1. Introduction
Surface–atmospheric interactions modulate the energy available to the atmosphere. As such, these processes (e.g., feedback between soil moisture and precipitation) may play a key role in improving the predictability of weather and climate (Betts et al. 1996; Chen and Avissar 1994; Chen and Dudhia 2001b; Hong and Kalnay 2000; Koster et al. 2004; Trier et al. 2004). Patton et al. (2005) and Chow et al. (2006b) found soil moisture initialization to be a strong influence on boundary layer flows, while Holt et al. (2006) found that soil moisture influences the prediction of cloud patterns in frontal systems. Zhong et al. (1996) found that soil moisture is a primary driver of the nocturnal low-level jet, a significant resource for the generation of renewable power from the wind. These results highlight the critical importance of representing land–atmospheric interactions in atmospheric models used in water resources and wind-energy applications and boundary layer simulation research in general. However, two important components of the hydrologic cycle related to the land surface—groundwater and overland flow—have only recently been considered in atmospheric models. The full effects of these components on atmospheric processes, for example, the development of the atmospheric boundary layer, remain unknown (NRC 2004). More research is needed to fully understand the relationship between land surface heterogeneity and atmospheric heterogeneity, and the spatial and temporal scales over which the impacts of soil moisture variations persist in the atmosphere. A complete understanding of these processes will involve further theoretical and observational studies. This present study advances how best to represent these processes in numerical simulations of atmospheric flow through enhancements to a widely used community modeling platform.
Several recent studies have shown that groundwater storage and redistribution play an important role in the land energy and water balances (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a), in short-term atmospheric feedbacks (Maxwell et al. 2007), and in local response to global climate change (Maxwell and Kollet 2008a). There is also evidence that, while the timing of extreme events such as drought is strongly influenced by ocean–atmosphere forcing, the duration and severity of these events, for example in regions such as the southern Great Plains, likewise depend upon soil moisture and land–atmosphere feedbacks (Hong and Kalnay 2000, 2002; Koster et al. 2004; Schubert et al. 2004, 2008). This evidence indicates that not only will climate change impact the hydrologic cycle (Allen et al. 2004; Cayan et al. 2008; Dettinger et al. 2004; Scibek and Allen 2006; Scibek et al. 2007; Seager et al. 2007; Tague et al. 2008; Vanrheenen et al. 2004), but that changes in the hydrologic cycle, particularly the terrestrial system, will feed back to alter the climate at local and possibly larger scales. These feedbacks are a function of water table depth (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a; Maxwell and Kollet 2008a; Maxwell et al. 2007) and seasonal atmospheric conditions (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a), and are expected to vary across different geographic and climatic regions.
A small, but growing body of work has addressed the inclusion of groundwater and detailed representations of surface hydrology into atmospheric models. York et al. (2002) coupled a single-column atmospheric model to a single-layer groundwater model via a land surface model. Seuffert et al. (2002) and Molders and Ruhaak (2002) both coupled watershed models with more sophisticated representations of lateral, overland flow to regional-scale atmospheric models and found improvements in energy fluxes and rainfall. Maxwell et al. (2007) used a coupled watershed and atmospheric model to demonstrate feedbacks as well as the connection between water table depth and the atmospheric boundary layer at regional watershed scales. More recently, Anyah et al. (2008) and Jiang et al. (2009) coupled a simple groundwater scheme into atmospheric models and showed differences in atmospheric fluxes and improvements to predicted precipitation over seasonal time periods at continental scales.
Here we present the development and application of a coupled hydrologic–atmospheric model. This model is the result of coupling the parallel hydrology model (ParFlow) to the community numerical weather prediction Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF). By including ParFlow, the coupled model extends the WRF platform and previous approaches to include the following additional surface and subsurface hydrologic processes:
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Highly resolved groundwater flow in complex, three-dimensional, heterogeneous aquifers, ranging from deep storage to a free or confined water table;
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Variably saturated flow in three dimensions, with the potential for a shallow or deep vadose zone, ranging from the water table to the land surface;
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Fully integrated lateral flow over the land surface, with explicit routing, in full communication with subsurface flow (groundwater and vadose zone) at every surface grid cell.
