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Weather and Forecasting (WAF) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.

ISSN: 0002-8156; elSSN: 1520-0434

Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State University

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2.950

2019 Journal Impact Factors in the Meteorology and Atmospheric Science category

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Evaluation of Seasonal Forecasts for the Fire Season in Interior Alaska

Akila Sampath

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0225.1

Published Online:: 15 Jan 2021

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A Revised Bourgouin Precipitation-Type Algorithm

Kevin Birk, Eric Lenning, Kevin Donofrio, and Matt Friedlein

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0118.1

Published Online:: 14 Jan 2021

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WRF model moisture adjustment method; a case study with winter-time cloudy biases in Xinjiang, China.

Guiting Song, Robert Huva, Yu Xing, and Xiaohui Zhong

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0117.1

Published Online:: 13 Jan 2021

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Assimilation of Radial Velocity from Coastal NEXRAD into HWRF for Improved Forecasts of Landfalling Hurricanes

Ying Wang and Zhaoxia Pu

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0163.1

Published Online:: 12 Jan 2021

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Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product

Michael J. Erickson, Benjamin Albright, and James A. Nelson

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0020.1

Published Online:: 11 Jan 2021

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A Summary of GFS Ensemble Integrated Water Vapor Transport Forecasts and Skill Along the U.S. West Coast during Water Years 2017–2020

Jason M. Cordeira and F. Martin Ralph

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0121.1

Published Online:: 07 Jan 2021

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Beyond Strictly Proper Scoring Rules: The Importance of Being Local

Hailiang Du

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0205.1

Published Online:: 05 Jan 2021

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Global within-season yield anomaly prediction for major crops derived using seasonal forecasts of large-scale climate indices and regional temperature and precipitation

Toshichika Iizumi, Yuhei Takaya, Wonsik Kim, Toshiyuki Nakaegawa, and Shuhei Maeda

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0097.1

Published Online:: 31 Dec 2020

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Anticipating Deviant Tornado Motion using a Simple Hodograph Technique

Cameron J. Nixon and John T. Allen

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0056.1

Published Online:: 28 Dec 2020

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Pyrocumulonimbus Firepower Threshold: Assessing the atmospheric potential for pyroCb

K. J. Tory and J. D. Kepert

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0027.1

Published Online:: 18 Dec 2020

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Development and Calibration of Seasonal Probabilistic Forecasts of Ice-free Dates and Freeze-up Dates

Arlan Dirkson, Bertrand Denis, Michael Sigmond, and William J. Merryfield

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0066.1

Published Online:: 15 Dec 2020

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Sub-seasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: Forecast evaluation and sources of predictability

Felipe M. de Andrade, Matthew P. Young, David MacLeod, Linda C. Hirons, Steven J. Woolnough, and Emily Black

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

Published Online:: 15 Dec 2020

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Subseasonal prediction performance for austral summer South American rainfall

Nicholas P. Klingaman, Matthew Young, Amulya Chevuturi, Bruno Guimaraes, Liang Guo, Steven J. Woolnough, Caio A. S. Coelho, Paulo Y. Kubota, and Christopher E. Holloway

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0203.1

Published Online:: 11 Dec 2020

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Improving predictions of surface air temperature anomalies over Japan by Selective Ensemble Mean technique

J. V. Ratnam, Takeshi Doi, Yushi Morioka, Pascal Oettli, Masami Nonaka, and Swadhin K. Behera

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0109.1

Published Online:: 10 Dec 2020

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ARPEGE Cloud Cover Forecast Post-Processing with Convolutional Neural Network

Florian Dupuy, Olivier Mestre, Mathieu Serrurier, Valentin Kivachuk Burdá, Michaël Zamo, Naty Citlali Cabrera-Gutiérrez, Mohamed Chafik Bakkay, Maud-Alix Mader, Guillaume Oller, and Jean-Christophe Jouhaud

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0093.1

Published Online:: 08 Dec 2020

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Evaluating Forecast Performance and Sensitivity to the GSI EnKF Data Assimilation Configuration for the 28 – 29 May 2017 Mesoscale Convective System Case

Jonathan Labriola, Youngsun Jung, Chengsi Liu, and Ming Xue

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0071.1

Published Online:: 04 Dec 2020

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Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts

Gui-Ying Yang, Samantha Ferrett, Steve Woolnough, John Methven, and Chris Holloway

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Published Online:: 04 Dec 2020

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A simulated radar reflectivity calculation method in numerical weather prediction models

Yuxiao Chen, Jing Chen, Dehui Chen, Zhizhen Xu, Jie Sheng, and Fajing Chen

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0030.1

Published Online:: 01 Dec 2020

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Dynamical–Statistical Prediction of Week-2 Severe Weather for the United States

Hui Wang, Arun Kumar, Alima Diawara, David DeWitt, and Jon Gottschalck

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0009.1

Published Online:: 24 Nov 2020

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Severe Convective Windstorms in Europe: Climatology, Preconvective Environments, and Convective Mode

George P. Pacey, David M. Schultz, and Luis Garcia-Carreras

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0075.1

Published Online:: 24 Nov 2020

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Differences Between Severe and Nonsevere Warm-Season, Nocturnal Bow Echo Environments

Ezio L. Mauri and William A. Gallus Jr.

