This project was supported by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP) under Contract OGC044. The authors wish to thank Lee Edmiston of FDEP and Graham Lewis of the Northwest Florida Water Management District for their advice. Observational data were supplied by the Apalachicola National Estuarine Research Reserve. The authors thank two anonymous reviewers for their thorough and helpful comments.
Chatfield, C., 1996: The Analysis of Time Series. Chapman & Hall, 283 pp.
Congressional Research Service, 2008: Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) drought: Federal Water Management issues. CRS Order Code RL34326, Congressional Research Service, 35 pp.
Cragg, J., Mitchum G. , and Sturges W. , 1983: Wind-induced sea surface slopes on the West Florida Shelf. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 13, 2201–2212.
Enfield, D. B., Mestas-Nuñez A. M. , and Trimble P. J. , 2001: The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2077–2080.
Florida Department of Natural Resources, 1992: Apalachicola Bay Aquatic Preserve Management Plan. Bureau of Submerged Lands and Preserves, Division of State Lands, Florida Department of Natural Resources, Tallahassee, FL, 168 pp.
Huang, W., 2010: Hydrodynamic modeling and eco-hydrological analysis of river inflow effects on Apalachicola Bay, Florida, USA. Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 86, 526–534.
Huang, W., and Spaulding M. , 2002: Modeling residence-time response to freshwater input in Apalchicola Bay, Florida, USA. Hydrol. Processes, 16, 3051–3064.
Huang, W., Jones W. K. , and Wu T. S. , 2002a: Modeling wind effects on subtidal salinity in Apalachicola Bay, Florida. Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 55, 33–46.
Huang, W., Sun H. , Nnaji S. , and Jones W. K. , 2002b: Tidal hydrodynamics in a multiple-inlet estuary: Apalachicola Bay, Florida. J. Coastal Res., 18, 674–684.
Huang, W., Jones W. K. , and Yang Q. , 2003: Field experiment study of transient stratified flow in an estuary. J. Eng. Mech., 129, 1220–1223, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9399(2003)129:10.
Jennrich, R. I., 1995: An Introduction to Computational Statistics: Regression Analysis. Prentice-Hall, 363 pp.
La Peyre, M. K., Gossman B. , and La Peyre J. F. , 2009: Defining optimal freshwater flow for oyster production: Effects of freshet rate and magnitude of change and duration on Eastern Oysters and Perkinsus marinus infection. Estuaries Coasts, 35, 522–534.
Livingston, R. J., and Coauthors, 2000: Modelling oyster population response to variation in freshwater input. Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 50, 655–672.
Morey, S. L., Dukhovskoy D. S. , and Bourassa M. A. , 2009: Connectivity between variability of the Apalachicola River flow and the biophysical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf. Cont. Shelf Res., 29, 1264–1275.
Mortazavi, B., Iverson R. L. , Huang W. , Lewis F. G. , and Caffrey J. M. , 2000: Nitrogen budget of Apalachicola Bay, a bar-built estuary in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 195, 1–14.
Mortazavi, B., Iverson R. L. , and Huang W. , 2001: Dissolved organic nitrogen and nitrate in Apalachicola Bay, Florida: Spatial distributions and monthly budgets. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 214, 79–91.
Niu, X.-F., Edmiston H. L. , and Bailey G. O. , 1998: Time series models for salinity and other environmental factors in the Apalachicola estuarine system. Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 46, 549–563.
Sun, H. B., and Koch M. , 2001: Case study: Analysis and forecasting of salinity in Apalachicola Bay, Florida, using Box-Jenkins ARIMA models. J. Hydraul. Eng., 127, 718–727.
UNESCO, 1983: Algorithms for computation of fundamental properties of seawater. UNESCO Technical Papers in Marine Science, Vol. 44, UNESCO, 53 pp.
Wang, H., and Coauthors, 2008: Modeling oyster growth rate by coupling oyster population and hydrodynamic models for Apalachicola Bay, Florida, USA. Ecol. Modell., 211, 77–89.