2. Model description
Here we briefly describe the two models used in this study; ParFlow and the WRF model, version 3.0, in uncoupled form, then discuss the coupling process in more detail.
a. WRF
The Advanced Research (ARW) core of the WRF model used in this study is described in Skamarock and Klemp (2008; more information is available online at http://www.wrf-model.org). The ARW contains both a dynamical core that advances the governing equations (using an explicit time integration scheme), and an extensive package of parameterization options for the various atmospheric and land surface processes that force the evolution of the flow. Jointly developed by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), a number of government agencies, and the university research community, the WRF model is continually benefitting from new physical process parameterizations developed within the broad user community and integrated into future releases of the model. The ARW version 3.0 contains nine microphysics parameterizations, three longwave radiation schemes, four shortwave radiation schemes, three surface layer physics schemes, four land surface schemes, four planetary boundary layer schemes, and five cumulus parameterization schemes. With a wide range of users and developers, and an established pathway for integration of new options into the model, subsequent WRF releases will continue to offer expanded options.
In addition to its extensive suite of mesoscale physics options, WRF also contains physics and dynamics options appropriate for both global-scale and large-eddy simulations, as well as various data assimilation schemes. As such, the WRF model is applicable to a wide range of operational and research activities. Many such applications could benefit from improved representation of subsurface, land surface, atmosphere exchanges provided by coupling to a subsurface hydrologic model as described below.
b. ParFlow
ParFlow is a parallel, variably saturated, groundwater flow model, and is described in detail by Ashby and Falgout (1996), Jones and Woodward (2001), and Kollet and Maxwell (2008a). (Additional information is available online at https://computation.llnl.gov/casc/parflow/parflow_home.html.) It is an open-source, community code and freely available for download (available online at http://inside.mines.edu/~rmaxwell/maxwell_software.shtml). In the mode employed here, it solves the Richards equation, which describes the movement of water in saturated and unsaturated soil [see Eq. (A1)] in three dimensions. Additionally, this platform has an integrated overland flow boundary condition (Kollet and Maxwell 2006), which solves the kinematic wave equation [see Eq. (A5)]. Thus ParFlow has the capability to resolve streamflow and two-way flows between surface and groundwater explicitly without the use of parameterized river routing or runoff schemes.
ParFlow requires specification of subsurface hydraulic properties, such as the saturated hydraulic conductivity, porosity, and the parameters [see Eqs. (A3)–(A4)] for the pressure–saturation and pressure–relative permeability relationships. These parameters may be specified using commonly available databases (Schaap and Leij 1998) and are specific to the soil and geology present at a particular study site. ParFlow has been modified to optionally include the Common Land Model (CLM; Dai et al. 2003), as described in Maxwell and Miller (2005) and Kollet and Maxwell (2008b) allowing for full-coupling between land–energy processes and hydrology. This option is used during the spinup process for the numerical experiments presented in this work.
c. Coupled model PF.WRF
The coupled model used in this study was created by combining the ParFlow variably saturated groundwater flow model with the WRF mesoscale numerical weather prediction system. The surface water and soil moisture components of ParFlow provide WRF with soil moisture information that includes the effects of ponding, runoff, and subsurface flow, including an explicitly resolved water table. In turn, WRF provides ParFlow with spatially variable precipitation and evapotranspiration rates. In this effort, the CLM component of stand-alone ParFlow was replaced by the Noah LSM that is used in WRF (Chen et al. 2001,1996; Ek et al. 2003; Pan and Marht 1987), Modifications to Noah involved in the coupling process are described more fully below and in the appendix.
The coupling of these two models provides each model with boundary condition information at a level of detail that is usually not available from common data sources used as forcing. This coupled system (PF.WRF) can represent spatial variations in land surface processes, as well as groundwater–land surface and land surface–atmosphere feedbacks, driven by physical processes in the atmosphere and the subsurface. This coupled modeling approach is general, allowing for physically accurate representation of subsurface, land surface, and atmospheric processes. Coupling ParFlow with WRF both enables the use of the broad range of physics applications in WRF, as well as extending the potential user base of the model given WRF’s popularity and wide range of applications.
The coupled simulations detailed herein utilized the full suite of atmospheric physics parameterizations (e.g., radiation, cloud and precipitation microphysics, and planetary boundary layer turbulence). These simulations require the simultaneous solution of the three-dimensional (3D) groundwater and two-dimensional (2D) overland flow equations (provided by ParFlow) and the 3D atmospheric flow equations (provided by WRF). The Noah LSM constitutes the interface between the subsurface hydrology (ParFlow) and the atmosphere (WRF), and passes surface energy and moisture fluxes between the two models. In PF.WRF, ParFlow is incorporated as a subroutine within WRF’s Noah LSM, with communication over the top four soil layers (for complete details, please see the appendix). Subsurface hydrology in the WRF Noah LSM is entirely replaced by ParFlow in the coupled model.
