Weather and Forecasting

NEW ISSUE ALERTS

NEW ARTICLE ALERTS

Weather and Forecasting (WAF) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.

ISSN: 0002-8156; elSSN: 1520-0434

Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State University

View Full Editorial Board

3.025

2020 Journal Impact Factors in the Meteorology and Atmospheric Science category

Weather and Forecasting moves to monthly publication schedule in 2022

AMS Publications is happy to announce that Weather and Forecasting (WAF), now entering its 37th year as one of AMS’s leading journals, will be moving to a monthly publication schedule starting with the January 2022 issue.

Founded in 1986, WAF was published quarterly until moving to a six-issue-per-year bimonthly journal in 1999. Its progress to a monthly publication reflects the growing page count and popularity it enjoys, and is a testament to its enduring value to the research and operational forecasting community.

Restricted access

The relationship between high-presentation asthma days in Melbourne, Australia and modelled thunderstorm environments

Andrew Brown, Andrew Dowdy, and Elizabeth E. Ebert

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0109.1

Published Online:: 20 Jan 2022

Restricted access

Satellite-based nowcasting of West African mesoscale storms has skill at up to four hours lead time

R. R. Burton, A. M. Blyth, Z. Cui, J. Groves, B. L. Lamptey, J. K. Fletcher, J.H. Marsham, D. J. Parker, and A. Roberts

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0051.1

Published Online:: 17 Jan 2022

Open access

Objective and probabilistic long-range forecasts of summertime air temperatures in South Korea based on Gaussian processes

Jinyoung Rhee and Boksoon Myoung

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0148.1

Published Online:: 14 Jan 2022

Restricted access

Testing Vertical Wind Shear and Nonlinear MJO/ENSO Interactions as Predictors for Subseasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Kurt A. Hansen, Sharanya J. Majumdar, Ben P. Kirtman, and Matthew A. Janiga

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0107.1

Published Online:: 05 Jan 2022

Restricted access

An Analysis of the 3 May 2020 Low-Predictability Derecho Using a Convection-Allowing MPAS Ensemble

Bruno Z. Ribeiro, Steven J. Weiss, and Lance F. Bosart

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0092.1

Published Online:: 03 Jan 2022

Restricted access

Exploring the differences in SPC convective outlook interpretation using categorical and numeric information

Makenzie J. Krocak, Joseph T. Ripberger, Sean Ernst, Carol L. Silva, and Hank C. Jenkins-Smith

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0123.1

Published Online:: 30 Dec 2021

Restricted access

Exploring the Usefulness of Downscaling Free Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast System

William J. S. Miller, Corey K. Potvin, Montgomery L. Flora, Burkely T. Gallo, Louis J. Wicker, Thomas A. Jones, Patrick S. Skinner, Brian Matilla, and Kent H. Knopfmeier

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0079.1

Published Online:: 30 Dec 2021

Restricted access

High-resolution NWP forecast precipitation comparison over complex terrain of the Sierras de Córdoba during RELAMPAGO-CACTI.

Gimena Casaretto, Maria Eugenia Dillon, Paola Salio, Yanina García Skabar, Stephen W. Nesbitt, Russ S. Schumacher, Carlos Marcelo García, and Carlos Catalini

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0006.1

Published Online:: 30 Dec 2021

Restricted access

The ability of the ICE-T microphysics scheme in HARMONIE-AROME to predict aircraft icing

Bjørg Jenny Kokkvoll Engdahl, Tim Carlsen, Morten Køltzow, and Trude Storelvmo

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0104.1

Published Online:: 21 Dec 2021

Restricted access

The influence of WSR-88D intra-volume scanning strategies on thunderstorm observations and warnings in the dual-polarization radar era: 2011-2020

Darrel M. Kingfield and Michael M. French

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0127.1

Published Online:: 22 Nov 2021

Open access

Forecast Skill for California Heavy Precipitation Periods from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model and the Coupled Ocean-Atmospheric Mesoscale Prediction System

Kevin J. Dougherty, John D. Horel, and Jason E. Nachamkin

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0182.1

Published Online:: 08 Nov 2021

Open access

Freezing fraction in freezing rain

Kathleen F. Jones

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0085.1

Published Online:: 08 Nov 2021

Restricted access

A Single Column Model Evaluation of Mixing Length Formulations and Constraints for the sa-TKE-EDMF Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization

