1. Introduction
a. Motivation
This study lays the groundwork for observational evaluation of cloud-resolving model simulations by quantifying statistical properties of objectively identified radar observables, namely specific differential phase
The microphysical properties of mature deep convection updrafts remain poorly quantified, at least in part because of sparse in situ measurements available from aircraft campaigns, which provide the only direct means of measuring hydrometeor mixing ratio, morphology, size distribution, and phase within strong updrafts (Heymsfield et al. 2002; Stith et al. 2002, 2004; Anderson et al. 2005; Stith et al. 2006; Lawson et al. 2010). A glaring result is the lack of observational data adequate to quantitatively constrain order-of-magnitude differences in condensate mixing ratios commonly predicted by cloud-resolving simulations of deep convection systems using differing microphysics schemes, where interaction of dynamics and microphysics schemes likely contribute to differences (Varble et al. 2011; Zhu et al. 2012; Collis et al. 2013; Varble et al. 2014a,b). This dearth of in situ measurements is furthermore unlikely to be quickly remedied owing to the difficulty of obtaining robust statistics by aircraft over sparsely distributed and rapidly evolving features. With research-grade simulations poorly constrained, it is extraordinarily difficult to robustly establish higher-order differences in updraft properties, such as those induced by changes in aerosol fields [see reviews by Levin and Cotton (2008) and Tao et al. (2012)], which have been hypothesized to influence climate via their influence on deep convection.
Instead of directly constraining hydrometeor concentrations, observations can be used to inform the microphysical processes present in deep convective updrafts. Perhaps the most promising sources of data now available for that task are scanning polarimetric radars, including those operated by the U.S. National Weather Service and the Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program (Ackerman and Stokes 2003; Mather and Voyles 2013). Such radars offer wide-domain and continuous coverage in time, but likely require an analysis approach that is suited to their strengths, which do not currently include robust retrieval of condensate mixing ratios within updrafts, for instance, but may include signatures associated with the microphysical processes of deep convection.
Within the high-resolution and global modeling community, radar reflectivity (typically horizontally polarized radar reflectivity
This study focuses on polarimetric precipitation radar observations owing to their ability to provide unique information about hydrometeors involved in updraft microphysical processes (Bringi et al. 1996; Hubbert et al. 1998; Loney et al. 2002; Kumjian et al. 2014a). In particular, it focuses on the presence of elevated positive values of
Because the ultimate goal is to use these radar observations to constrain model simulations, we require that these observations be robust, both from the perspective of observational uncertainties, as well as from the perspective of forward modeling these observations. In both regards, the choice of
With regards to observational uncertainties,
For identification of deep updrafts,
The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristics of
b. Background
Two prominent examples of analysis and interpretation of
Electrical activity of storms has long been used as a signal of continental deep convection, to the extent that the word “thunderstorm” is used to describe such weather. It has been long understood that a dominant mechanism in separation of charge in thunderstorms is rebounding ice–ice collisions occurring between particles such as graupel and pristine ice in the presence of supercooled cloud water (Reynolds et al. 1957; Takahashi 1978; Jayaratne et al. 1983; Pereyra et al. 2000). Graupel is produced in regions where riming growth is dominant—in other words, regions of deep convection updrafts. Studies—for example, Deierling and Petersen (2008)—have confirmed a strong link between updraft volume and total flash rate in storm systems, with Wiens et al. (2005) stressing the importance of using flash density, rather than raw VHF source density, as a measure of lightning activity.
