 m s−1 between ~250 and 3000 m MSL (Fig. 7d). Comparing the interquartile ranges, it is evident that the TTA regime is associated with even stronger easterly winds (~−11 m s−1) and smaller variability below 500 m MSL in the meridional component.
An average time scale for TTA regime occurrences during rainy conditions is derived by examining the distribution of TTA event durations in each season. Each event is defined as one or more continuous hours of TTA conditions (
The objective identification is applied to a storm observed on 16 February 2004, which corresponds to episode 1 in VK15. In this storm, a TTA was documented between 0900 and 1600 UTC, with an LLJ–TTA interface crossing BBY between 1500 and 1600 UTC. Figure 9a indicates that by using
b. Relationship to rainfall
A summary of rainfall statistics for the 13-season rainy subset (Table 2) indicates larger total accumulations at CZD (14 589 mm) compared to BBY (5068 mm), a pattern consistent with orographic enhancement as a result of an upslope forcing mechanism. The resulting mountain-to-coast (CZD/BBY) rainfall ratio is 2.9, the same as that reported by Kingsmill et al. (2016) using a similarly sized dataset but larger than the values of 2.1–2.2 observed by Neiman et al. (2002), White et al. (2003), and Neiman et al. (2009) using significantly smaller datasets. CZD and BBY rainfall accumulations associated with the TTA regime (
Rainfall characteristics at CZD and BBY for the 13-season dataset when hourly rain accumulations at CZD were ≥0.25 mm. In addition to the total, information is partitioned into TTA (
TTA rainfall represents a slightly larger fraction of the coastal rainfall (BBY; 20%) compared to mountain rainfall (CZD; 10%). This finding is consistent with VK15’s observations of precipitation enhancement offshore and along the coast in association with TTA conditions. Consequently, these results show that coastal locations are prone to receive relatively larger rainfall accumulations during TTA regimes compared to mountain sites. Rain rates are slightly larger at CZD (1.4 mm h−1) compared to BBY (1.0 mm h−1) during TTA conditions. However, a much more significant difference is observed during NO-TTA conditions (2.6 and 0.8 mm h−1, respectively).
The partition between TTA (NO TTA) rainfall is consistent with documented decreases (increases) of orographic rainfall enhancement during TTA (NO TTA) periods (e.g., VK15; Neiman et al. 2002). Notwithstanding, the TTA period identified in the 16 February 2004 case misses a portion of time when the TTA structure was documented in VK15. As a result, the relationship between
Figure 10a indicates that rain rates at CZD are maximized for airflows from 180° ± 5°, while they decrease for any other direction. Although more subtle, rain rates at BBY are maximized at 140° ± 5°. The CZD/BBY rainfall ratios are relatively low (~1.5) for
The Gaussian fit for the CZD rain rate indicates that values are maximized for a
c. Sensitivity analysis
Since the relationship between
The sensitivity analysis is further quantified by computing the TTA and NO-TTA rainfall partitions for different thresholds of
Sensitivity analysis of layer depth, duration, and layer-mean wind direction thresholds used to identify TTA conditions. Resulting variations in rain rate (mm h−1) at CZD and BBY, mountain-to-coast (i.e., CZD/BBY) rainfall ratio, and duration (h) of TTA and NO-TTA conditions are indicated.
Sensitivity parameters discussed in Table 3 are now applied to identify TTA periods for the 16 February 2014 storm (Fig. 9a). A
5. Summary and conclusions
This study has developed an objective identification of terrain-trapped airflows (TTAs) along the coast of Northern California and documented their impacts on orographic rainfall with a long-term, 13-season dataset. Observations from a 915-MHz wind profiling radar along the coast at BBY and surface meteorology stations at BBY and in the coastal mountains at CZD were the main sources of data employed in this investigation.
The overall 13-winter-season dataset indicated a high frequency of northwesterly and westerly flows in the lowest ~3000 m MSL; however, winds shifted to a predominantly southerly and southwesterly component after restricting the dataset to those hours when rain accumulation at CZD is ≥0.25 mm. In addition, the rainy subset was associated with stronger wind speeds and wind directions that veer with height, a signature likely related to the presence of warm sectors embedded in extratropical cyclones making landfall over the observing domain. Notably, the rainy-subset winds exhibited enhanced vertical shear and an easterly wind maximum in the lowest 500 m MSL (Figs. 5c,d and 6d–f), which is approximately the same depth as the nearby coastal terrain. Both of these features have a connection to TTAs.
Based on the average orientation and altitude of topography near BBY and CZD, the mean wind direction in the lowest 500 m MSL (
The portion of the rainy subset coupled with TTA conditions produced a CZD/BBY (i.e., mountain to coast) rainfall ratio of 1.4 while the portion coupled with NO-TTA conditions produced a ratio of 3.2. Moreover, it was found that TTA conditions were associated with a relatively large contribution to rainfall at BBY (20%) compared to CZD (10%), which is consistent with the results of VK15. However, utilization of the
A sensitivity analysis using different TTA thresholds for layer-mean wind directions, durations, and layer-mean depths indicated that
This investigation of TTAs was associated with extratropical cyclones migrating eastward and impacting the nearly two-dimensional coastal mountains of Northern California. It is unclear whether the TTA identification approach developed for this locale will be applicable to other geographic settings with potentially different topographic and synoptic-forcing characteristics. Future studies should address this issue.
Part II of this study incorporates the aforementioned TTA identification criteria (i.e.,
Acknowledgments
The authors thank the NOAA/ESRL observing systems team for deploying and operating the instrumentation whose data were employed in this study. We also appreciate the comments of three anonymous reviewers. Timothy Coleman of ESRL processed and quality controlled the wind profiler observations. RV appreciates helpful comments from Pablo Mendoza and Katja Friedrich. RV was partially supported by the Fulbright Program, CONICYT-Chile, and CIRES. This research was sponsored by NSF under Grant AGS-1144271.
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