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0137.1

Published Online:: 23 Nov 2020

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Early Detection of Convective Echoes and Their Development Using Ka-band Radar Network

Syo Yoshida, Ryohei Misumi, and Takeshi Maesaka

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0233.1

Published Online:: 23 Nov 2020

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Subseasonal deterministic prediction skill of low-level geopotential height affecting southern Africa

Christien J. Engelbrecht, Steven Phakula, Willem A. Landman, and Francois A. Engelbrecht

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0008.1

Published Online:: 18 Nov 2020

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Classification of Precipitation Type in North China using Model-based Explicit Fields of Hydrometeors with Modified Thermodynamic Conditions

Lu Yang, Mingxuan Chen, Xiaoli Wang, Linye Song, Meilin Yang, Rui Qin, Conglan Cheng, and Siteng Li

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0005.1

Published Online:: 16 Nov 2020

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Subseasonal Forecast of Surface Air Temperature Using Superensemble Approaches: Experiments over Northeast Asia for 2018

Shoupeng Zhu, Xiefei Zhi, Fei Ge, Yi Fan, Ling Zhang, and Jianyun Gao

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0096.1

Published Online:: 13 Nov 2020

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Toward unifying short-term and next-day convection-allowing ensemble forecast systems with a continuously-cycling 3-km ensemble Kalman filter over the entire conterminous United States

Craig S. Schwartz, Glen S. Romine, and David C. Dowell

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0110.1

Published Online:: 09 Nov 2020

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Exploring Convection-Allowing Model Evaluation Strategies for Severe Local Storms using the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Model Core

Burkely T. Gallo, Jamie K. Wolff, Adam J. Clark, Israel Jirak, Lindsay R. Blank, Brett Roberts, Yunheng Wang, Chunxi Zhang, Ming Xue, Tim Supinie, Lucas Harris, Linjiong Zhou, and Curtis Alexander

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0090.1

Published Online:: 06 Nov 2020

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Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Taiwan through 3DVAR-based Radar and Surface Data Assimilation

I-HAN CHEN, JING-SHAN HONG, YA-TING TSAI, and CHIN-TZU FONG

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0037.1

Published Online:: 04 Nov 2020

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Subseasonal prediction with and without a well-represented stratosphere in CESM1

Jadwiga H. Richter, Kathy Pegion, Lantao Sun, Hyemi Kim, Julie M. Caron, Anne Glanville, Emerson LaJoie, Stephen Yeager, Who M. Kim, Ahmed Tawfik, and Dan Collins

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0029.1

Published Online:: 26 Oct 2020

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A deep-learning model for automated detection of intense mid-latitude convection using geostationary satellite images

John L. Cintineo, Michael J. Pavolonis, Justin M. Sieglaff, Anthony Wimmers, Jason Brunner, and Willard Bellon

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0028.1

Published Online:: 22 Oct 2020

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WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part II: Real-Time Applications to Tornado Warning Timescales

Bryan T. Smith, Richard L. Thompson, Douglas A. Speheger, Andrew R. Dean, Christopher D. Karstens, and Alexandra K. Anderson-Frey

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0011.1

Published Online:: 07 Oct 2020

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Updraft-based adaptive assimilation of radial velocity observations in a Warn-on-Forecast system

Christopher A. Kerr, Louis J. Wicker, and Patrick S. Skinner

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0251.1

Published Online:: 29 Sep 2020

Volume 36 (2021): Issue 1 (Jan 2021)

ARTICLES

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AROME-MetCoOp: A Nordic Convective-Scale Operational Weather Prediction Model

Malte Müller, Mariken Homleid, Karl-Ivar Ivarsson, Morten A. Ø. Køltzow, Magnus Lindskog, Knut Helge Midtbø, Ulf Andrae, Trygve Aspelien, Lars Berggren, Dag Bjørge, Per Dahlgren, Jørn Kristiansen, Roger Randriamampianina, Martin Ridal, and Ole Vignes

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-16-0099.1

Published Online:: Apr 2017

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Revision of Convection and Vertical Diffusion Schemes in the NCEP Global Forecast System

Jongil Han and Hua-Lu Pan

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-10-05038.1

Published Online:: Aug 2011

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Track Uncertainty in High-Resolution HWRF Ensemble Forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin

Ghassan J. Alaka Jr., Xuejin Zhang, Sundararaman G. Gopalakrishnan, Zhan Zhang, Frank D. Marks, and Robert Atlas

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0028.1

Published Online:: Dec 2019

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Performance of the New NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System in a Parallel Experiment

Xiaqiong Zhou, Yuejian Zhu, Dingchen Hou, Yan Luo, Jiayi Peng, and Richard Wobus

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-17-0023.1

Published Online:: Oct 2017

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Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction for the City of Venice

Riccardo Mel and Piero Lionello

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-13-00117.1

Published Online:: Aug 2014

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