The role of mixed-phase microphysics in the separation of charge suggests that polarimetric variables such as
2. Data and methodology
a. Data
1) KVNX S-band polarimetric radar
S-band polarimetric radar data was obtained from the National Weather Service WSR-88D (NEXRAD) Vance Oklahoma site (KVNX). This radar simultaneously transmits and receives electromagnetic waves with horizontal and vertical polarizations (STAR), meaning that measurements of cross-polarization variables such as LDR and cross-polar correlation coefficient
Differential phase
NEXRAD radar data, including the derived
2) C-SAPR C-band polarimetric radar
The Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement C-band ARM Scanning Precipitation Radar (C-SAPR) is a polarimetric 5-cm wavelength radar that was located near the ARM Southern Great Plains (SGP) site at Lamont, Oklahoma, during this study. Like KVNX, it was run in STAR mode. The C-SAPR radar has approximately the same beamwidth as KVNX (approximately 1°) but much improved range resolution (90 m versus 250 m for KVNX);
Data were analyzed on a Cartesian grid with 1-km horizontal and 500-m vertical resolution. Data were processed to derive
3) Multi-Doppler wind retrieval
The network of scanning precipitation Doppler radars at the ARM SGP site provides the capability to view the atmosphere from multiple different angles in under approximately 7 min. During MC3E, the coordination of this network was of highest priority at times when significant convection events were imminent or occurring. We briefly describe the multi-Doppler wind retrieval method here. For a full description of the method, see North (2016). Fundamentally, the radial velocity observations from this network are ingested into a three-dimensional variational (3D-VAR) algorithm that minimizes a cost function defined as the sum of multiple independent constraints: radar Doppler radial velocity, mass continuity, a background field, and smoothness. Mass continuity in this case is the anelastic approximation for moist convection and is a required constraint owing to inadequate sampling of vertical air motion by scanning Doppler radars. The background field provides a physical solution in data-sparse regions, and the smoothness constraint is designed to reduce retrieval artifacts and extend properly constrained regions into poorly constrained regions. These four constraints are common in multi-Doppler wind retrieval literature. The analysis domain for these wind retrievals covers 100 × 100 km2 around the SGP Central Facility and extends up to 10-km altitude, with a horizontal resolution of 500 m and a vertical resolution of 250 m. The radars used included the C-SAPR radar as well as two X-band (3-cm wavelength) ARM Scanning Precipitation Radars (X-SAPR) located near the central facility; the locations of these radars are shown in Fig. 1.
4) Oklahoma Lightning Mapping Array
The Oklahoma Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) is a time-of-arrival-based lightning mapping system that utilizes an array of very-high-frequency (VHF) antennas to provide a four-dimensional map of lightning activity in thunderstorms (MacGorman et al. 2008; Thomas et al. 2004). Vertical accuracy is limited at distances further than 100 km from the LMA and horizontal accuracy becomes limited at distances beyond 200 km from the LMA. For a given lightning strike, the LMA may detect between tens and thousands of VHF sources. As stated in section 1b, results from Wiens et al. (2005) suggest that better correlation is found between convection storm statistics (such as updrafts) and flashes rather than VHF sources. Clustering of VHF source into flashes was performed as suggested by MacGorman et al. (2008), with thresholds of 3 km and 0.25 s set for inclusion of a VHF source into a flash and a minimum of 10 VHF sources required per flash. Data shown here represent the time and location of the first VHF source within a given flash. Collocated radar analysis is performed on data gridded from the Vance Oklahoma WSR-88D.
5) column analysis
Specific differential phase
To identify the maximum height of the
b. Meteorology
Four days during MC3E were selected for analysis, each featuring deep convection over Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Some characteristics of storms observed on each day are listed in Table 1. These days were chosen because all featured deep convection and were sampled by aircraft, suitable for detailed model evaluation. The four cases displayed significant differences in organizational mode and intensity. In some cases, such as 20 and 24 May, the organizational morphology of the prevalent storm systems changed considerably during the observational period.
Summary of days considered in this study.
1) 0700–1100 UTC 25 April 2011 (late night–early morning local)
Storms initiated along a lower-tropospheric boundary associated with a weak surface low pressure system. The skew T–logp diagram indicates a linear 0–6-km shear of approximately 30 m s−1 (see Fig. 3) with strong upper-tropospheric westerly and southerly winds. Such a wind profile has been shown to favor linear squall-line development with leading-stratiform precipitation (Parker and Johnson 2000), and the storms that developed in southern Oklahoma were indeed of this type. However, the storms of interest were located in northern Oklahoma to southern Kansas and developed along a weak low-level baroclinic zone. Convection cells in this region were initially oriented west to east but organized into south-north-oriented lines as they reached maturity. Evidence of both orientations can be seen in the midtropospheric radar plots in Fig. 2.