The general solution procedure begins with the explicit advancement of the atmospheric solver. An operator-splitting approach is employed, allowing the ParFlow model to use the internal time step of WRF (1 s in these simulations). As with other physical process models, larger time steps can be taken in ParFlow as part of a subcycling option (e.g., 1 h). Such an approach can potentially take advantage of the slower dynamics in the terrestrial flow regime to improve computational efficiency at an acceptable loss of solution accuracy. For all the simulations in this work other than the subcycling-specific tests, ParFlow is advanced using the same time step as WRF. The subsurface moisture field calculated by ParFlow is passed directly to the Noah LSM within WRF and is used by Noah LSM in the next time step. The Noah LSM is advanced for each internal WRF time step to provide all the surface fluxes, but the soil moisture values are now specified by ParFlow. A schematic of the coupling process is shown in Fig. 1.
3. Numerical simulations, results, and discussion
Two numerical experiments are used to demonstrate the capabilities of the coupled model and to explore details of the coupled-model physics. The first is an idealized simulation that strongly forces the model with heavy precipitation to test the error in the water balance and to test temporal subcycling between ParFlow and WRF. This idealized simulation also demonstrates the impact of ParFlow processes on atmospheric parameters. The second is a semi-idealized set of coupled and uncoupled simulations based upon data from a real watershed.
a. Idealized simulation
The atmospheric portion of the idealized simulations, shown in Fig. 2, uses a flat 15 × 15 × 14.462 km domain discretized using 16 × 16 × 25 computational nodes, with horizontal grid spacing of 1 km in each direction, and vertical resolution of approximately 40 m near the surface and stretched toward the top of the atmosphere. The WRF model domain had periodic boundary conditions on the lateral sides. No mean winds were specified, but small random perturbations were added to the initial horizontal flow components, and the temperature was initialized to be slightly stable, given by T = 300.0 – 0.005 z, where T is in kelvin, z is height above the surface in meters, and 0.005 represents the vertical temperature gradient in kelvin per meter. Atmospheric pressure was initialized to be hydrostatic; based on a temperature of 300 K, and relative humidity was initialized to 50% everywhere. Rain was imposed by adding a source term to the tendency (time derivative) of the water vapor mixing ratio qυ (kilogram H2O per kilogram dry air). For this simulation the average column mass was 85 037.4 Pa. Hence, the unit vapor tendency prescribed was 1.0/85 037.4 = 1.175 95 × 10−5 s−1, or 0.042 kg H2O h−1. This tendency was applied over a horizontal array of nine grid points, three in each direction, at the middle of the domain. These points included grid points 6, 7, 8 in both x and y and 9 grid points in the vertical spanning a height of roughly 1.3–8.1 km.
The ParFlow domain used the same lateral dimensions with the same horizontal grid spacing as WRF (1 km) over a depth of 5 m, with a constant vertical grid spacing of 0.25 m. The subsurface pressure head was initialized as hydrostatic with the water table 3 m below the ground surface (i.e., 3 m below the top of the ParFlow domain). Subsurface parameters were set as follows: saturated hydraulic conductivity Ksat = 0.1 (m h−1), and porosity ϕ = 0.3. No-flow boundary conditions were imposed on the subsurface sides and bottom. A slope, Sx = 0.001, was used to route ponded water to the x = 0 face, where it was allowed to exit the domain. The land cover was specified as bare soil everywhere. The entire simulation was run for 48 h with Δt = 5 s and the positive moisture tendency as specified above for the first 24 h then a tendency of 0 for 24–48 h.
1) Impact of PF.WRF
The spatial distribution of cumulative rainfall over the entire 48-h simulation appears in Fig. 3. This figure clearly shows the large rainfall (2498 mm) accumulations in the middle of the domain. This maximum rainfall value lies directly below the area of injected moisture. Rainfall totals in areas around the rainfall maximum decrease rapidly with zero rainfall 4 km away from the center point and zero accumulated rainfall over much of the domain.
Figure 4 plots the spatial distribution of soil saturation at two times during the simulation at the ground surface. After 1.5 h of simulation time (left) the spatial distribution of soil saturation very closely matches the distribution of rainfall. However, after 16 h of simulation time, the distribution of soil saturation is much different than the distribution of rainfall. This difference is due to the coupled physical processes present in PF.WRF. Because the maximum rainfall rate is less than the saturated hydraulic conductivity of the subsurface, the rainfall quickly infiltrates into the subsurface. When the infiltrated water reaches the water table, it causes a saturation mound (increased saturation above the water table) in the subsurface, which eventually reaches the land surface. This surface saturation creates ponded conditions, which results in surface water storage and nonzero values for h in the rhs of Eq. (A5). This ponded water is automatically routed downslope, to the left in this case, to adjacent cells that are not fully saturated. Over time, as a result of the continuing precipitation and runoff from cells upslope, those cells also become saturated. This process repeats, until all the cells from the point of initial rainfall to the edge of the domain are fully saturated. At the end of the 24-h rainfall period, the subsurface and surface from the area of maximum rainfall to the x = 0 face of the domain are fully ponded and routing water out of the domain. These conditions create the saturation distribution shown in Fig. 4.
