Use of NCAR’s CCSM3 model is gratefully acknowledged. The model simulations were run at the Australian Partnership for Advanced Computing National Facility. NOAA_ERSST_V2 SST data were provided by NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD (United States), HadISST by the Met Office, and the precipitation data are from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Three anonymous reviewers provided comments that helped to improve the original manuscript. This work was supported by the Australian Research Council.
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