Factors Other Than Climate Change, Main Drivers of 2014/15 Water Shortage in Southeast Brazil

Friederike E. L. Otto Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

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Karsten Haustein Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

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Peter Uhe Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

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Caio A. S. Coelho Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil

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Jose Antonio Aravequia Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil

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Waldenio Almeida Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil

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Andrew King ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

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Erin Coughlan de Perez Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, Netherlands, and Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, and International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, New York

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Yoshihide Wada Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, and NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York, and Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, New York

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Geert Jan van Oldenborgh Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands

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Rein Haarsma Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands

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Maarten van Aalst Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, Netherlands, and International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, New York

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Heidi Cullen Climate Central, Princeton, New Jersey

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A supplement to this article is available online (10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.2)

A supplement to this article is available online (10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.2)

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