Figure 5 shows conditions at 30 h, after the rainfall has ceased and the surface has begun to dry. The distribution of soil saturation at hour 30 is similar to that shown at earlier times, for example hour 16 (Fig. 4). Examination of the contours of latent heat flux (LH, W m−2) at 30 h of simulation time shown in Fig. 5 reveals that the contours of LH follow saturation very closely. The maximum instantaneous LH is located in a region not coincident with the peak rainfall, but in a region where rainfall was zero. This displacement occurs because of the new physical processes in PF.WRF, listed earlier. Though rain may fall at the ground surface in one location, it infiltrates into an unsaturated zone that is in full contact with the saturated zone (or groundwater), and the water table may eventually rise to reach the land surface. At the land surface, water is transported laterally due to overland flow, whereupon it may then reinfiltrate or continue to flow laterally, resulting in the very different soil saturation seen in Fig. 5.
Figure 6 summarizes the partitioning of water into subsurface water, surface water, and runoff, accumulated over the entire ParFlow domain. This figure plots the cumulative change of water, in cubic meters, for each of these components along with the total flux provided to ParFlow from WRF. Initially, the heavy rainfall in the idealized test case mainly infiltrates into the subsurface resulting in the change in subsurface storage as shown. After about 6 h of rainfall, surface storage increases, indicating ponded water on the ground surface that is routed laterally from cell to cell within the domain. At 16 h the surface water storage reaches a maximum value (note this is the time for Fig. 4, right panel). At this point, ponded water reaches the edge of the domain and runs off through the x = 0 face.
Figure 6 may also be used to assess the total water balance and water balance error in the coupled simulation. At all times, the cumulative surface, subsurface and runoff amounts must total the input from WRF to balance the water in the domain. The difference between the cumulative WRF flux and the two storage and runoff components is the water balance error. The water balance error can be defined as the difference between the water storage terms, on the lhs of Eq. (A1) and the corresponding flux terms, on the rhs of this equation, accumulated over a given time period, in this case a single model time step. At any time in the simulation the instantaneous normalized water balance error is less than ±8 × 10−12 (−) and the total normalized water balance error is 2 × 10−13 (−), which corresponds to an absolute error of 2 × 10−6 m3 or 2 mL of water.
2) Subcycling
To explore the potential gains in computational efficiency afforded by subcycling ParFlow relative to WRF, we employed a similar test case to the idealized one described above. However, in order to strongly force the coupled model, the subcycling simulations used a prescribed vapor tendency 5 times greater than the previous simulations (0.21 kilograms H2O per hour) applied over a shorter simulation time (3 h) to create a very intense rainfall episode. The subcycling interval between WRF and ParFlow was varied from 1 (a case with no subcycling of ParFlow) to 72 (e.g., ParFlow takes one step for every 72 WRF time steps).
In Fig. 7a, the water balance error (as defined above) between WRF and PF appears as a function of time, for subcycling intervals of 1 (no subcycling and ΔtPF = ΔtWRF = 5 s), 2 (2 WRF time steps for every PF time step and ΔtPF = 10 s), 12 (12 WRF time steps for every PF time step, and ΔtPF = 60 s), and 72 (72 WRF time steps for every PF time step, and ΔtPF = 360 s). The water balance error is always less than 1 × 10−12 % for all cases and does not vary significantly with the subcycling interval. Figure 7b depicts the total water storage, surface and subsurface, in ParFlow over time as a function of all subcycling intervals; this quantity should be the same for all intervals. While differences in water balance indicate errors due to the subcycling, differences in the total amount of water indicate divergence of the solutions due to differing land feedbacks. The water storage is consistent among simulations up to a subcycling interval of 12, while the simulation with a subcycling interval of 72 appears to diverge from the other solutions. These results suggest that accurate solutions that are not divergent are achieved for up to an order of magnitude difference in time step between atmospheric and surface–subsurface systems (provided that the time steps are adequate to resolve relevant physical and dynamic processes).