Edward J. Strobach

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0059.1

Published Online:: 01 Oct 2021

Restricted access

Comparing partial and continuously cycling ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation systems for convection-allowing ensemble forecast initialization

Craig S. Schwartz, Jonathan Poterjoy, Jacob R. Carley, David C. Dowell, Glen S. Romine, and Kayo Ide

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0069.1

Published Online:: 22 Sep 2021

Restricted access

Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week 3-4 Precipitation and 2-Meter Air Temperature Forecasts

Yun Fan, Vladimir Krasnopolsky, Huug van den Dool, Chung-Yu Wu, and Jon Gottschalck

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0014.1

Published Online:: 20 Jan 2021

Volume 37 (2022): Issue 1 (Jan 2022)

ARTICLES

Most cited articles since 1990:

Full access

Revision of Convection and Vertical Diffusion Schemes in the NCEP Global Forecast System

Jongil Han and Hua-Lu Pan

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-10-05038.1

Published Online:: Aug 2011

Full access

Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part I: Storm Classification and Climatology

Bryan T. Smith, Richard L. Thompson, Jeremy S. Grams, Chris Broyles, and Harold E. Brooks

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00115.1

Published Online:: Oct 2012

Full access

The Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) System and Its Validation over the Eastern Alpine Region

T. Haiden, A. Kann, C. Wittmann, G. Pistotnik, B. Bica, and C. Gruber

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010WAF2222451.1

Published Online:: Apr 2011

Full access

A Review of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes and Their Sensitivity in Simulating Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments

Ariel E. Cohen, Steven M. Cavallo, Michael C. Coniglio, and Harold E. Brooks

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-14-00105.1

Published Online:: Jun 2015

Full access

Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS Tornado Environments

Richard L. Thompson, Bryan T. Smith, Jeremy S. Grams, Andrew R. Dean, and Chris Broyles

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00116.1

Published Online:: Oct 2012

Full access

Verification of Convection-Allowing WRF Model Forecasts of the Planetary Boundary Layer Using Sounding Observations

Michael C. Coniglio, James Correia Jr., Patrick T. Marsh, and Fanyou Kong

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00103.1

Published Online:: Jun 2013

Full access

Lightning and Severe Weather: A Comparison between Total and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Trends

Christopher J. Schultz, Walter A. Petersen, and Lawrence D. Carey

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-10-05026.1

Published Online:: Oct 2011

Full access

An Objective High-Resolution Hail Climatology of the Contiguous United States

John L. Cintineo, Travis M. Smith, Valliappa Lakshmanan, Harold E. Brooks, and Kiel L. Ortega

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00151.1

Published Online:: Oct 2012

Full access

Examination of Errors in Near-Surface Temperature and Wind from WRF Numerical Simulations in Regions of Complex Terrain

Hailing Zhang, Zhaoxia Pu, and Xuebo Zhang

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00109.1

Published Online:: Jun 2013

Full access

Toward Improving High-Resolution Numerical Hurricane Forecasting: Influence of Model Horizontal Grid Resolution, Initialization, and Physics

Sundararaman G. Gopalakrishnan, Stanley Goldenberg, Thiago Quirino, Xuejin Zhang, Frank Marks Jr., Kao-San Yeh, Robert Atlas, and Vijay Tallapragada

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00055.1

Published Online:: Jun 2012

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0559:DOTCRP>2.0.CO;2

Page(s):: 559–570

Full access

Tornado-Related Deaths and Injuries in Oklahoma due to the 3 May 1999 Tornadoes

Sheryll Brown, Pam Archer, Elizabeth Kruger, and Sue Mallonee

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2002)017<0343:TRDAII>2.0.CO;2

Page(s):: 343–353

Open access

Measure of Forecast Challenge and Predictability Horizon Diagram Index for Ensemble Models

Jun Du, Binbin Zhou, and Jason Levit

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0114.1

Page(s):: 603–615

Full access

20 May 2013 Moore, Oklahoma, Tornado: Damage Survey and Analysis

Donald Burgess, Kiel Ortega, Greg Stumpf, Gabe Garfield, Chris Karstens, Tiffany Meyer, Brandon Smith, Doug Speheger, Jim Ladue, Rick Smith, and Tim Marshall