This research was supported by funding from the 45th Weather Squadron (Grant FA2521-11-P-0152) and by NASA KSC (Grant NNX10AE31G). In particular, the authors sincerely acknowledge the contributions of Dr. Mark DeMaria and Andrea Schumacher of NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, CIRA/CSU, for providing updated (i.e., with the Goerrs adjustment) probability forecasts for the 2004–11 hurricane seasons—without their generous support, this project would not have been possible. The authors thank the helpful comments of reviewers, in particular John Knaff.
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