The results of a timing test for the different subcycling cases appear in Fig. 8. In this test, the time spent in WRF and ParFlow are calculated and plotted separately. Note that ParFlow solves for the pressures everywhere at the land and subsurface using an implicit time integration method with an iterative solution technique. As a result, ParFlow does not need to constrain time steps to maintain stability of the temporal integration. Thus, ParFlow time steps may be chosen by accuracy constraints of dynamics of interest. The results of Fig. 8 demonstrate that the overall simulation time decreases with increases in temporal subcycling. For the temporal subcycling of one (equal WRF and ParFlow time steps) the time spent in ParFlow is almost equal to that of WRF. At the greatest subcycling interval (i.e., 72) the total time in ParFlow is less than 7% of the total simulation time (which exceeds 1/72). These results indicate that, of the choices tested here, the subcycling interval of 12 is an acceptable number where simulation accuracy, fidelity, and efficiency may be balanced. Here, the solution is very similar to the case with no subcycling, ParFlow takes approximately 12% of the total simulation time, and disagreement in water balance between ParFlow and WRF is less than 1 × 10−12 %.
In general, whether one can subcycle ParFlow within a given simulation will be dependent on the dominant physics within the simulation. Specifically, when parameterizations within Noah that rely on soil moisture from ParFlow are highly nonlinear and rapid changes are occurring, subcycling will lead to very different results. We leave a thorough analysis of the couplings involved in a determination of best subcycling interval for a future study. However, a general strategy for determining a subcycling interval would be the following:
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Determine the quantities of interest (QOI) of the specific study to be run (i.e., precipitation) and the amount of variance that can be tolerated for the purpose of the study.
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Run the coupled model without subcycling ParFlow and using a fairly large time step.
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Subcycle ParFlow relative to WRF with intervals of 2, 4, 6, etc., until results from a given interval produce a variation in the QOI larger than its prescribed tolerance. The last interval that produced acceptable variation is a likely candidate for a good subcycling interval.
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Run the coupled model with the small time step of choice and subcycling interval found in step 3.
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Run the coupled model with small time step and subcycling with an interval of 1 or 2 greater than in step 4) to determine if the variation is small relative to the tolerated variation. If so, then use the interval found in step 3). If not, decrease the subcycling interval and try again.
b. Semi-idealized simulations
A series of semi-idealized simulations were performed on a 45 × 32 km2 domain in Oklahoma. This domain encompasses the Little Washita watershed, which has been studied previously using both modeling (e.g., Famiglietti and Wood 1994; Peters-Lidard et al. 1997) and field campaigns (e.g., Jackson et al. 1999). This domain has been used previously in atmospherically coupled (Maxwell et al. 2007) and uncoupled (Kollet and Maxwell 2008b,a; Maxwell and Kollet 2008a) model simulations. The goals of these tests are to quantify the impact of model spinup and coupled execution in short-term (36 h) atmospheric simulations. For comparison to other physical processes represented in WRF, microphysics options are also varied. Three microphysics options and two initialization options were used for the coupled (PF.WRF) and uncoupled (WRF) simulations for a total of 12 cases all of which are listed in Table 1.
1) Offline spinup process
A challenge in coupled simulations lies in initializing the land surface conditions, namely, pressure (or soil moisture) and temperature. If observations of soil moisture, subsurface pressure-head, and soil temperature are available, they may be interpolated to fill the domain. Because of data scarcity, often a spinup process is used instead. During a spinup, a single (water) year of atmospheric forcing (e.g., solar radiation, wind, precipitation, humidity, and pressure) is used to repeatedly provide near-surface conditions for a land surface model over multiple years. This process is repeated until the yearly difference in the water and energy balances drop below a threshold of less than 10−6 %.
The soil moistures and soil temperatures of WRF and PF.WRF were initialized using the offline spinup approach described above. As discussed previously, the recent literature has shown that initialization of soil moisture fields (i.e., the memory of the soil moisture to previous atmospheric events) has an important effect on prediction. Because of this, we desired a spinup process that was different, yet consistent, for the uncoupled WRF and the coupled PF.WRF models; a spinup without groundwater or lateral flow for WRF and with these processes for PF.WRF. To achieve this goal, two models were spun up: the CLM (Dai et al. 2001), to initialize the WRF model, and ParFlow with CLM integrated (PF.CLM; Kollet and Maxwell 2008b), to initialize the PF.WRF model. The land surface physics, energy balances, and vegetation specifications are completely equivalent in the two models. The key difference between them is in the surface and subsurface hydrology, with PF.CLM having a more advanced description of these physical processes. One water year (1998) of atmospheric forcing data derived from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR; Mesinger et al. 2006) was used to repeatedly force the land surface model. This water year was chosen because an existing spinup and validation (by comparing to observations from that watershed) of the offline PF.CLM model (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a) and complete details may be found in that study. Both models were set up over the same domain (45 km × 32 km at 1 km × 1 km horizontal resolution), with the same land and soil cover as described in Kollet and Maxwell (2008a). The land cover and soil characteristics used for these simulations were adjusted to match those in Maxwell et al. (2007) and therefore do not match those characteristics provided by the standard WRF datasets.