2) 0700–1100 UTC 20 May 2011 (late night–early morning local)
This case exhibited cellular convection that developed in the early morning (local time) along a dryline generated on 19 May and with synoptic forcing for ascent provided by an approaching upper-level low pressure system. Storms subsequently organized into a linear mesoscale convection system at approximately 0830 UTC. As on 25 April, 0–6-km shear was approximately 30 m s−1; however, on this day the surface winds were strongly southerly, and convection matured into “leading line, trailing stratiform” structures (Parker and Johnson 2000). A south-to-north-oriented convection line with trailing stratiform can be clearly seen in the radar imagery in Fig. 2. Later soundings show a well-developed rear-inflow jet as is typical in such storms Biggerstaff and Houze (1991).
3) 2100–0200 UTC 23 May 2011 (late afternoon–late evening)
On 23 May, the upper-level flow was nearly zonal, with a weak short-wave trough located just west of Oklahoma and a weak surface boundary extending from southwest Oklahoma into southeast Kansas. Cellular convection initiated along a dryline located in western Oklahoma and exhibited anvils that expanded rapidly to the east and southeast. By the time the storm had reached maturity, upper-level winds were oriented from northwest to southeast, promoting anvil expansion in that direction (see Fig. 3). Thick stratiform anvil structures can be clearly seen in the radar reflectivity in Fig. 2. Isolated convection in southern Oklahoma dissipated, while storms to the north organized along the surface boundary and eventually produced a northwest-to-southeast-moving bow echo.
4) 2000–0100 UTC 24 May 2011 (late afternoon–early evening)
In contrast to the previous day, convection on 24 May developed in association with an approaching upper-level trough and deepening surface low pressure system. Convection initiated along the dryline at approximately 1830 UTC, rapidly moved east-northeast, and produced thick stratiform anvils that expanded to the north and east. Cellular and supercellular features later organized into south-to-north-oriented lines that continued to propagate eastward through the remainder of the evening (local time).
3. Summary of results
a. Time series observations: KVNX, C-SAPR, LMA, and multi-Doppler updrafts
To illustrate one example of how
2000 UTC 23 May–0500 UTC 24 May 2011
Time series of bulk polarimetric radar analysis from KVNX data collected on 23 May 2011 are shown in Fig. 4. The
The
LMA flash analysis, shown in Fig. 6 together with polarimetric radar analysis from KVNX, show that total lightning flash activity appears to lag local maxima in
Comparison of
b. Statistical correlations
In order for meaningful comparison to be made between observations and simulations, aggregated statistics of relationships between storm-relevant variables should be employed. This reduces the effects of spatial and temporal phase errors related to the timing and propagation of the simulated storm system. We note, however, that it is unreasonable to assume that a linear correlation provides the best statistical analysis for relationships that are undoubtedly nonlinear, and so Spearman rank correlation coefficients ρ are shown together with Pearson correlation coefficients r.
Figure 8 shows volumes that exceed the
Data from 25 April in Fig. 8 show a generally high ratio of
Figure 9 shows
Results from C-SAPR (also shown in Fig. 9) match KVNX results quite well despite differences in radar domain and resolution. Modes of the
Multi-Doppler wind retrieval-derived updraft mass flux at the environmental −10°C level shows good (
The
To investigate whether strong updrafts appear in the vicinity of
Each day featured widely varying
The
Finally, the relationships between lightning total flash rate and
4. Discussion
The strong link seen between
As previously mentioned, our results suggest that analysis of
It should be noted that
Particularities endemic to the measurement of
Lagged correlations between
5. Conclusions
In this study observations by C- and S-band polarimetric radars of four storm systems during the MC3E field campaign were analyzed to investigate the characteristics of enhanced positive specific differential phase (
The
Loney et al. (2002) note that significant radar resolution degradation may preclude the use of
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the Office of Science (BER), U.S. Department of Energy, Award DE-SC0006988. MC3E data were obtained from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, Climate and Environmental Sciences Division. Argonne National Laboratory’s work was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, under Contract DE-AC02-06CH11357. This work has been supported by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research (OBER) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) as part of the ARM Program. The authors thank Scott Giangrande, Alexander Ryzhkov, and Matthew Kumjian for helpful discussions during preparation of this manuscript.
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