The results of the spinup process may be seen in Fig. 9, which plots the instantaneous soil moisture and temperature fields at the beginning of the simulation. This figure clearly shows the differences in soil moisture and temperature between CLM and PF.CLM and highlights the effects of lateral flow during the spinup process. The river valley in the PF.CLM simulation is fully saturated, leading to generally cooler temperatures. Additionally, the hilltop in the PF.CLM spinup is considerably dryer. Both of these shifts are due to the explicit representation of lateral, subsurface flow that converges in the river valleys providing water that alters land surface processes. The CLM simulation shows variability due only to differences in land-cover type and generally shows much less spatial variability than the PF.CLM simulations. These results are quite similar to previous studies (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a; Maxwell and Kollet 2008a; Maxwell et al. 2007).
2) Hydrologic impacts
As discussed in section 3a, the PF.WRF model calculates infiltration and runoff using the integrated solution of Eqs. (A1), (A2), and (A5). Figure 10 plots total domain outflow, or runoff that leaves the domain boundaries, and the total precipitation P minus evaporation combined with transpiration—so-called evapotranspiration (ET, i.e., P − ET) at the land surface for the PF.WRF simulations. Note that P − ET may be formally defined as qs − qr in Eqs. (A7)–(A8). This figure shows that PF.WRF routes rainfall to runoff for three different microphysics parameterizations and the two temperature initializations. The total domain runoff for the NARR temperature initialization cases and three microphysics options appears in Fig. 10a. In this figure we see the influence of the microphysics parameterizations on runoff: each of the three cases produces different spatial rainfall patterns that then generate different amounts of runoff and infiltration, resulting in different hydrographs.
Recall that ParFlow routes water across the ground surface and through the subsurface as a function of calculated pressure head distributions and that the results shown in Fig. 10 are unique to PF.WRF. In Fig. 10a we see that the total outflow is quite different between cases (i.e., microphysics options). These differences are due to variability in the total amount of precipitation as well as its spatial distribution and timing. Each of the three microphysics cases (the gray, blue, and black curves) produces similar values for evapotranspiration during the first 5 h of simulation time (shown as the negative portion of the P − ET curve in Fig. 10a) when P is zero and total outflow is small. Each of the three microphysics cases also produces similar times for the onset of rainfall, around noon of day one as seen by the large, positive trends in P − ET when P is much larger than ET. The large differences in outflow between microphysics options are created by large differences in the predicted precipitation rates.
In Fig. 10b we see the runoff generated from three microphysics parameterizations when initialized using the temperature from the spinup. We also see large differences in both predicted rainfall and subsequent outflow between Figs. 10a,b, corresponding to the differences in temperature initialization. For example, of the three microphysics options, case clmQ_mp1 has the greatest rainfall amount at 40.2 mm over the column with a corresponding 7.4 mm of outflow, while case clmTQ_mp1 has the least with almost half the rainfall total with 24.8 mm and 1.4 mm of outflow. This indicates that, for these semi-idealized simulations, the temperature initialization is as important as the microphysics parameterization in determining rainfall amount. The temperature at the bottom level in the Noah model is held constant at the initialized value during the simulation. This boundary condition will change the energy fluxes at the land surface, as has been recently explored (Kollet et al. 2009).
Figure 10 also shows a strong nonlinearity between rainfall and outflow totals. This is due in part to the spatial distribution of rainfall. For example, rain that falls on the hilltop areas would produce less runoff than rain that falls farther down the hillslopes or in the valleys since the water table is closer to the ground surface in the valleys. Rainfall infiltration in these regions results in greater increases in subsurface pressures—and thus streamflow—than on the drier hilltops. These nonlinearities are also due to land surface feedbacks. These feedbacks are illustrated in the idealized simulation results described in section 3a and are shown in Figs. 4 and 5. In the same way that lateral flow in the coupled model creates land fluxes in locations other than directly under clouds that produce precipitation in the idealized case, similar feedbacks will also occur in the Little Washita simulations. These feedbacks can further enhance differences in microphysics parameterization, as seen by the strong divergence in the P − ET curves in Fig. 10, resulting in an additional nonlinearity in rainfall–runoff response.
3) Atmospheric boundary layer impacts
The second set of results demonstrates the relevance of this coupled model for boundary layer applications such as wind-energy forecasting or transport and dispersion modeling. It is expected that changes in surface soil moisture afforded by the coupled PF.WRF model would impact hydrological parameters as discussed above. It is somewhat surprising to see the impact on low-level winds over short-time-scale (36 h) simulations. Both α, a measure of wind shear, and the wind speed at 40 m above the surface are investigated to compare coupled and uncoupled simulations.
Comparison of six WRF-alone and six PF.WRF simulations for the same time period (with three different choices of cloud microphysics schemes and two different surface spinup choices) appear in Fig. 11. In this figure we see that both the WRF-alone (left, Fig. 11a) and PF.WRF (right, Fig. 11b) simulations exhibit behavior consistent with expectations for a diurnal cycle. The first 6 h of the simulation, during the initial growth of a convective boundary layer, show variability that is consistent expectations for model spinup, but also likely includes some effect of turbulent mixing forced by surface heating. By hour 12, when the surface heat flux has changed sign and the surface starts to cool, α increases as winds above the surface decouple from the surface, consistent with expectations for a nocturnal boundary layer. During the nighttime hours, hours 14–22, α values continue to increase, indicating that winds at ∼120-m elevation continue to decouple from those nearer to the surface. As low-level jets are frequently observed in this region (Lundquist and Mirocha 2008; Whiteman et al. 1997; Zhong et al. 1996), the acceleration of flow aloft could be interpreted as evidence of low-level jet formation; however, as the idealization of the test problem removed synoptic-scale forcing, such a conclusion cannot be verified. The following morning, surface heating generates convective plumes that reestablish the coupling between the lower-level winds and the surface during the daytime (hours 26–36), which exhibit little variability amongst the simulations, as would be expected during a convective well-mixed boundary layer.
Some notable differences exist between the sets of WRF-alone (left, Fig. 11a) and PF.WRF (right, Fig. 11b) simulations. Differences between the domain averaged WRF-alone averages of the ensemble of all spinups and microphysics and PF.WRF, all spinups and all microphysics, appear in Fig. 11c. The horizontal line represents α = 0.144 or
During the night (hours 14–22), the PF.WRF simulations, on average, exhibit both higher and more variable α values than the WRF simulations. The maximum difference between WRF and PF.WRF occurs between 16 and 18 h into the simulation, halfway through the night. The higher alpha values predicted by the PF.WRF simulations indicate either an acceleration of the PF.WRF winds aloft, or a deceleration of the PF.WRF winds very close to the surface, relative to the WRF alone simulations. The wind speeds at approximately 40 m, shown in Fig. 12, indicate generally lower wind speeds near the surface on the PF.WRF simulations relative to the WRF simulations. The lower wind speeds near the surface suggest that the increased spatial heterogeneity in soil moisture and temperature introduced by the PF.WRF model promotes stronger coupling of the near-surface flow with the surface.
The wind speeds shown in Fig. 12 afford additional insights into differences between the WRF-alone and PF.WRF simulations. A first daytime wind speed maximum can be seen in the early evening (around hour 10). At night (hours 14–22) winds near the surface tend to decrease, with a subsequent increase in the morning (by hour 26). Different physical processes are at work at different points in the diurnal cycle. During the daytime periods, convective heating from the surface dominates the flow; the convective heating is strongly coupled to the surface characteristics. The surface soil temperatures for WRF-alone simulations are significantly higher (∼5 K) on the first morning (see Fig. 9), which generates stronger convective plumes and therefore inducing stronger horizontal advection or winds in the WRF-alone open-boundary-condition simulations. At night, the domain and ensemble-averaged differences in 40-m winds (Fig. 12c) between the WRF and PF.WRF lessen or approach zero. At all times of day, the PF.WRF winds encounter a more heterogeneous surface, and therefore tend to exhibit lower spatial and temporal correlations.
4. Conclusions and future directions
Here we present improvements to the model physics for the community-based WRF simulation platform. These enhancements include fully integrated, lateral overland and subsurface flow, in addition to complete treatment of flow in the subsurface via solution of the three-dimensional Richards equation. We demonstrate, using an idealized simulation designed to strongly force the integration, 1) that this model balances water extremely well between terrestrial and atmospheric systems, and 2) that this model’s ability to include more precise runoff mechanisms and lateral water flow will change the spatial pattern of land surface fluxes. Additionally, we use a number of semi-idealized simulations using a real watershed to demonstrate how the coupled model may be used in rainfall–runoff predictions for water resources applications and in wind-energy forecasting. We see several significant differences between coupled and uncoupled model simulations, across a range of microphysics parameterization choices, in the magnitude, timing, and spatial distributions of rainfall and runoff, and in atmospheric parameters of interest to wind-power production, including low-level wind speeds and vertical shear.
We reach the following specific conclusions in this work:
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As shown by the idealized simulation, the coupled model balances water very accurately across the combined terrestrial and atmospheric system and the overall spatial pattern of land surface moisture and energy fluxes was shown to change as a result of including more accurate runoff mechanisms and deeper, lateral subsurface flows;
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The time step of ParFlow may be subcycled relative to WRF; for the test problem studied, subcycling ParFlow relative to WRF at an interval of 12 increased the overall computational efficiency of PF.WRF with little change in overall system behavior; more importantly, we outline a general strategy for how the subcycling could be applied to coupled problems;
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As shown by the more substantive, semi-idealized problem, the coupled model may be used to develop rainfall–runoff predictions for water resource applications as well as to interrogate atmospheric boundary layer dynamics for wind-energy forecast applications. Differences between coupled (PF.WRF) and uncoupled (WRF) model simulations, across a range of microphysics parameterization choices, were evident, especially as they affected wind shear and lower atmosphere wind velocities.
Future work will include additional investigation of the numerical methods, validation of the coupled model, and further exploration of feedbacks between the subsurface and atmosphere for synoptic cases. We plan a thorough analysis of the parameterizations expressing the dependences of the subsurface, surface, and atmosphere on each other with the goals of providing definitive guidance on frequency of subcycling and determining whether tightening the coupling between the regimes may lead to more accurate simulations. Additionally, we plan to explore synoptic simulations to understand the regimes in which the PF.WRF coupled model does and does not produce differences relative to the WRF model and to further validate the coupled model. Given recent work that successfully scaled the ParFlow model out to almost 1010 unknowns using greater than 16-K processors (Kollet et al. 2010) the application of this coupled model to very large scales (e.g., continental) with very high resolution (e.g., ∼1 km) is within current capability. Though some data gaps still exist, particularly in the subsurface, these recent developments represent a very exciting opportunity to extend the boundaries of current coupled hydrologic simulation.
The coupled PF.WRF model extends the applicability of the WRF model platform to many new and important arenas. In addition to the shorter-term hydrological and wind-power prediction applications demonstrated herein, coupled simulations forced with climate simulation data could assist longer-term water resources planning as well as prediction of future wind-energy resources. Overall, the coupled PF.WRF model will provide many new avenues for more robust application of the WRF platform. Such applications can include more complete validation studies of the coupled model with the appropriate observations and might include more substantive, integrated simulations of climate downscaling for water resources management, flood prediction, and wind-energy forecasting.
Acknowledgments
Portions of this work were performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract DE-AC52-07NA27344. This work was supported in part by the LLNL Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program under COMP-10ERD011. This research was also supported in part by the Golden Energy Computing Organization at the Colorado School of Mines using resources acquired with financial assistance from the National Science Foundation and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
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APPENDIX
Governing Equations for Surface and Subsurface Water Flow and Evapotranspiration
The PF.WRF model couples lateral surface and subsurface flow to the WRF platform through the Noah LSM within WRF. This coupling creates differences within both the energy and water balance formulations of the LSM (Kollet and Maxwell 2008a; Maxwell et al. 2007)—discussed in detail in (Kollet et al. 2009). Here we present only the primary hydrologic processes to better formalize the coupled relationships and to mathematically illustrate the interdependence between shallow soil moisture and evapotranspiration.
Figure A1 demonstrates the coupling of the two systems. ParFlow and WRF each use structured grids and the land surface representations used by each model must be mapped onto these grids. As shown in Fig. A1, the four Noah grid cells beneath the surface (kNoah) must coincide with the first four nodes of the ParFlow grid k. This grid matching provides the interface between the two codes. Details on the coupled terms in the balance equations are provided below.
For the groundwater flow solution, ParFlow employs an implicit backward Euler scheme in time, and a cell-centered finite-difference scheme in space. At the cell interfaces, the harmonic averages of the saturated hydraulic conductivities and a one-point upstream weighting of the relative permeabilities are used. For the overland flow component, ParFlow uses an upwind finite-volume scheme in space and an implicit backward Euler scheme in time.
Semi-idealized simulations.